Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/1/7)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(4/2/6)-(5/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(5/6/3)-(1/7/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2)-(1/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2)-(1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2)-(1/4/2)-(8/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(8/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(8/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5/2/9)-(8/7/5/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(4/3/7/2)-(9/2/8/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-8   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(9/2/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/2/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/8/12)-(9/2/8/1/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/8/12)-(9/2/8/1/12)-(9/2/8/1/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMING OF ABBA         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
BAHAMIAN BABY Mar30 Feb24 Feb07 Nov17 Oct21 (cascallares)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 12.00    
MY JANNET         (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
COLE'S VALENTINE         (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 115 2.50 20% 4.00    
DANNEEL Apr14 Mar23 Feb04 Jan03 Dec20 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLUFFY Apr06 Mar22 Mar09 Feb10 Feb03 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
 
TAM-2   04/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEEP FAITH Apr12 Mar27 Mar01 Feb14 Jan27 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 1.60 24% 3.20    
LAST PROMISE Apr06 Mar29 Feb28 Feb11 Jan19 (rivera xavier )CAMACHO SAMY 120 20.00    
CAMPTOWN RACES Apr03 Mar06 Feb25 Jan28 Jan17 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 120 15.00    
MR. EXTENSION Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 Aug20 Aug12 (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
ZONIC Mar29 Mar13 Feb28 Jan19 Dec22 (mcgoey monica)DELGADO DAVID 120 30.00    
SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Mar03 Feb28 Feb04 Jan27 Jan14 (drake robert)MBATHA LUCKY 113 15.00    
CHIQUIRIN Apr05 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec06 (torres r)DIAZ S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHROMED IMPULSE Mar01 Jan26 Jan14 Dec27 Oct06 (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 115 3.00    
 
TAM-3   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC LANE         (scocca li)HERRERA R 119 15.00    
PAEZ Apr20 Apr03 Mar20 Dec31 Dec08 (nunez mau)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 3.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  SON OF A SLEW         (deaton wil)CARDOSO MARCELLO 119 12.00    
SCALLYWAG (GB) Apr12 Mar22       (hayford jenn)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50 64% 0.60    
EIGHTYSIXCHEVY         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50    
IZMIT         (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROUKI Feb03         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
DOMINATOR C. Apr14         (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
 
TAM-4   04/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUP HUG Apr14 Mar20 Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 122 3.00    
UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Apr12 Mar22 Feb11 Jan12 Dec01 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
TONY SMALL Aug28 Jul26 Jul13 Jun13 May24 (bowers)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DESERT RULER Apr14 Mar17 Feb21 Jan27 Jan10 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50    
CHROME GHOST Apr12 Oct08 Sep24 Aug25 Jul28 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 117 2.50 34% 1.90    
GUARANTEED SPECK Apr19 Mar30 Mar17 Mar03 Feb03 (russo j)SPIETH S 118 6.00 28% 2.50    
FINAL VERDICT Apr19 Mar27 Mar20 Feb23 Jan17 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
 
TAM-5   04/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Mar27 Mar17 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 118 1.80 40% 1.50    
MYA C Mar27 Feb23 Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 (hardesty )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
TRENDY (ARG) Apr10 Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Dec30 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.00 12% 7.70    
PANOLA Mar23 Mar03 Jan21 Dec22 Dec02 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 30.00    
NUNOFTHISNUNOFTHAT Mar28 Mar01 Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 113 12.00    
TURBO MILLIE Apr10 Mar13 Feb21 Jan14 Jan03 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
APRIL'S DIAMANTE Mar31 Feb04 Sep29 Aug24 May25 (gutierrez faus)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
TAM-6   04/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEAK EARNINGS (GB)         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
  (by KINGMAN out of SANS EQUIVOQUE by STORMY RIVER)
MOON CAVE Apr03 Feb07 Mar18 Dec23   (charlton s)TORRES R 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS EUPHORIA by ARAGORN (IRE))
AMANDAANNADREW Apr19         (manchan bertr)FUENTES MARIO 126 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BIRKIN BAG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
MISS PRETENDER         (brown ch)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GUISE by BELIEVE IT)
CHARMEINE Feb22         (damen)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of R CHARLIE'S ANGEL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
ELECTRIC RUNNER Apr19 Mar13 Aug25     (manchan bertr)SOSA LAUREANO 126 30.00    
  (by BEHESHT out of GROGGER by PURIM)
ACQUALINA Mar29 Feb10       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 4.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUCEVAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
MOST DIVINE Apr17 Jun24 Apr30 Apr12 Mar24 (bowersock ma)GARCIA GEOVANY 126 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DIVINE INDY by MINESHAFT)
 
