Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-3   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/2/1)-(4/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-7   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-8   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(6/7/2/4)-(1/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-9   WIN (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-10   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/8/2)-(1/5/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-2   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD TO COME HOME Aug12 Jun30 May26 May12 Oct29 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 44% 1.30    
2  CARSON'S LEGACY Aug13 Jul28 Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.50    
3  SILVER SPUN Aug12 Jul22 Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 (ananas edw)RIZO ALEXIS 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  REDNECK REMARK Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16   (mcdonald ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.00    
5  YORKTOWN Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May27 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
6  VISION QUEST Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 Nov05 Oct21 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 10.00 5% 18.70    
 
CTM-3   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Princess Margaret Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILKSTONE Aug05 Jul21       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
2  MISS MIEZIE Jul21         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
3  BIRDY'S ON FIRE Aug05         (zielke madison)PEREZ AMADEO 120 3.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BIRDMUDIFUL by BIRDSTONE)
4  JODEYS LIL PAIN Aug04 Jul21       (payne jodey)NATERA KEIHTON 123 1.60 36% 1.70    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
 
CTM-4   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACE HOME Jul22 Jul01 Apr24 Feb18 Feb07 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 3.00 13% 6.60    
2  DECOY Aug06 Jul22 Jun09 May26 May13 (kettleson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
3  VIATURE Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May26 Oct29 (robertson j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
4  I'M DASHING Jul22 Jun24 Dec02 Oct27 Oct01 (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 6.00    
5  THESHACK Jul28 Jul08 Jun16 Nov05 Oct29 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 125 2.00    
6  SLAATS Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jul29 Jul09 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
CTM-5   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Canadian Juvenile Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIPSY TALES Aug05         (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASK by MARIA'S MON)
2  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM Aug05         (kingston rob)NATERA KEIHTON 121 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
3  DOUG'S HERO Aug05 Jul21       (petrowski joan)MARTIN ANDRE 121 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of COMPOSING by TOUCH GOLD)
4  THUNDER ROARS Aug05 Jul21       (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MARINE LANDING out of HANGINGONAPRAYER by GRAND SLAM)
5  ITSALLGOODMAN Aug05 Jul21       (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  GRATED COCONUT Aug05         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 4.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
 
CTM-6   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO BAKK TALK Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (smith ron )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 6.00 7% 12.90    
2  TALA Aug05 Jul29 Jun09 May26 May12 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 10.00    
3  THRILL OF THE NITE Aug11 Jul21 Jul01 Jun02 May12 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  SMILIN EVIE Aug13 Jul29 Jul23 Jul01 Jun17 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50    
5  CHATTY GAL Aug13 Jul29 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (jones danny )NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00 6% 17.10    
6  STOLEN JEWEL Aug04 Jul01 May27 Sep17 Sep02 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.50    
7  FLORIST Aug12 Jul30 Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
CTM-7   08/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN JEWEL Aug13 Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 120 12.00    
2  SILVERFOOT Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 125 10.00    
3  KYSTONE Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
4  BACKSTREET BOBBY Aug11 Jul28 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 5.00    
5  FLASHFORDANI Aug11 Jul23 Jun02 May12 Sep10 (kingston )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 8% 11.50    
6  CREDIBILITY Aug11 May06 Sep14 Aug26 Apr29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 4.00    
7  PARKING PERMIT Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May26 Oct29 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-8   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW'S BAK Aug04 Jul23 Jun16 May28 May14 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
2  DRINKING AGAIN Aug04 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 May26 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  IMPACTO Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May26 May13 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  STONE CARVER Aug04 Jun28 Jun03 Aug20 Jul29 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 18% 4.60    
5  COUNTRIFIED Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jun02 May12 (kingston rober)AEBLY FRASER 120 10.00    
6  ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Apr30 Apr01 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 8.00    
7  WALKTHELINE Aug04 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 May26 (mcdonald r)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 12.00    
 
CTM-9   08/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHINE (ARG) Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 (gourdeau b)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.00    
2  READYTOTAPNSING Aug13 Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 118 4.50 8% 12.30    
3  MIDNITE CHILL Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 10.00    
4  RUNNINFORCOVER Jul22 Jul09 Jun23 May26 Dec09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRODY'S PAL Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 120 20.00    
6  FOUR O SIX CREED Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Nov22 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  NICE GUY EDDIE Aug04 Jul16       (anderson go)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
8  SANSOME Jul23 Mar18 Feb22 Oct08 Sep23 (baker ta)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
 
CTM-10   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS MAN CAN Jul23 Jun16 May27 May06 Sep30 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.00 70% 0.40    
2  SNAP COUNT Jul28 Jul16 Jun24 May26 May06 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Aug12 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
4  PULL THE PIN Jul28 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May26 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 6.00    
5  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Jul28 Jul16 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 4.00 7% 13.90    
6  TRICKY SPEEDSTER Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 May26 (nichol)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00    
7  STORMY SUMMIT Aug06 Sep24 Sep11 Sep04 Jul27 (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
8  PUMP THE BRAKES Aug13 Jul30 Jul23 Jun24 Jun02 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.