Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/2/4)-(8/3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(8/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(8/3/2/5)-(3/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-9   WIN (8/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/2/5)-(3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2/5)-(3/1/7)-(1/5/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(1/5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-11   WIN (1/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/9)-(1/5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/9)-(1/5/6/9)-(1/5/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIOBELLA Jul29 Jun17 May29 Jan27 Jan08 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 1.40 68% 0.50    
2  LUV MAP Jul29 Jul14 Jun02 May19 Apr29 (murphy swan)NOLL S 120 2.50    
3  IRON LOTUS Jul09 Jun16 May15 May05 Apr23 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELI'S GIRL Jun25 Jun11 May26 May13 Apr14 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 125 3.00    
5  CAYMAN QUEEN Jul14 Jun25 May03 Apr19 Apr05 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-6   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25.422K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOLLY BYE O Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 May27 May12 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  CLIMB TO GLORY Jul27 Jul14 Jul03 Jun09 Apr06 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 119 2.00    
3  SKYLAR'S FIRE         (martin wi)TRIANA JR 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  BETH'SWICKEDSMACK         (dieter dal)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  CAN'T MAKE ME Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Jun19 May27 (mcshane davi)SALAZAR TERESA 119 1.60    
 
PRM-7   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Jul10 May28 Apr15 Mar11 Jan27 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  BARSTOW Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May12 Apr22 (condon sc)DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
3  INCITATUS Jul30 Jun12 May09 Apr21 Apr07 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
4  MUNNYCANTBUYMELOVE Jul16 Jun17 May21 Sep23 Aug19 (martin e)BIRZER E 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
5  BILLY YANK Jul23 Jul15 Jun30 Jun12 May27 (roe w)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
6  COOL CATOMINE Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 Apr29 Feb10 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 122 12.00    
7  HEZA WILD RIDE Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr08 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
 
PRM-8   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE TAP DANCER Jul21 Jul02       (murphy travi)SALAZAR TERESA 114 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by TAPWRIT out of LIL RED COZETTE by HENNY HUGHES)
2  KANT RESIST IT Jul21         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOUNDS DELICIOUS by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  MISS CLASSIFIED         (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
4  FULL MOON BEACH         (murphy)FLETCHER D 119 3.00 11% 8.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRIVATE BEACH by MALIBU MOON)
5  CAN'T WANT THAT Jul21         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of JULIE FROM DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
6  KONA KINLEY Jul30         (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
 
PRM-9   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTOFQUEMADO Jul24         (rollins mich)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of NO BABY by OH TANNER)
2  CONSTITUTION DAY Jul15 Jul03 Jun03 May22 Apr10 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 119 3.00 6% 15.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SNOWMASS by KINGMAMBO)
3  WAR RASCAL Jul24 Jun23 Apr01 Feb23   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of OH LOVELY by VICTORY GALLOP)
4  UNSTABLE PRINCE Jul28 Feb20 Jan07 Dec17 Feb12 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CHI OMEGA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  SCOPELLO Jun23 Apr26 Apr11 Mar25 Feb26 (mcfarlane dan)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BOLD AND WONDERFUL by OLYMPIO)
6  BRAHMS IMAGE Jul24         (martin wi)TRIANA JR 119 6.00    
  (by BRAHMS out of ENGLISH SPRING by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
7  CODE ONE Jun23 May27 May12 Apr01 Feb26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
8  CONTRABANDISTA Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 May27 May12 (morse l)TOHILL S 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HARLAN'S ROMANCE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
PRM-10   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAY'S MOON STONE Jun26 Jun09 Jun02 Apr07 Feb15 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  ANGEL'S MELODY Jul21 Jun23 May22 Oct01 Sep11 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 117 10.00    
3  BIG BAD DIVA Jul07 Jun26 Jun09 Mar25 Mar05 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  SPANISH DELIGHT Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 Feb24 Feb03 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 122 3.50    
5  MY FIRST PEARL Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 May06 Mar05 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 4.00    
6  TIFFANY TWIST Jul23 Jun09 May17 Apr24 Apr04 (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 115 6.00    
7  AQUILA MOON Jul07 May20 Apr24 Jan16 Dec09 (young sco)TRIANA JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-11   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVERSPORT Jul30 Jul17 Jul02 Jun19 Dec16 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  PRICE TO PAY Jul23 Aug19 Jul02 Jun12 May29 (condon sch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 20.00    
3  A. K. SAFARI Jul23 Jun12 May27 May12 Jun03 (dieter da)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
4  MINE MY TIME Jul15 Jun25 Aug19 Jul24 Jun19 (martin e)BIRZER E 123 6.00    
5  AWESOME FAMILY Jul29 Jul03 Jun18 Apr01 Feb25 (donlin la)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
6  MAPACHE G Jul23 Jul03 Mar18 Feb24 Feb10 (roe w)TOHILL S 123 10.00 8% 11.40    
7  J P CORNETTA Apr30 Mar18 Dec28 Dec01 Nov05 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 3.00    
SCR  GINGER RULES Jul30 Jul23 Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 120 3.50    
9  MATRICULATE Jul14 May20 May13 Mar05 Feb19 (rhodes lester)ZIEGLER ZACK 123 30.00 7% 14.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.