TAM-7   04/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL ANNIE ROSE Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan17 Dec23 (hayford j)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 20.00    
DEVRA WARRIOR Apr13 Mar23 Mar03 Jan24 Jan12 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 125 10.00    
RITAAN Apr12 Feb24 Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00    
MO TOWN ANNIE Apr17 Mar30 Mar02 Feb04 Sep04 (wilson tony)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 30.00    
WIN DIXIE RONNIE Mar16 Mar02 Jan28 Dec22 Oct13 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Apr17 Mar02 Feb08 Jan17 Dec29 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 123 4.00    
SHE'S A JOY Apr13 Feb04 Jan12 Dec23 Nov25 (agostini art)ARROYO S 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
SHE'S SO BEARRISH Apr17 Mar29 Feb18 Feb01 Jan12 (gatis )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
MUDSHAFT Apr12 Apr05 Mar16 Jan21 Jan07 (williams matt)FUENTES MARIO 123 10.00    
10  SADE PURSE Apr20 Mar17 Nov11 Oct09 Sep30 (james geral)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 20.00    
11  FLORINDIA Apr17 Mar15 Mar03 Feb18 Jan31 (rodriguez angel )FERRER C 118 12.00    
 
TAM-8   04/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTER MIAMI Mar20 Jan24 Jan05 Dec16 Nov24 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 8.00    
OLD TOWN ROAD Apr17 Mar09 Feb25 Jan05 Nov22 (nunez mauric)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S IN CHARGE Apr07 Mar13 Feb14 Feb04 Jan05 (correa maxine)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
HERCULES Apr13 Apr07 Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 (james gerald)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00 28% 2.60    
PRACTICAL WAY Mar09 Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 Jan07 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 6.00    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Apr05 Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 15.00    
MISTER BANJOMAN Apr13 Apr03 Mar20 Mar09 Feb11 (rarick lynn)ARROYO S 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  WELL CONNECTED Jan28 Dec13 Oct17 Sep15 Aug12 (march william)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 1.80    
 
TAM-9   04/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLWETHER         (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00    
MISS HOLLY Apr18 Mar21 Feb28 Apr09 Mar23 (rodriguez ange)MORENO ANGEL 122 6.00 12% 7.30    
FORTUNATA Apr06 Mar29 Mar15 Sep09 Aug26 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
MRS BRADSTREET Apr10 Sep06       (lusk b)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 115 30.00    
SUBTLE SENORITA Mar29 Mar15 Feb25 Feb07 Jan12 (dominguez lu)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
PARTY DREAM Apr17 Feb25 Feb09 Dec15 Aug03 (barbazon)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
MIGHTY MADI Apr10 Mar20 Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 15.00    
DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Mar20 Jan21 Dec15 Oct27 Sep17 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 122 4.00 6% 15.30    
ISOLA (IRE) Mar30 Jan14 Dec17 Sep21 Aug17 (sisterson jack)CENTENO E 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
10  AMOR SALVAJE Feb25 Feb09 Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 122 20.00    
11  MS EXCUSE Apr07 Mar23 Nov22 Nov08 Oct08 (marrero nesto)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
12  BACK OFF ME Mar02 Jan21 Dec15 Sep06 Aug17 (russo j)SPIETH S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.