Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/6)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(1/2/3)-(6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SUN-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-5   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-6   WIN (2/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (3/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/7)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/11/3/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SUN-8   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(5/11/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SUN-9   WIN (5/11/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/3/9)-(5/11/3/9/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/11/3/9)-(5/11/3/9/12)-(5/11/3/9/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMIC SAGA         (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 12.00    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of SWEET SAGA by SLEW'S SAGA)
RED PILL         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MOJGAN by FLATTER)
BALD IS BEAUTIFUL Feb15 Oct14 May21 Feb19 Feb07 (marquez l)CARRENO J 124 10.00    
  (by ULTIMATE EAGLE out of SONGO'THESEA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MOE ANALYZED         (bolen b)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SANKOBASI by PULPIT)
MUSEUM QUALITY Jan25 Dec05       (fincher w)VALDEZ S 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of EXECUTIVEPRIVILEGE by EL PRADO (IRE))
MAFIA Jun16 May27       (garrett j)TOHILL S 124 3.50    
  (by MINESHAFT out of CELEBRITY STAR by DEHERE)
 
SUN-2   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA GOIN COMFORT Feb08         (gonzalez jose)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
  (by COMFORT out of BLOWIN AND GOIN by THE WAY HOME)
ART CURATOR Feb15 Jan12 Nov27 Nov07 Apr22 (fincher w)VERGARA P 124 0.80 73% 0.40    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of FAVORITE FLAG by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
BAM AGAIN Feb01         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
  (by MAIL out of UNCONSTITUTIONAL by GRAND SLAM)
COUNCIL'S JAZEL Dec11 Sep02 Aug05 Mar05 Feb19 (mcqueen laur)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 15.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of COUNCIL TALK by COUNCIL MEMBER)
CHAMA STORM Feb09 Mar05 Feb07 Jan01 Nov14 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.00    
  (by STELLAR RAIN out of BLACKJACK SUE by BOB BLACK JACK)
COMFORTS JAZEL Feb08         (gonzalez r)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMFORT out of COUNCIL TALK by COUNCIL MEMBER)
 
SUN-3   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Dec15 Nov11 Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 1.20 36% 1.80    
SECRET'S DOUBLE Feb18 Feb02 Oct21 Oct15 May23 (clemmer phi)ORTEGA O 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
KING BARON Feb18 Jan05 Aug18     (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00 7% 13.10    
STOREY'S FURY Feb09 Feb01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec20 (orona martin)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
K P KWEST Jan26 Dec17 Nov26 Oct29 Oct09 (gonzalez r)MEDELLIN A 124 2.50    
 
SUN-4   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARMER FRED R F Feb18 Feb09 Jan25 Jan11 Dec20 (martinez a)TORRES J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
NO GAIN N NO WILL Feb02 Jan12 Dec19 Nov27   (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
SWEET MONEY Jan25 Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 Sep20 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
SPEED BUMP BOB Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec12 Nov07 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 124 4.50    
SLEEPY EYES Dec18 Oct01 Oct10 Sep25   (marquez jos)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
FLAGS FINALE Feb18 Feb02 Dec04 Nov07 Oct08 (aldavaz hermeng)ROSENDO J 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
SUN-5   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKED BY MISCHIEF Feb02 Nov14 Oct08     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 18% 4.70    
SILVERS LAST DANCE Dec20 Dec04       (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
WHAT A MEMORY Feb22 Feb08 Jan12 Dec11 Nov13 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.50    
ISLA JANE Feb01 Dec18 Oct28 Sep27 Aug05 (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
POW WOW Feb02 Oct13 Sep08 May06 Apr30 (olguin ever)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00    
IT'S A GIRL Dec18 Dec11 Nov20 Jun23 Oct08 (green greg)ROSENDO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
GABRIELLA WHO Feb22 Oct28 Oct08 Aug05 Jun18 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.00    
 
SUN-6   03/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($38.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING BLACK Feb18 Jan26 Nov27 Oct29 Oct20 (chavez ar)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
MCTHANKS Feb18 Jan26 Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
WARRIORS MARK Feb02 Oct06 Sep03 Jul16 Jun23 (fincher w)ROSENDO J 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
STRYDER Feb09 Jan12 Dec05 Oct11 Sep08 (rojero)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 15.00    
JET SET WARRIOR Jan26 Nov06 Jul22 Jun10 Mar28 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 6.00    
PLAYTHEMARKER Feb18 Feb02 Dec11 Dec04 Nov20 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
ARCH CITY Jan26 Dec11 Nov20 Apr02 Mar19 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
 
SUN-7   03/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEN HOUDINI Feb09 Jan25 Dec12 Nov21 Sep24 (rojero)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
GRIFTER Jan19 Dec11 Nov14 Oct28 Sep24 (rojero )FUENTES T 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
I AM THE JUAN Feb18 Feb01 Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 (morales danny)PEREZ A 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
QUINTON'S CHARMER Feb09 Jan25 Dec12 Dec04 Jul02 (munoz guadalupe )MEDELLIN A 124 4.00    
DEACON BEACON Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 (young a)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00    
RARE COIN Jan25 Jan11 Dec05 Oct28 Oct18 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
NOGAL CANYON Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
MIST N SEVEN Feb23 Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 Dec18 (martinez a)TORRES J 124 6.00    
 
SUN-8   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JAX Feb08 Jan12 Dec11 Nov13 Oct04 (gonzalez jos)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
EVANGELINA WHO Feb08 Nov13 Oct18 Sep16 Jun24 (cross gary)ROSENDO J 124 12.00    
SIGRID Dec12 Nov13 Aug26 Jul16 Jun17 (rust terri)TOHILL S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
HALEY WHO Feb09 Jan12 Oct18 Sep15 Sep02 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
MISS LUCKY LADY Feb08 Jan12 Dec18 Nov13 Oct25 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
SUPERCENTS Jan12 Oct05 Sep07 May21 Apr27 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 1.60    
EVIL TEMPTATION Feb08 Jan25 Jan12 Dec11 Dec05 (quiroz filibert)VERGARA P 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
SUN-9   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASENUINMYDREAMS Dec20 Nov14       (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of CHASENTHISDREAM by TALE OF THE CAT)
EXTRA SPIRIT         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 12.00    
  (by KEEP ON PUNCHING out of EXTRA PRETTY by YOUR EMINENCE)
SCARY CHERRY         (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 5% 18.50    
  (by METABOSS out of CHARY by MONTBROOK)
AWESOME MIA         (morales danny)PEREZ A 121 12.00    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of MIA'S FIRST by MALABAR GOLD)
CHEROKEE CHERRY Feb09         (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 49% 1.10    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of CHERRY ONE by SIR CHEROKEE)
MUSICAL MONEY Feb15         (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of SONGCRAFT by MR. GROUSH)
KOMFORT KID Jan18 Jan05 Dec19 Dec05 Oct11 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  FLAQUITA Feb09 Jan05       (chadborn k)JAIME R 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of SKINNIE LOVE by BLACK SEVENTEEN)
SWAYING LASSIE Feb09 Jan12 Dec19 Nov20   (chavez alejandro)CARRENO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of JET SET LASS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
10  HUSTLING Feb09 Nov14       (mcqueen laur)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of KNOXVILLE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
11  JODI'S DANDY GIRL         (cross gary)TOHILL S 121 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by REAL DANDY out of INFINITE BLOOM by INFINITE RESOURCE)
12  ATTILA STYLE Feb09 Dec05       (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 6.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of FASHION CITY by PRECOCITY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.