Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - February 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/5)-(3/4/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(5/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(5/7/9)-(6/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-2   WIN (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/9)-(5/7/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/9)-(5/7/9/8)-(5/7/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/9)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/9)-(6/3/5)-(3/8/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(3/8/2/1)-(8/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/1)-(8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/1)-(8/2/4)-(9/4/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-5   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4/7/1)-(8/2/4/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(9/4/7/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(9/4/7/2/8)-(5/2/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/4/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/2/8)-(9/4/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/2/8)-(9/4/7/2/8)-(9/4/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/7/2/8)-(5/2/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/2/8)-(5/2/1/4)-(2/8/3/6/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/4)-(2/8/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/4)-(2/8/3/6/7)-(1/6/2/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/8/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/6/7)-(2/8/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/6/7)-(2/8/3/6/7)-(2/8/3/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/3/6/7)-(1/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LRL-9   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTIMATOR ZIGGY Jan28         (feliciano ben)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00    
2  SQUARE SLICE Jan13 Dec17 Nov16 Oct05   (bracciale vinc)BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  STELLARS IN CHARGE Jan12         (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  BUCKIN' DREAMER Jan28 Dec31 Nov16 Oct21 Sep04 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  WITHOUT PRETENCE Sep04 Aug12       (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 2.00 ★    
6  BUDDY'S A CHARM Dec30         (martin r)RODRIGUEZ L 114 8.00    
7  THE ICE MAN CARLOS Jan28         (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
 
LRL-2   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNLEVERAGED Feb03 Jan05 Nov18 Oct13 Aug19 (martin f)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
2  SENATE CHAMBER Jan12 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 Sep22 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 4.50    
3  PATRIOTIC PARTY Feb03 Dec29 Dec02 Nov10 Oct27 (dilodovico da)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 15.00    
SCR  NICK'S LITTLE BOY Jan31 Dec17 Dec01 Nov01 Oct07 (capuano p)HERNANDEZ F 126 12.00    
5  TAUBER Dec15 Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 Jul23 (dilodo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  THE CAIRO KID Dec17 Aug18 Aug04 May12 Mar31 (magee kiero)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 8.00    
7  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Feb09 Jan27 Jan13 Dec22 Dec08 (mohan r)TORREALBA JG 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
8  HELMS DEEP (GB) Feb09 Jan27 Mar22 Jan27 Dec14 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 30.00 ★    
9  CLAW Feb09 Jan05 Dec03 Nov17 Nov03 (doran carl)AGUILAR JEAN 116 2.50 6% 16.10    
 
LRL-3   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3 ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYES ELEVEN Jan14 Dec30 Oct28 Oct15 Sep29 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00    
2  KING'S RIVER Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 Nov17 Oct29 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00    
3  MASAKADO Jan07 Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Sep22 (lynch )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 1.60 19% 4.30    
4  IN THE DANCE Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 Oct28 Oct13 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
5  BREAK THE CHAINS Jan28 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Oct27 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ONE WAY FARRIOR Jan28 Dec15 Nov22 Nov09 Oct21 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 112 2.00 56% 0.80    
 
LRL-4   02/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3 F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ANOTHER PLAY Jan06 Dec17 Nov17 Oct07 Aug31 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  LISA'S PALACE Feb03 Jan14 Dec29 Oct20 Sep29 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 112 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  SKY VICTORY Jan12 Dec23 Nov04     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 1.40 21% 3.80    
4  MOMMA'S LINO Jan14 Dec17 Oct28 Sep22 Sep01 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 10.00    
5  FEELIN SO LUCKY Jan06 Dec17 Nov17 Oct28 Oct13 (eubanks annet)ROJAS MARTINA 116 12.00    
6  DETERMINED BLUE Jan07 Dec15 Dec03 Nov02 Oct01 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 117 10.00    
7  MOM'S OPAL Jan11 Dec15 Oct25 Oct02   (trombetta mic)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 15.00    
8  NEOLITHICA Jan14 Dec09 Oct29 Oct13 Sep24 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 121 2.50 20% 3.90    
 
