Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/3/1)-(9/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(9/7/1/2)-(5/6/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-2   WIN (9/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/2)-(9/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/2)-(9/7/1/2)-(9/7/1/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (9/7/1/2)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1/2)-(5/6/3)-(1/4/7/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/6/3)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(1/4/7/8)-(5/3/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-4   WIN (1/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/4/7/8)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/8)-(5/3/6)-(5/6/4/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-5   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/6/4/8)-(1/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-6   WIN (5/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8)-(5/6/4/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/4/8)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/8)-(1/2)-(1/9/3/2) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
WO-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/9/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WO-8   WIN (1/9/3/2) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/2)-(1/9/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/2)-(1/9/3/2/4)-(1/9/3/2/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   10/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLASPINA Sep22 Sep10 Sep01 Aug17 Jul08 (drake )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50 8% 11.50    
2  MY ASSISTANT Sep21 Aug18 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (holder tedston)FLORES ESWAN 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  TANGERINE TWIST Oct03 Sep26 Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 21% 3.90    
4  LULU'S LULLABY Sep21 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul01 (cole-simpson k)AEBLY FRASER 114 3.00    
5  ROSES ARE FREE Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jul16 Jun04 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.00    
6  MAGNETIZE Sep21         (samulak julia )JORDAN COREY 122 12.00    
 
WO-2   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP BAY         (minshall barba)AEBLY FRASER 114 10.00 16% 5.10    
2  BUSTA GROOVE Sep25 Sep11 Aug07 Jul25 Jun18 (agosti)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 12.00 7% 14.30    
3  RIVER OF BABYLON Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 (teape carlton)HOYTE JASON 121 6.00    
4  MAKES NO CENTS Sep15 Aug10       (mcknight norman)VIVES SOFIA 114 5.00    
5  SMOKIN HOLIDAY Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 (buttigieg pa)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 10.00    
6  AMAZON FORESTER Sep22 Sep02 Aug17 Jul30 Jul06 (krczmar zel)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
7  GLOBAL CHAIRMAN Sep10 Aug17 Jul22 Jul01   (depaulo michae)BYNOE DESEAN 116 3.50 27% 2.80    
8  HOLIDAY IN CHILE Sep29 Sep02 Aug17     (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
9  SERENADE AT SEA Sep02 Jul14 Jun10 May28   (tiller rober)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
WO-3   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN SAHARA Sep30 Sep07       (brooker terry )STEIN JUSTIN 121 12.00    
2  GAMBLER'S POSE Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 Jul02   (samulak julia )JOHNSON KIRK 121 15.00    
3  ANOTHER PINKY         (hinckson mart)CHERNETZ SKYE 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
4  STOLEN Oct01 Dec09 Nov12 Oct29 Oct01 (douglas matt)HUSBANDS P 121 2.00    
5  YOGA Sep23         (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 116 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  TIME TO RELOAD         (attard st)RAINFORD MICHELLE 121 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
WO-4   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR IS GOLDEN Sep23 Sep10 Aug04 Jun11 May12 (tharrenos will)FLORES ESWAN 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  CHARLOTTE'S SILVER Sep26 Aug05 Jun22 May25 May06 (siddo barrin)NICHOLLS KEVEH 125 12.00    
SCR  WICKED MIAH Sep23 Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 (tiller p)MUNGER RYAN 123 6.00    
4  KATCHY NAME Sep14 Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  NORTHERN RUBY Sep07 Aug24 Jul08 Jun03 Dec01 (sadler h)HOYTE JASON 121 12.00    
6  STORMY SUZIE Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (samulak j)SEECHARAN A 121 20.00    
7  KHOZZY VALINTINE Oct02 Sep05 Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 (mcpher)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 10.00 13% 6.60    
8  OHEAVENS Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (vassilieva)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 8.00 5% 17.90    
9  LOADED VIXEN Sep07 Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 Apr30 (dunslow mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 2.50    
 
