Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CBY-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/6/4)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CBY-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(10/8/5/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CBY-5   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3)-(10/8/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CBY-6   WIN (10/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/8/5/4)-(10/8/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/8/5/4)-(10/8/5/1/4)-(10/8/5/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/8/5/4)-(7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/8/5/4)-(7/6)-(7/8/4/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CBY-7   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(7/8/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CBY-8   WIN (7/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EISENSTAEDT Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 Apr23 (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
POLITICAL RIOT Aug03 Jul22 Jun28 Jun07 Apr29 (van tay)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
WILLY THE COBBLER Jul29 Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Feb06 (diodor)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.50    
KING NATE Aug09 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 May27 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00    
SIGNOFTHECROSS Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 May27 May06 (gutierrez juan )WADE LYNDIE 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
CBY-2   08/26/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRESSONS LIL CHARM Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 118 1.60 19% 4.30    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of ARTISTIC CHARM by DUTCH ART)
TACTICAL EXPRESS         (tranquilin)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 4.50    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of TACTICAL GIRL by TACTICAL CAT)
SKY RAVEN         (espinoza ed)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 6.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of SKYCON by LEXICON)
ADIOS MUCHACHAS         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 1.80 26% 2.80    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of ALL SUMMED UP by IN SUMMATION)
MY LITTLE GYPSY Jul29 Jun25       (donlin la)ULLOA JOAN 118 5.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of MYLILRANGER by U S RANGER)
 
CBY-3   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEKING SPLENDOR Aug17 Aug03 Jul08 Jun11 May07 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 4.50    
BLACK LIMO Aug03 Jul20 Jun28 Jun11 Apr23 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 12.00    
DON'T BOX ME IN Aug03 Jul15 Jul02 Jun07 Sep03 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
O DOGG Aug13 Jul22 Oct30 Jun05 May21 (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
PASSTHECAT Aug06 Jul26 Jul15 Jun04 Dec10 (hanson vi)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00    
ZOFFA Aug03 Jul08 Jun17 May05 Apr14 (rengstorf ton)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.00 13% 6.90    
 
CBY-4   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAYHAYCAPTAIN JAC Jul29         (mcdaniel brianna)HARR KELSI 119 1.40 62% 0.60    
PASSING TIME Jun24 May28 May04 Mar19   (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 5.00    
BURNING LEAVES Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 Jun04 Sep17 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 1.00 15% 5.50    
J J'S WILDCAT Jul26 Jun25 Sep04 Jun22 May25 (mckinley fran)SOSA LAUREANO 119 12.00    
BIG BOY MCCOY Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 Sep15 Sep08 (sweere sandra)GLASS DERBE 119 10.00    
 
CBY-5   08/26/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARVELOUS THUNDER Aug06 Dec10 Sep14 Aug10 Jun01 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
RANGER GUS May27 Aug31 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 (candelas bl)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 15.00    
MISTER BANJOMAN Jul15 Jun02 Feb26 Jan06   (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
OPTIMAL COURAGE Aug02 Jul03 Jun25 Jun10 May28 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 4.50 49% 1.00    
CHANNEL WON Aug02 Jul15 Jun25 May28 Mar30 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
HAPPY HOUR BOBBY Aug06 Jul27 Jul15 Jun18 May27 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 8.00    
HI YAH Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 Jun10 May02 (williams matt)WADE LYNDIE 117 8.00    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO Jul15 Jul02 Jun08 May28 May07 (peters vi)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
SCR  DIVE DEEP Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 Sep30 Sep05 (danger kev)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
10  RELEASED Aug06 Jul15 Jun11 May28 May06 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00    
 
CBY-6   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTY VIEW         (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of CLARE VIEW by HARD SPUN)
INCREEDIBLE VICTOR         (rhone bern)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of AVI'SBLAZINVICTORY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MO MESA         (williams matt)WADE LYNDIE 118 8.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of VICAR'S DAUGHTER by VICAR)
RIDIN SOLO Aug06 Jul20       (bethke a)HARR KELSI 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SWEET TANGO by MASTER COMMAND)
LATIN FORCE Aug10         (sweere sa)ULLOA JOAN 118 12.00 9% 10.70    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of WAVELAND by WOODMAN)
JONNY B GONEY Aug10         (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 6.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of IT'S TAMARENO by VICTORY GALLOP)
BENZ LAKE THUNDER Aug10 Jul20 Jul01     (bethke)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 113 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LILAH'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
COMMISSIONER OSCAR Aug10 Jul20       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS JANE by KELA)
CARPE GOLD Aug10         (bethke a)MURRAY M 118 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of MINE O' MINE by MINESHAFT)
10  GOT GHOSTED Aug10         (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WANADAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
CBY-7   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 35 ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT ON THE PROWL Aug05 Jul01 May28     (candelas bl)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 12.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of MARYVILLE by PETIONVILLE)
FOUND JORDAN Aug13 Jul19 Jun24 May29 Jun15 (peters vi)ULLOA JOAN 124 3.00    
  (by KELA out of ONE WON ELEVEN by EMAILIT)
CAUSEWAY SURPISE Aug13 Jul03 Jun17 Sep17 Aug25 (rengst)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 114 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ONE MORE STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
WHODOESITBETTER Aug13 Jul29       (riecken bruce)WADE LYNDIE 124 10.00    
  (by EYE OF THE LEOPARD out of PRETTY AS A SMILE by VISION AND VERSE)
TAHKODHA KNIGHT Aug05 Jul19 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 (hanson vic)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00    
  (by SHEER TRICK out of TAHKODHA QUEEN by TAHKODHA HILLS)
IMAGINE DRAYGON Jul29 Jun04 Sep01 Aug18 Jul28 (backhaus lexon)HARR KELSI 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of B L'S WAGON by B L'S APPEAL)
TOTAL SURPRISE Aug13 Jul19 Jul01 Jun17 May28 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 1.80 75% 0.30    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of AMBUSHER by RAHY)
RED'S MR Z Aug03 Jul09 Jun24 May29 Mar18 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 114 20.00    
  (by MR. Z out of LAURIEFULLOFGLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
PRESTIGIOUSLY WILD Aug05 Jul15 Jun17 Aug25 Jul28 (backhaus lexon)MURRAY M 119 6.00    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of AWARD by SHARP VICTOR)
 
CBY-8   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER HUNTER Aug06 Jul26 Jul08 Jun11 Apr11 (woolley ben)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50    
BIG PETE Aug10 Jul15 Jun28 Jun04 May08 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNIQUE PATH Aug06 Jul15 Jun28 Jun11 May28 (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00    
RED CENTS Aug17 Jul09 Jun24 Sep30 Aug28 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
DA GHOST Aug06 Jul26 Jun17 Sep15 Aug27 (rhone bern)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50    
TEXAS HOLDEM Jul20 Jun18 May07 Apr22 Mar24 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 12.00    
GLENDALE Aug10 Jun28 Jun18 May28 May06 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 114 2.50 34% 1.90    
PUBLIC OPINION Aug06 Jul20 Jun18 Apr17 Mar11 (rarick wade)WADE LYNDIE 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.