Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LBG-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/6)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LBG-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-7   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-1   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRISTINE'S JACK Aug13 Jul23 Jul09 Jun10 May28 (smith jackie)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by MUSKETIER out of KISSAMEE GLITTER by TEXAS GLITTER)
2  RISING REVOLUTION Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 Jul09 Oct21 (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 6.00    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of CLOUD RISE by BUDDHA)
3  HUG THE MUNNY Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 May14 (schmitt bill)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  EL DORADO STORM Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 Jun10 May21 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 0.60 56% 0.80    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KULA GIRL by HESABULL)
SCR  WHENTHEDOVESCRY Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 Jun17 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 8.00    
  (by GOT THE GOODS out of DOVE SHOT by GRAEME HALL)
 
LBG-2   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPALLI Jul15 Jul08 Sep25 Sep04 Aug06 (marks garry)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of BOCALLI by SLEW CITY SLEW)
2  DEFINITE PLEASURE Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun02 May12 (rumsey cory)ROCHA O 124 12.00    
  (by SECOND IN COMMAND out of MONTERO by LOUIS QUATORZE)
3  THE RIVER GREY Sep03 Aug05 Jul08 Oct15 Sep24 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 13% 6.60    
  (by CHARMING ASSASSIN out of PRECIOUS LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
4  ABRAA JABRAA Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (birdrattler sha)APANGO JUAN 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
  (by ABRAAJ out of HOLY MAMA by HOLY BULL)
5  JADED TIGER Aug27 Jul08 May27 Sep25 Aug12 (smith jackie)ALLEN LARRIS 124 7.00 9% 10.70    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
6  SHELLPHONE Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 Oct08 (weaselhe)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of OFFSHORE LADY by BERNARDINI)
 
LBG-3   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTHERN MISSILE Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 1.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of NORTHERN SWALLOW by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  PAINTLAKEPRIDE Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Aug05   (rycroft cli)GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by EDISON out of DAUGHTER'S PRIDE by GIACOMO)
3  READY TO ORBIT Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Nov13 (fogle all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00    
  (by ORB out of READY TO RAMBLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  FLASHING JOKER Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 Jul08 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 7.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
5  CORONA DEL MAR Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 May27 (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
  (by GORMLEY out of SUPERBOWL SALLY by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
 
LBG-4   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL DOMINION Sep09 Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 (miyashiro ta)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
  (by NUMAANY out of COOL COMMOTION by KAHUNA JACK)
2  THE ITALIAN MAN Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jun23 Jun10 (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of SHE'S ITALIAN by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
3  STEALING HEARTS Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun18 May21 (conway la)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
4  BIG TIME ROB Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 10.00    
  (by EL ROBLAR out of SWISS QUEEN by SWISS YODELER)
5  YES NO MAYBE SO Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 Jul09 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by ILIAD out of LOST MEMORY by THUNDER GULCH)
6  FULLOUT FIRE Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 7.00    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of OTHLADY by OTHELLO)
7  SABURO'S GRACE Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jul30 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 0.40    
  (by SABURO out of MIZ GRAYCEE by MIZZEN MAST)
 
LBG-5   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSIN MISCHIEF Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 Jun24 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.00 55% 0.80    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of DYNAMIC LADY by DYNAFORMER)
2  FRAN FROM PERU Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of IT'S JO JO by JOHANNESBURG)
3  LANDRY KYLE Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00    
  (by KIPLING out of LE GRAND FROMAGE by WAR)
4  TEGAN'SBESTWILKO Sep16 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jun23 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 3.00    
  (by WILKO out of KULKA by VICTORY GALLOP)
5  JUST CLASSY Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 (smith jackie)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.40 21% 3.80    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of JUST DETAILS by BELONG TO ME)
 
LBG-6   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE HYBRID Sep09 Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 Jun17 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of ADMIRER by PRIVATE TERMS)
SCR  GRAY GEM Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 0.80    
  (by MATTY G out of WHATDIDSHESAY by KNIGHT IN SAVANNAH)
3  RATTLESNAKE JACK Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 (smith darcy)ROCHA O 124 12.00    
  (by BALMONT out of STOPTHEKADENCE by DOUBLE DEWARS)
4  KVOTHE Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (smith rusty)APANGO JUAN 124 3.50    
  (by CAUSE TO BELIEVE out of KIMBO by SKIP TO THE STONE)
5  BERNALINHO Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jun10 Jun03 (smith jackie)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of DEMOCRATIC SWEEP by GOTHAM CITY)
6  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Jul09 Jun18 (oberholtz)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MY CINSATION by CINDAGO)
 
LBG-7   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JHAWK FLYER Sep10 Aug18 Jun25 Jun11 Aug11 (dennis g)BUGEAUD L 124 12.00 11% 7.80    
2  ACCELERATE EXPRESS Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Sep24 (smith darcy)ROCHA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIVERYMAN Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 1.20 61% 0.70    
4  SUPER D'ORO Sep09 Aug07 Jul26 May23 May09 (ellis andre)ALLEN LARRIS 124 10.00    
5  QUICK SIX Sep09 Aug27 Aug20 Aug06 Jul29 (snider corey)APANGO JUAN 124 8.00    
6  AX 'S SHORE Sep09 Aug10 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 (dennis clifton )SIMPSON W 124 7.00    
7  EXPLICIT FIRE Sep10 Aug19 Jun09 May26 Nov05 (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 2.50    
8  BIG JIM Aug07 Jul17 Jun24 Jun10 Oct22 (giesbrecht joc)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.