Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (8/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/3)-(5/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/3)-(5/4)-(4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/6/5)-(6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(6/1)-(3/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(3/8/2/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/8/2/6)-(8/7/6/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6)-(3/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/6)-(8/7/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/6)-(8/7/6/5)-(7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-6   WIN (8/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/5)-(7/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/7/6/5)-(7/4/1)-(4/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(4/8/1/6)-(8/4/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/6)-(8/4/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SA-9   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/28/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HEY DEMPS Sep22 Sep08 Aug13     (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SHEAPAROUX by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  BLONDZILLA Feb19         (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of FLEET CAROLINE by TEJANO RUN)
4  ILLHAVEANOTHERKISS Sep22 Sep08 Aug06     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 121 12.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of FAMILY GIRL by TRIBAL RULE)
5  SATOSHI Oct06 Sep01 Aug06     (hofmans david)FREY KYLE 121 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MONEY PLAYS by MR. EASY MONEY)
6  MAGIC WANDERER Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug12   (miyadi steven)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of WANDA'S TOUCH by SQUARE EDDIE)
7  GRAZEN TOUCH Oct06 Aug24 Aug28 Aug06 Jun11 (aguirre paul)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of LAVENDER TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
8  DUSTY SPRINGFIELD Oct06         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by GRAZEN out of UNSUNG HEROINE by MORE THAN READY)
9  STYLISH DRESS         (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 121 5.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SUBPOENA THE DRESS by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Oct06 Aug18 Jul04 Jun16   ( )TBA null      
  (by UNIFIED out of MORE CAL BREAD by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
 
SA-2   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERITAS AEQUITAS Sep16 Aug10       (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 118 3.00    
2  SCREAMING VIRGINIA Oct15 Sep15 Sep04 May10   (mendez luis)LOPEZ D 119 2.50    
SCR  DETAILS MATTER Sep15 Aug24 Jul30     (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 118 5.00    
4  UNCLE JUJU Sep08         (aguirre paul)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 118 5.00 20% 4.00    
5  THOMPSON Sep04 Aug11       (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 115 1.80 48% 1.10    
6  RINGTONE Oct07 Aug11       (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
 
SA-3   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY HAPPY Oct06 Jul27 Jun10 Apr30 Apr02 (gallagher pat)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAKE NAIVASHA by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  THIRTY CARATS Sep30 Sep02 Aug17 Jul15   (hofmans david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  MACHIAVELLIQUE Oct05 Aug30 Jul29 Jun24 Jun03 (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MAKE IT SNOW Oct01 Aug17 Jul23 Mar17 Feb12 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SNOW KID by LEMON DROP KID)
5  BEAUTIFUL BOLT Apr22 Apr01 Feb25     (ruis sr)FREY KYLE 120 12.00 13% 7.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BEAUTIFUL BECCA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  MISS MONARCH BAY Oct07 Sep01 Nov12     (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CURLINA by CUVEE)
 