WO-5   10/13/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WARP RIDE Oct01 Sep17 Aug05 May14 Apr23 (smith j)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
2  SMART COVERAGE Sep22 Aug06 Jul14 Jul07 Mar15 (tiller rob)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 20.00    
3  HE'S FULLY LOADED Sep24 Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Dec11 (black ian)MUNGER RYAN 124 5.00 8% 11.60    
4  SOONER LUNAR Sep29 Sep09 Jul30 Jul06 Jun09 (doyle michael )CIVACI SAHIN 120 8.00    
5  SILENT RESERVE Aug05 Jul21 Jul08 Jun02 May13 (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 120 0.80 68% 0.50    
6  KINETIC STONE Sep08 Aug27 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11 (raghunath ra)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GATLING GUN Sep29 Aug06 Jun04 Jun26 May13 (minshall )WILSON JAYNE 122 15.00    
 
WO-6   10/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JMR SPEEDY ESCAPE Oct08 Sep22 Sep02 Aug27 Aug17 (chircop steven)CRAWFORD J 123 6.00    
2  PASSTHEPUDDINPLEAZ Jul06 Jun09 Dec08 Nov18 Nov11 (drake suzann)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 12.00    
3  HARDWARE GAP Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul06 (agostino )WILSON JAYNE 123 10.00    
4  ADELAIDE COURT Sep24 Sep15 Aug17 Jul16 Jun11 (holder)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 8.00 12% 7.70    
5  LOBBY BAR Sep24 Aug26 Jun18 May28 Aug12 (kierans d)MUNGER RYAN 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  SEA TO AIR Sep22 Aug26 Aug03 Jun02 Jun09 (minshall barbar)VIVES SOFIA 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  MR. MARSHALL Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 Jul08 Jun02 (cole-simpson krista)ELLIS S 121 20.00    
8  SILENT RISK Sep22 Aug26 Aug06 Oct07 Sep11 (desruisseaux d)BYNOE DESEAN 118 15.00 11% 8.20    
9  MUSICAL STRIDE Sep15 Aug26 Aug17 Jul01 Jun10 (dep)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 4.00    
 
WO-7   10/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($114K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEYOND MYBUDGET Jul22 Jun24 Nov12 Oct15 Sep17 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
2  KEYFLOWER (FR) Sep17 Aug20 Jun03 Mar25 Oct01 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.80 18% 4.70    
3  LADY BREW Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 (chircop steven)MUNGER RYAN 125 4.00    
4  PEMBERLEY Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (mattine mich)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 8.00    
5  INVENTING Aug20 Jun17 Apr14 Mar10 Nov20 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 5.00    
 
WO-8   10/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXULT Sep29 Sep02 Aug03 Feb01 Jan04 (drexler martin)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  SUPER HEADLINE Oct01 Jun16 Jun01 Apr30 Nov27 (pottinger )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BONGINO Sep29 Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 (mcknight norma)CIVACI SAHIN 119 4.00 17% 4.90    
4  CHELSEA DAGGER Sep29 Sep07 Aug11 Jul06 Jun09 (mcknight norman)CRAWFORD J 121 6.00 ★    
5  ABSOLUTE JEWEL Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 (cole-simpson k)BYNOE DESEAN 113 15.00    
6  JMR PURE SENSATION Sep29 Aug21 Aug03 Jul06 Jun11 (chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 15.00    
7  OCTOBER FROST Sep29 Sep16 Aug04 Jul06 Jun18 (pleterski)WILSON JAYNE 123 20.00    
8  INFAMOUS COVERT Sep29 Sep02 Aug12 Jul06 May28 (dixon patrick)AEBLY FRASER 118 20.00    
9  MEHLEK Sep09 Aug13 Aug06 Jun18 Mar31 (tharrenos wi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.00 20% 4.00    
10  GENDRAGON Oct05 Aug25 Aug11 Jul16 Jun25 (boreland d)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 116 20.00    
SCR  KODIAK MAMBA (IRE) Oct03 Sep26 Sep05 Aug18 Jun24 (baumgartner ma)STEIN JUSTIN 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.