Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/2/5)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/4/1)-(1/7/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/7/4/5)-(2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(2/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(2/1/4)-(1/4/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/4/7/8)-(4/1/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(4/1/6/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/8)-(4/1/6/3)-(3/8/10/5/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(3/8/10/5/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/8/10/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/10/5/9)-(3/8/10/5/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/8/10/5/9)-(3/8/10/5/9)-(3/8/10/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER LIBERTY Mar27 Jul02 May17 Apr10 Mar27 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 6.00    
2  APRETTYLULABY Apr08 Mar05 Feb08 Dec15 Oct28 (birzer bonnie)QUINONEZ B 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROSE OF EKITA Nov18 Jun15 May17 May08 Apr23 (lambert joanna)SANCHEZ OBED 122 8.00    
4  WITHHERBOOTSON Mar02 Feb18 Jan19 Dec15 Nov18 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 122 3.00    
5  PIPPA'S PROSPECT Mar27 Mar11 Jan11 Dec21 Nov25 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 16% 5.40    
6  NEVERSAYNOLETSGO Mar28 Mar08 Feb04 Jan26 Oct15 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.40 53% 0.90    
 
WRD-2   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONCE UPON A DREAM Mar20 Feb18 Dec01 Oct26 Sep01 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
2  INCORRIGIBLE Apr01 Jan11 Dec21 Nov09 Oct13 (dunlap m)KIMES C 125 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  REQUISITION Mar30 Mar17 Feb25 Feb09 Aug14 (davidson )TRIANA JR 125 3.50    
4  COLONEL KLINK Mar30 Feb25 Jan06 Dec11 Nov14 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  MARCH WEST Mar26 Sep09 Aug26 Jun28 Jun10 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIRE EXTINGUISHER Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 Dec07 Nov13 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00    
 
WRD-3   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITSEC Apr03 Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Jan28 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.00 7% 12.90    
2  BROOKE'S ALL IN Mar19 Mar05 Dec18 Dec07 Nov16 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 6.00    
3  BOSSADUSU Mar30 Mar02 Jan28 Nov24 Oct06 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50    
4  ACELA EXPRESS Mar26 Mar05 Feb07 Jan04 Dec18 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 30% 2.30    
5  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Apr03 Mar02 Feb03 Jan18 Oct27 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  SODDY DAISY Apr03 Mar22 Feb25 Nov25 Oct14 (villafranco fred)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00    
 
WRD-4   04/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIENNA PRIZE Mar20 Dec08 Nov02 Sep28 Sep08 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 0.60 60% 0.70    
  (by KLIMT out of M B PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
2  COLE TRICKLE Mar09 Feb25 Jan12 Dec16 Oct26 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BIANCO by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  FRONT ROW SHOW Mar19         (cogburn l)KIMES C 120 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SEEK N EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
4  SONIC POSSE Mar19 Dec08 Oct13 Sep21 Dec14 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00 6% 16.40    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of SONIC RUN by SONG OF THE SWORD)
5  RED MOUNTAIN Mar20 Mar05 Jan13 Dec07 Nov20 (martin st)TRIANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of DEPUTY'S WHIRL by DEPUTY SLEW)
6  GOSPEL CRUSADER Mar20 Dec13 Nov08 Oct26 Oct07 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 20.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL SCARLET by IRISH ROAD)
7  BROWN RESERVE Apr02 Mar19       (young e)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of REGO by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
WRD-5   04/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOWLESS Mar20 Dec14 Nov25 Oct21 Oct11 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  TWO WORLDS Apr01 Feb15 Jan28 Dec30 Sep29 (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  RACE DAY REBAL Mar25 Mar11 Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 (williams a)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00    
4  PAPA RIZZO Jul27 Jul12 Jun24 Mar10 Oct01 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
5  SWEET MEDICINE Mar20 Mar04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 (william)GONCALVES R 122 8.00    
6  HAMAZING WISDOM Mar29 Feb25 Feb09 Dec17 Nov03 (padilla jua)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
7  JACKS SPRING BREAK Mar04 Feb25 Feb02 Dec17 Nov03 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 10.00    
 
WRD-6   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED DIRT RICH Apr02 Mar19 Dec09 Nov18 Nov01 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  HE BLUE BAYOU Mar19 Dec02 Nov20 Oct26   (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
3  LA BATALLA Mar19 Mar05 Dec09 Nov17 Nov02 (padilla juan)PEREZ A 125 10.00    
4  NORWAY BEACH Mar19 Dec15 Nov18 Oct07   (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 25% 3.10    
5  HE'S A ROCK Mar27 Mar05 Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 (oberlander jes)MORA GERARDO 125 12.00    
6  STORMS LAST Mar27 Oct25 Jul12 Jun28 May15 (quijada cosme)CRUZ ROMAN 125 5.00    
7  QUALITY BLASTOFF Mar19 Mar05 Dec09 Nov17 Nov01 (caster bo)TRIANA JR 125 4.00 9% 10.50    
8  DOYOUKNOWMYNAME Nov02 May10 Feb17 Nov21 Nov05 (lambert joanna)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-7   04/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Highland Ice Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNORS OUTLAW Mar26 Feb04 Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of LE GRAND FROMAGE by WAR)
SCR  THERIDEOFALIFETIME Mar27 Feb02 Dec09 May13 Mar16 (gibson jona)WETHEY JR 120 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of COSMIC EVOLUTION by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  C W PRIZE Mar26 Mar04 Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 (offolter )TRIANA JR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of M B PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
4  JACKMAN Mar09 Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 Dec29 (compton gre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 126 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RICHWOOD by WOODMAN)
5  FLY TO THE BANK Mar26 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 (martin steve)CABRERA DAVID 126 8.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of TAKE IT AND FLY by KINGKIOWA)
6  OPTIMAL COURAGE Mar07 Feb13 Jan25 Dec30 Dec02 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 8.00 9% 10.50    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
7  ROCKIN THE DAD BOD Sep30 Sep18 Sep04 Jul29 Jul20 (buehrer mark )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 20.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of CAGEY GIRL by CROWD PLEASER)
8  MIDNIGHT PRANKS Feb25 Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 Nov11 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIDNIGHT GIRL by DROSSELMEYER)
 
WRD-8   04/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN A FIRE Apr02 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 (ibarra jose)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00    
2  TENSAS CLEAR Mar27 Mar19 Mar05 Feb08 Jan25 (dixon tim)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00    
3  MISS DOUBLE Apr02 Mar23 Feb04 Jan05 Apr14 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 125 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  SALT CREEK CAT Mar27 Mar20 May17     (ibarra jo)TRIANA JR 125 20.00    
5  HALE'S LUCKY LADY Mar27 Nov25       (hale vic)SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.50 9% 9.70    
6  EXHI LIL DARLIN Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Dec31   (hewitt michael)KIMES C 120 20.00    
7  CATALINA SUNRISE Mar23 Mar14 Feb25     (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 8.00    
8  DEM CATS LUV ME         (davidson brent)PEREZ A 125 8.00 16% 5.10    
9  OKIE HOPE Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Nov29 May17 (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 5.00 6% 15.50    
10  GOOD LIQUOR Apr08 Mar27 Dec16 Nov21 Oct26 (baze t)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00 10% 8.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.