LRL-5   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOULDHAVEBEENGONE Jan12 Dec22 Nov23 Nov10 Oct03 (martin ramon )CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 12.00 ★    
2  WEST STAR Jan12 Nov26 Nov10 Oct18 Sep22 (machado anto)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.50 16% 5.20    
3  OBOY Feb03 Jan27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov10 (gamber )BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
4  THE GREAT GAZOO Jan27 Jan13 Nov01 Oct21 Oct04 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOLD HONOR Jan12 Dec22 Nov23 Oct19 Sep29 (eubanks annett)TORREALBA JG 117 20.00    
6  DREAMS DELIVERED Jan27 Mar12 Feb19 Feb03 Jan08 (cortez e)CRUZ ANGEL 126 30.00    
7  FEDERAL OFFENSE Jan12 Dec22 Nov23 Oct21 Oct01 (mcmullen ma)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 1.80 ★    
8  NEVER COAST Jun25 Jun10 May26     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.00 58% 0.70    
9  BORUFF Jan27 Jan12 Dec01 May05 Apr16 (bracciale vinc)PEREZ XAVIER 126 30.00    
 
LRL-6   02/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Jan14 Aug10 Jun15 Jun02 May13 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 30.00    
2  SHIVAREE (GB) Jan12 Dec31 Dec11 Nov20 Oct17 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 8.00 5% 18.50    
3  FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Dec31 Dec15 Nov23 Nov03 Oct15 (garibay andres)MENA E 119 10.00    
4  UP AGAINST IT Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Dec31 Dec03 (mohan r)ALVELO C 126 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  BIG ROWDY DAN Jan28 Jan13 Dec02 Nov24 Nov04 (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00    
6  HOTPOT Jan31 Dec26 Dec11 Nov08 Mar14 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 10.00    
7  MUSICAL HEART Feb03 Oct25 Aug02 Jul19 Jun16 (corrales jose)TORREALBA JG 118 8.00 7% 14.10    
8  RAHMER Feb09 Jan14 Apr16 Feb20 Feb12 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  CLUBMAN Dec31 Nov12 Oct14 Sep02 Aug10 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
LRL-7   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESTLESS Dec19 Dec03       (iannotti t)ROWLAND MADELINE 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
2  RAKIA         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  SUMMERSTATEOFMIND Jan13 Dec03 Nov03 Oct14 Sep15 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 5.00    
4  TAJI MIKE         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUPER NEEDY Jan28         (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  OLUDENIZ         (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
7  HAVE NO REGRETS         (martin ra)HERNANDEZ F 124 15.00    
SCR  INDECENT BEHAVIOR Feb04         (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 4.50    
 
LRL-8   02/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR HOULIHAN Jun23 Jun02 Apr29 Mar11 Feb05 (mcmahon hugh )ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00    
2  ROWSIE EXPRESS Jan28 Dec16 Nov11 Sep21 Sep01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  GILDA'S GIRL Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 Nov03 (serey jr)MENA E 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  BROOKLYN GIRL Jan28 Sep15 Aug09 Jul05 Jun03 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
5  FLOWERDEW Dec23 Nov23 May24 Apr19 Mar02 (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 12.00    
6  WESTERN LANE Jan28 Dec16 Nov12 Aug18 Jul19 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 2.50 12% 7.50    
7  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Jan06 Aug25 Mar26 Jan13 Dec03 (motion grah)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NINJA ABARRIO Jan28 Nov25 Nov05 Oct06 Sep29 (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
9  THE HAUNTED ROOM Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Dec03 Oct19 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 113 30.00    
 
LRL-9   02/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 45 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY ROOM Jan05 Nov25 Oct20 Sep30 Aug11 (hohlbein kerry)BOYCE FOREST 126 1.40 34% 1.90    
2  I WANNA ROCK Jan12 Dec29 Dec09 Nov19 Oct13 (aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
3  GENERAL J R Dec29 Dec09 Nov18 May11 May04 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHERE'S RAY Jan12 Apr30       (salzman timot)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50    
5  NICO LUCKY Jan05 Feb25 Feb10     (mancilla carlo)TORREALBA JG 117 15.00    
6  BAND CAMP Jan05 Dec22 May18 May04 Mar25 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.60 23% 3.40    
7  BRIDGE TO SUCCESS Dec09 Nov10 Oct26 Jun17 Aug14 (geralis emanu)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.