Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/5/3)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/4/1)-(1/6/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/6/7)-(4/7/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(4/7/1)-(8/5/6/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(8/5/6/3)-(7/2/5/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (8/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3)-(8/5/6/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (8/5/6/3)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/20/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONSTRODAMOUS Aug30 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
2  VANGILDER Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 Jun15 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00    
3  LOOKIN HIGH Sep06 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul24 (anderson wend)TARASENCO P 122 8.00    
4  DELVECCHIO Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 Jun14 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.20 58% 0.70    
5  CATO'S LADY Sep12 Aug28 Aug22 Aug01 Jul26 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 12.00    
 
ASD-2   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOIWONTBACKDOWN Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 1.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
2  FINALIZE Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.20 60% 0.70    
  (by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
3  ASHES TO ASHES Sep06 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul10 (brown sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
4  I AM MILA Sep06 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 116 6.00    
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
5  ARTFUL JESTER         (husbands tiff)TARASENCO P 119 10.00 6% 15.30    
  (by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN out of ARTFUL DANCER by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  HELENS SPIRIT Sep12 Jul25 Jul12 Jun07 Sep27 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 25.00    
  (by UPSTART out of SAINTLY ROSE by GRAEME HALL)
7  BOLD NEW TRICKS Sep04 Aug23 Aug01 Jun23   (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 119 20.00    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of NO TRICKS FOR JACK by JACKPOT)
 
ASD-3   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCH THE DREAM Sep06 Oct29 Oct14 Sep24   (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ISLAND HIGH Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 20.00    
3  LADY COP Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.40 59% 0.70    
4  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  OLIVE'S CANDY Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 114 12.00    
6  I'VE GOT ALL NITE Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 Jul17   (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 3.00    
 
ASD-4   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPERLY CONNECTED Sep12 Sep04 Aug22 Aug08 Jul12 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 1.20 60% 0.70    
2  MOSIE'S ON MAIN Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 (husbands tiff)TARASENCO P 124 25.00    
3  KEYSTONE CASH Sep12 Aug29 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 30.00    
SCR  SUNSPOT Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 Jul12 Jul04 (morin shaun)ALI RONALD 124 20.00    
SCR  OSCAR THE GULCH Aug22 Sep27 Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 (fraser lorn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 6.00 ★    
6  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Sep12 Sep04 Aug23 Jul31 Jul26 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
7  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Sep12 Aug30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul25 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DEBALICIOUS Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jun12   (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 10.00    
 
ASD-5   09/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRISINCONTROL Sep12 Aug14 Jul31 Jul11 Jul05 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 119 25.00 5% 19.00    
2  FRANKS RELOAD Sep11 Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 Jun27 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 4.00    
3  JUSTA BUSTER Sep11 Aug21 Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 6.00    
4  BIG TICKET Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul26 Jul02 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  TOMAHAWK EXPLORER Sep11 Aug30 Aug21 Aug01 Jul19 (fraser lorn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 40.00    
6  WITT'S ROJO Aug08 Jul31 Jul04 Jun28 Jun04 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 15.00    
7  LUCKY CHUCKEE Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 Jul24 Jul12 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
SCR  MORO OUTLAW Aug30 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul02 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 10.00 8% 11.30    
 
ASD-6   09/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPITURE WAY Sep12 Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 123 20.00    
2  WITT NINE Sep06 Aug23 Jul31 Jun21 Jun07 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 15.00    
3  M AND M GIRL Aug02 Jul19 Jan11 Dec27 Nov15 (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 8.00 6% 15.60    
4  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Sep12 Aug30 Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 (maxwell curtis)CHOW CHAVION 123 25.00    
5  ARAMON Aug30 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 123 1.60 22% 3.50    
6  WHAT UP NOW J T Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118 5.00 17% 4.90    
7  STREAMER Sep06 Aug23 Jul31 Jun14 Apr18 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 123 10.00    
8  BLUEGRASS SOUL Aug23 Aug02 Jun25 Jun11 May21 (hanson debora)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
9  SCARLETT'S FLOWER Aug30 Aug09 Jun19 Oct28 Oct14 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 50.00    
 
ASD-7   09/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD SPECIAL Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul26 (maxwell curti)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 40.00    
2  ITSTHATTIME Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 May22 Sep13 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  LAST RENEGADE Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  NORTH FORK Sep06 Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 25.00    
5  RAILSPLITTER Aug23 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
6  CAPTIVE KITTEN Sep06 Aug28 Jul31 Jul11 Jul03 (morse victor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 30.00    
7  WARRIOR'S MAP Sep11 Aug30 Jul24 Jul03 Jun26 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
8  THE LONNA RANGER Sep13 Sep04 Aug23 Aug07 Jul26 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 119 20.00    
SCR  BEHAVIN MYSELF Sep11 Aug30 Aug08 Jul15 Jul09 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIDE STREET DAVE Sep11 Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 Mar27 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 124 15.00    
11  LAB RAT Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul31 Jul11 (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 124 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.