SA-4   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE DANCING Jan08 Nov25 Oct08 Sep10 Aug14 (mandella richard )SMITH E 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
SCR  ANGEL NADESHIKO Sep23 Aug05 Jun18 May20 Feb04 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 8.00    
3  VIOLENT RUNNER Sep29 Aug27 Apr28 Mar25 Feb05 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 4.00    
4  SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Sep23 Sep04 Aug05 Jun24 Jun10 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50    
5  OUTSIDE THE LAW May06 Apr22 Feb25 Jan26 Jan08 (campo stacy)BAZE C 124 12.00    
6  DOINITTHEHARDWAY Aug05 Jun03 May12 Mar26 Mar03 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
SA-5   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLO GLO Sep03         (d'amato phili)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  MOTET Oct07 Sep09 Aug12     (gomez ruben)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS HOLIDAY INN by TACTICAL CAT)
3  AVOIR Oct09 Sep08 Aug06     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PRINCESS JULIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  AMELIA BLEU Sep08         (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 120 30.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of PRETTYPRICEYGIRL by SCAT DADDY)
5  VISUALLY Oct14 Sep08       (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 15.00    
  (by ENTICED out of EYE CANDY ANNIE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  NAKOTA (IRE)         (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIOUX NATION out of REAL MAGIC by STORMSTER)
7  BLUE OASIS Oct06 Jul29       (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BLUE NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
8  CIRCLE OF TRUST Oct06         (d'amato p)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.00 16% 5.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OPEN HOUSE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 
SA-6   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP GUN CLASSIC Aug04 Dec02 Jul24 Jul03   (gomez ruben)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 20.00    
2  ROAD OF LOVE Sep29 Sep15 Jun09 Apr22 Jul31 (lopez l)ORTEGA CESAR 120 15.00    
3  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Sep30 Sep02 Aug05 Jul03 Jun09 (oviedo phil)FREY KYLE 120 4.00    
4  STAR PROSPECT Sep24 Sep02 Aug10 Jul03 Jun11 (saavedra anth)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
5  WARRENS WORLD Sep23 Apr09 Mar27 Jan21 Dec10 (lewis a)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00 9% 10.40    
6  CATHEDRAL LIGHT Oct09 Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 Jun23 (valenzuela )AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00 11% 8.20    
7  ALL THE KING'S MEN Oct09 Sep23 Sep10 Sep02 Aug11 (belvoir vann)TORREALBA JG 113 3.00 11% 8.00    
8  TIZ TOK Oct08 Sep16 May26 Mar11 Feb17 (periban jorge)BAZE C 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
9  CANELO Feb18 Nov27 Oct16 Sep11 Aug27 (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 3.00    
 
SA-7   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMME MO BABY Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 Jun17 Oct29 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00 8% 12.30    
2  LUMINIFEROUS Sep30 Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jun10 (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
3  ROSE BARTON (IRE) Aug17 Jun16 May26 Apr08 Mar04 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 124 3.50    
4  GRACE PERIOD (FR)         (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Aug18 Jul27 Jun10 May29 Apr02 (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
6  WITH LOVE (GB) Sep03 Jul29 Jun18 May21   (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 6.00    
7  YERWANTHERE (IRE) Aug26         (gallagher pat)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
SA-8   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAVEA (GER) Oct27 Sep29       (blacker daniel)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 12% 7.00    
2  MIDNIGHT LOVE May29 May12       (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 5.00    
3  FAVORITISM May03         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
4  ELIGIO Aug27 Aug11 Jul08     (oviedo phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
5  SHARPAZANO Sep10 Aug03       (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
6  RIGHT IN FRONT Sep04         (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SCHWARZMEIER         (sadler w)BAZE C 120 6.00    
8  TAPALO Sep24         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
SA-9   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Lure Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT THE ROAD Sep30 Aug19 Jul23 Feb04 Dec31 (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 126 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HIGHWAY MARY by U S RANGER)
2  IRIDEO (ARG) Sep30 Sep02 Jul23 May29 Apr02 (polanco mar)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
  (by EASING ALONG out of INFILTRADA by ALL AMERICAN (AUS))
SCR  ASTRONOMER Sep30 Aug19 Jul21     (callaghan sim)FRESU ANTONIO 126 2.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of QARAABA by SHAMARDAL)
4  VISITANT Sep30 Sep02 Feb04 Jan01 Dec16 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PEPPERMINT LOUNGE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  EASTER (FR) Aug24 Jul30 Jun22 May20 Apr07 (motion h )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
  (by EXOSPHERE out of EXCELLENT GIRL by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
6  SHORTMAN Sep16 Jul30 Jun25 May28 May05 (naranjo sal)HERRERA A 124 50.00    
  (by PRINCE OF LOVE out of SHORTY JONES by SMARTY JONES)
7  WAR AT SEA Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 Sep03 Jun04 (ellis w)SMITH E 126 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SERENE MELODY by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  BALLY'S CHARM Oct01 Aug05 Oct08 Sep05 May28 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 5.00 30% 2.40    
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of BALLYDONNELL DRIVE by ARCH)
9  CABO SPIRIT Sep02 Jul30 May29 Apr14 Mar04 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 126 8.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.