Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - May 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/4/3)-(8/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5)-(8/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/3/7)-(6/8/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-6   WIN (4/1/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6)-(4/1/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/6)-(1/5/9/4)-(3/7/1/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-7   WIN (1/5/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4)-(1/5/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/4)-(3/7/1/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-8   WIN (3/7/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/2/4)-(3/7/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/2/4)-(3/7/1/2/4)-(3/7/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.1K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGACYINTHEMAKING         (smith r)RAMOS B 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of ALEXASSILVERCHARM by PARANOIDE)
2  BIG AND BOLD Apr27 Apr07 Mar24 Feb18 Jan12 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 122 5.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of LEROIANA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
3  TAPITBOY Apr13 Mar22 Feb17 Jan25 Jan04 (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 122 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SPECIAL GAL by TAYLOR'S SPECIAL)
4  HOG HEAVEN Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Mar06 Dec14 (lemburg mark)ROMAN KEVIN 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of REBA'S CAT by CONSOLIDATOR)
5  LAST STAND         (smith george )BACON W 117 8.00    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  LAWS OF MAN Mar30 Mar17       (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of WINDY O by OLYMPIO)
 
FON-2   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUY NOW Apr14 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOIN OWEN Apr27 Apr13 Mar29 Mar17 Mar03 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Apr21 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Oct29 (becker steven)BACON W 120 15.00    
4  TIZ RED TIME Apr14 Mar30 Mar23 Mar08 Oct28 (thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
5  WILLHE LOVE Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Oct22 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 1.80 31% 2.20    
6  GAME'S KARTEL Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Mar08 Feb18 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50    
 
FON-3   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAYAWAY Apr14 Mar29 Mar16 Mar02 Oct22 (thompson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
2  HIGHLANDER'S EDGE Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Jan11 Nov25 (gourneau jerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
3  I THINK I KNOW YOU Apr14 Oct23 Oct01 Aug26 Aug13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  FULL SPIRIT Apr26 Apr12 Oct22 Aug19 May01 (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 2.50 8% 10.80    
5  FIRENSPICE Apr22 Mar26 Feb15 Jan15 Dec18 (rushton stet)JOURNET JARRED 125 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  CANARY NATION Apr14 Mar24 Mar10 Sep22 Sep08 (foley p)BETHKE A 125 8.00    
 
FON-4   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3 ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL PUNCH Apr13         (dieter dalto)JOURNET JARRED 122 15.00    
  (by MACHO ROCKET out of ROCKETS PHENOM by REDDING COLLIERY)
2  WHEELER COUNTY KID         (thompson grady)RAMOS B 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QUIEN out of DEUCE COUPE by ROANOKE)
3  CITY SLICKEN Apr19         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of AWESOME LILY by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  BEST UP Apr13         (rivera p)DELORME L 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of BETTER AND BETTER by BODEMEISTER)
5  ELI THE MAN Apr19         (thomsen paula)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of OUR BLUSHING ROSE by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  WANN BOMBER Apr13         (hines han)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SWEETEDGE by ADDED EDGE)
7  ROPE BURN Apr13 Mar17 Mar03     (musquiz j)FACKLER CHRIS 122 4.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of CHANTILLY LILLY by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR)
8  SPARKY TIME Mar17 Mar03       (coughlin )MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by OUTWORK out of SMOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
9  KHOZANTHEDESTROYER Apr13 Mar23       (compton jesse)BACON W 117 15.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of KISS N KAREN by UNTUTTABLE)
 
FON-5   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEAT CODE Apr13 Mar29 Mar17     (compton jess)JOURNET JARRED 121 15.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S CHEEKY by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
2  SHOTCRETE Apr19 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18   (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KARNER BLUE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  WANTABE Apr26 Apr19 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.50 ★    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of B G GOLDEN TIME by GOLD TRIBUTE)
4  DONNY'S GOT GAME Apr19 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Feb18 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of KELLY AND COLA by INFORMED)
5  PROOF OF PURCHASE Apr13 Mar23 Mar03 Feb18   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ R 121 5.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SHOPPER by BERNSTEIN)
6  MISTER LESTER Apr19 Apr05 Mar23     (compton jesse)BACON W 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of BLARNEY BABE by PIKEPASS)
7  DUTTON'S REVENGE Apr13 Mar29 Mar03 Feb18   (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of MANGO'S MUSE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  DEMAR THUNDER         (lemburg mark)DELORME L 121 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of OUR HOPE by HALF OURS)
 
FON-6   05/03/2024 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY WHAT LUCK         (smith george )FACKLER CHRIS 121 20.00 30% 2.30    
2  WUMPMUG Apr21 Apr06 Mar03 Feb18 Oct28 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
3  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Apr21 Apr12 Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
4  GANGSTER AMERICANO Apr20 Mar29 Mar22 Jan13 Nov15 (arceo salvado)BACON W 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  JANIS Apr20 Mar30 Mar03 Dec28 Nov30 (hibdon mark )BETHKE A 125 10.00    
6  OUR HALLIE Apr20 Mar15 Feb07 Jan04 Dec16 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHERESTHECARTGIRL Apr21 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 Feb15 (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 12.00    
8  MORNING GORDITA Apr19 Mar29 Mar15 Feb07 Oct16 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50    
9  CZECHITOUT Apr26 Apr21 Apr06 Mar22 Mar10 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 18.20    
 
FON-7   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIGHTED Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 Oct29 Oct21 (muckey jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  INCITATUS Apr19 Mar16 Oct28 Oct22 Oct01 (rushton stacy)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
SCR  PAYNTER'S BOY Apr27 Apr20 Apr06 Mar23 Mar16 (rushton temp)JOURNET JARRED 125 8.00    
4  CREATIVE LETTERS Apr05 Oct27 Oct22 Oct08 Oct01 (ibanez albert)BACON W 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BUMPER POOL Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb17 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.50 15% 5.50    
6  SANCOCHO (MEX) Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Feb24 (castillo sal)RAMOS B 125 5.00    
7  NO LIMITATION Apr20 Mar17 Mar02 Oct29 Sep30 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
8  SOUTHWESTERN HOPE Apr13 Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 Oct01 (bunn shawn)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
9  OPTIMISTIC VALOR Apr19 Apr05 Mar15 Mar01 Oct29 (schindler kyle)DELORME L 125 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
FON-8   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAME THE PRICE Apr21 Apr07 Mar23 Mar16 Oct27 (dieter dalton)DELORME L 125 3.00 10% 8.60    
2  ORCADIAN STORM Apr06 Mar24 Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 (sanderson bru)BACON W 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Apr19 Apr05 Mar24 Mar02 Feb24 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 43% 1.40    
4  COWORKER Apr13 Mar24 Mar15 Mar01 May19 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  PERVASIVE Apr13 Mar16 Oct29 Oct21 Oct08 (muckey john)JOURNET JARRED 125 15.00    
6  OH BE ONE Apr13 Apr06 Mar16 Mar01 Oct01 (bunn shawn)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
7  PARLAY PETE Apr06 Mar23 Feb24 Feb02 Nov24 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 17% 5.00    
8  UNLEASH THE BEAST Apr19 Mar15 Mar02 Aug20 Jul26 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 12.00    
9  SMART CALL Apr19 Apr05 Mar16 Feb25 Sep19 (gourneau )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
10  RANDOM AFFAIR Apr13 Oct21 Oct08 Sep03 Aug13 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.