Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(1/5/3)-(7/1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(7/1/3/5)-(5/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5)-(7/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5)-(5/1/4)-(3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/4/1)-(7/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/5/1)-(3/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(7/5/2)-(1/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(1/3/5)-(8/7/3/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(8/7/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/7/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/9)-(8/7/3/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/9)-(8/7/3/2/9)-(8/7/3/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WYSOQUIET Jun01 May02 Apr12 Mar29 Mar07 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 1.20 45% 1.20    
2  KING OF LUCK Jun01 May25 May09 Apr13 Mar21 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIRECT THE SHOW Jun15 Jun08 May18 May02 Apr06 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  TALKING TEDDY Jun01 May02 Aug31 Jul13 May13 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.00    
5  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Jun01 May25 May09 Apr13 Apr06 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 118 20.00    
6  KARMA BUS Jun01 May09 Apr13 Mar06 Feb23 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 15% 5.60    
7  ROCKING TO HOME Jun01 Feb08 Jan18 Nov16 Oct27 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
 
CT-2   07/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HESSICA Jun22 May30 May03 Apr11 Oct14 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.80 29% 2.40    
2  BARBERS POINT Jun22 May23 Apr25 Apr11 Feb17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60    
3  THE SKY IS FALLING Jun22 May30 May03 Apr13 Mar23 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 6% 16.40    
4  TRAIN WRECK Jun22 Jun06 May07 Mar01 Jan29 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 5.00    
5  JUBASLILBALLERINA Jun22 May30 May23 May03 Apr11 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  QUEEN JELLY BEAN May02 Apr11 Mar01 Feb15 Oct12 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
 
CT-3   07/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUBA'S MOCHA Jun21 Jun01 Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.60 20% 4.10    
2  CANO'S BABY Jun07 May03 Apr11     (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
3  SHUFFLE         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
4  DIVA'S DEMON Jun21         (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 10.00    
5  BEST HOP IS A DROP Jun21         (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  GETTIN SPICY Jun21 Jun01 Apr26 Apr06 Mar28 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 119 10.00    
7  TUP'S TO TAKE Jun21 May30 May03 Apr11 Mar21 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  A FAIR NOTION Jun27 May30 May03 Mar13   (collins tim)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 118 6.00    
 
CT-4   07/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST VIRGINIA May09 Mar20 Feb28 Dec13 Nov25 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
2  MIDNIGHT PASS May18 Apr25 Mar14 Mar02 Feb23 (racanelli mark )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE CASTLE Jun28 Jun07 May25 Apr18 Mar30 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 0.80    
4  THE MONEY MACHINE Apr26 Apr05 Feb24 Feb15 Jan27 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WINDSOR'S PLAY May23 May09 Apr12 Mar20 Mar02 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  RIVER REWARDS RVF Jun28 Jun07 May23 Apr26 Mar06 (smith osborne)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00    
7  CASTLE TOY Jun07 Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.50    
 
CT-5   07/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE CAUSE Jun20         (gazzier)NUNEZ MAURICIO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TANITA BELLE by PULPIT)
SCR  SHAMELESS VISIONS Jun08         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 15.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of COLOR VISION by NOONMARK)
3  SMART WINDSOR Jun20 May30 May09     (jackson angelo )BOCACHICA O 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SMART MOVES by SMARTY JONES)
4  AIM'S REDIRECT Jun20 May30 May09 May02 Apr19 (reggetts step)THORPE DARIUS 119 1.80 29% 2.40    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  CANDY TRICKS Apr18 Mar20 Feb23 Feb16 Feb02 (sigler g)LARROSA G 119 5.00 ★    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
6  COUNT THE FLOWERS Jun08 May30 May09     (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
7  SISTER WINNIE Jun08 May30 Feb23     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 119 12.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of AUNT WINNIE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
8  CITY OF ARCHES         (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 119 15.00    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of BREEZY ARCH by ADMIRALTY ARCH)
 
CT-6   07/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBT RELIEF Jun13 May04 Apr12 Mar27 Mar02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 4.00    
2  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Jun20 Apr20 Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OREO ANGEL May10 Apr11 Mar30 Feb08 Jan24 (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 12.00    
4  HONEY PLEASE Jun15 Jan24 Oct18 Sep28   (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 116 20.00    
5  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Jun17 Jun01 Mar22 Mar01 Feb04 (binning matt)LEWIS M 115 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  NONESUCH GIRL Jul02 Jun13 May02 Apr25 Apr13 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 3.00    
7  WHISKEY WILD Jul02 Jun15 May10 Jul30 Jun16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 30% 2.40    
8  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Jun20 May30 Nov16     (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 118 8.00    
 
CT-7   07/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE'S GIRL Jun01 Apr13 Mar29 Nov25 Nov04 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
2  LIGHTNIN RUNNER May04 Apr13 Mar23 Mar08 Feb10 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 1.60    
3  LUCYLOU WHO Jun22 May25 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  MOONLIT SHADOW May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 Mar08 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00    
5  JUBA'S PARADE Jun22 May30 May03 Apr13 Mar23 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   07/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEEKER Jun01 May25 Apr06 Mar17 Feb24 (mcmaho)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 15.00    
2  NICO LUCKY Jun13 May18 May10 May04 Apr06 (harting r)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 ★    
3  NEVER GREW UP Jun20 May31 Apr05 Mar10 Mar01 (carlisle )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 8.00 16% 5.30    
4  TAPADINE Nov30 Nov04 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
5  SAM WHEAT Jun15 May25 Apr27 Apr18   (farrior anth)LEWIS M 113 2.50    
6  THE ICE MAN CARLOS Jun13 May24 May05 Mar18 Feb25 (mancilla)RODRIGUEZ L 111 8.00    
7  RAINBOW DAY Jun20 May09 Apr18 Mar21 Feb29 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 3.00 19% 4.10    
8  LOST WEEKEND Jun15 Jun07 May23 May09 Apr19 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 38% 1.70    
9  HERE COMES RUSTY Jun20 May31 May09 Apr18 Mar28 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.