Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - June 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(6/4/3)-(6/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-7   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/2)-(6/2/3)-(7/3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-8   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-9   WIN (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   06/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTBRINGMEDOWN         (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of PLUNGE by EL ROBLAR)
BRYNN'S DREAM Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 (grieves ron)HUGHES RASHEED 120 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
CAPE'S LEGACY Jun07 May17 May04 Sep30 Sep16 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 120 2.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
TAYLOR FIELD Sep23         (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of KEEP IT A SECRET by THUNDER GULCH)
SILENT COUNT May04 Mar24       (kingston karlin)CARTER KYLE 120 3.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MRS VARGAS by BERNARDINI)
 
CTM-3   06/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET VENDOR Jun08 Apr14 Mar22 Feb22 Dec24 (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 31% 2.30    
VICTORIA'S CHIEF Jun08 May25 Nov12 Nov03 Aug27 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
COOLWIND Jun01 May18 Apr07 Mar30 Mar15 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.80 41% 1.40    
BRODY'S PAL Jun08 May25 May18 Oct14 Oct08 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 2.50    
ABOVE AND BEYOND Jun08 May19 Sep01 Aug06 Jul30 (anderso)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 3.50    
 
CTM-4   06/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LATE ONE Jun07 Apr30 Mar25 Mar11 Jul11 (brown r)GONZALEZ ADRIAN 125 6.00    
CARSON'S LEGACY Jun08 May25 May10 Apr13 Mar31 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 8.00    
ALL THAT GOLD Jun08 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 (russell monica)BRYAN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Jun08 Jun01 May17 Dec09 Nov17 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 16% 5.10    
WYE CROSS Jun07 May19 Oct01 Sep17 Jul21 (smith k)CARTER KYLE 125 3.00    
LANNY MAC Jun08 May31 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
CTM-5   06/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERZKII Jun01 May17 Dec15 Nov25 Nov19 (brown j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 4.00    
COUNTRIFIED Jun08 May24 Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50    
DANCING WILLIE Jun01 May19 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 (robertson jerri)CARTER KYLE 123 2.50 11% 8.10    
ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jun08 May17 Jan13 Dec31 Dec03 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 123 5.00    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Jun01 May17 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BARE BACK JACK Jun01 May19 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 57% 0.70    
 
CTM-6   06/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMURAI CHALLENGE May18 Nov24 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
FORCED TO RUN Jun08 May25       (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
SAWCHUK Jun07 May25 May04 Oct22 Sep30 (davies deann)HUGHES RASHEED 124 3.50    
SHINING TIGER Jun08 May18 Mar26 Mar05 Feb22 (brown r)NELSON DANE 122 2.00    
NORTHERN FORCE Jun08 May17 Oct14 Sep16 Aug28 (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
DOUG'S HERO Jun08 May25 Aug25 Aug05 Jul21 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 124 6.00    
 
CTM-7   06/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMEER Jun07 May18 Oct22 Oct15 Oct08 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 3.50    
LAHUN Jun08 May18 Oct22 Oct15 Sep17 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
ONE SKY Sep18 Sep04 Jul19 Jul05 Jun12 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00 15% 5.50    
PACHECO Jun08 May18 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 (kettleson alivi)CARTER KYLE 123 2.50    
BREAKING THE BANK Jun08 May25 Mar08 Feb25 Jan27 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.00 49% 1.00    
HE'S A SAINT Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 Jul28 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 123 12.00 5% 18.50    
SIX SHOTS OF T Jun08 May18 Oct14 Oct01 Sep01 (reid colton)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
 
CTM-8   06/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGING BELL May31 Oct01 Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50    
MACHINA Jun01 Dec07 Nov23 Oct29 Aug18 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 21% 3.80    
SKIP'S ROCK Jun01 Oct01 Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 (smith cra)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL MESS Jun14 May31 Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 (wyness)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
MAJESTIC OOPS May31 May18 Feb24 Jan13 Nov19 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00    
DANCE SHOES Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Jul21 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
 
CTM-9   06/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWN OF CAIRO         (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 120 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FANCY VINTAGE by HENNESSY)
DIAMOND DI         (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 120 15.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of MY STORMI LOVE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
GRANDMA DEE Sep23         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 27% 2.60    
  (by FINALITY out of AFTER THE RAIN by LEMON DROP KID)
SADIE MY LADY Jun07 Sep30 Sep16     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KINDEST REGARDS by CONGRATS)
ROCKY RIDGE GINGER         (oberholtzer kev)CARTER KYLE 125 5.00 6% 14.70    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of REGAL TIGEREYES by TIGER TRAP)
ANNAMARIA May25 May04 Mar29 Feb09 Jan24 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 120 2.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SOCKS by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
QUEENS OVER JACK'S Aug13 Jul08       (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of PASS PARTOUT by TIZNOW)
SUNBIZ         (r)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 12.00    
  (by SUNGOLD out of SIX ROADS by MARCHFIELD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.