Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(5/1/2)-(1/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(3/4/7/6)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-8   WIN (3/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/6)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-9   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARZANNI Jun29 Jun01 May17 Sep04 Aug21 (davies deann)HUGHES RASHEED 120 5.00    
RUN MYA RUN Jun29 Jun15       (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
ISLA VIEW Jun29         (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 8.00    
OOPS (GB) Jun28 Jun15 May19 May04 Apr12 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 120 1.40 56% 0.80    
ALBERTA Jun29 Sep24 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.80 14% 6.30    
 
CTM-4   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRY'S A HOTTIE         (grieves ron)HUGHES RASHEED 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MISS HOTZY TOTZY by WELL INFORMED)
OUR SUNSHINE Jun08 May04 Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 (russell monica)BRYAN D 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
COUNTY WINDS Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23   (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 5.00    
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
PASSAGE Jun15 May25 Apr06 Feb23 Jan20 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 1.80    
  (by BLAME out of LONG VIEW by GALILEO)
SILENT COUNT Jun22 May04 Mar24     (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MRS VARGAS by BERNARDINI)
 
CTM-5   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDIE SOCKS Jun28 Jun14 May24 Oct15 Sep24 (kingston rob)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
LUCKY HALO Jul06 Jun29 Sep10 Aug04 Sep24 (pozzo jack)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERPETUAL BLISS Jun07 Oct15 Sep01 Aug06 May27 (grieves ron)CARTER KYLE 123 4.50    
DRAMATIC FLAIR Oct08 Sep10 Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
SHAKEITFORMEGIRL Jun28 Jun08 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.50    
NO MORE JO KING Jun28 Jun08 May18 Oct15 Sep17 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00    
 
CTM-6   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOY IN GRACE Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 Oct01 Sep09 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 2.00    
ADDYDIDIT Jun14 Oct01 Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 (o'hagan col)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.00 25% 2.90    
LITTLE HARPER Jun29 Oct07 Sep30 Sep10 Jul30 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
HENRY'S GAMBLE Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May19 Oct14 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SMILIN EVIE Dec10 Nov24 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 123 6.00    
COUNT ON IT Jun29 Jun01 Sep01 Aug04 Jul23 (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.50    
 
CTM-7   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AL REICHERT Jun28 May25 Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
THALES Jun28 Jun16 May27 May04 Apr07 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 118 6.00    
CHASE THE SUN Jun29 Aug20 Aug01 Jun18 May22 (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
THE BEAT Jun21 Jun01 May19 Oct21 Sep30 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.00    
ZICATELA Jun29 Oct08 Sep16 Jul23 Jun30 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50    
THESHACK Jun01 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Jul28 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 123 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
CTM-8   07/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENTITLED STAR Jun15 May31 Aug18 Jul23 Jun23 (mckenz)STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Jun29 Jun15 May31 May19 Oct21 (bell jessic)BECKLES JARELLE 125 8.00    
LINAHASPECSHOES Jun29 Jun01 Apr03 Mar01 Jan31 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.60 49% 1.00    
STOLEN JEWEL Jun29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep09 Aug25 (grieves)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
DAZZLING CHIC Jun29 Jun01 May19 Oct21 Oct08 (p)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 15.00    
BEAUTIFUL BABE Jun28 Jun15 May19 Oct08 Sep24 (calhoun kimb)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKARITA Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 Oct14 Oct08 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 5.00 6% 16.70    
 
CTM-9   07/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORTY THE SWEDE Jun29 Jul23 Jul01 Jun16 May26 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
ISLE OF SKYE Jun29 Jun15 May19 Oct07 Sep30 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
DUNE D'ORO Jun29 Jun07 May25 May19 Oct14 (hawkes darc)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00    
TIGERITO Jun29 Jun08 May24 May18 Apr12 (smith robe)LAHOE RUJA 125 5.00    
BRATTON Jun29 Jun15 May31 May17 Mar10 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
PUMP THE BRAKES Jun23 Jun07 May17 Oct07 Sep30 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 8.00    
MONEY MUNCHER Jun21 May24 May10 Oct22 Oct01 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.