Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/4/1/5)-(3/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-7   WIN (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5)-(2/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/5)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/5)-(3/5/2)-(6/5/9/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-8   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/6/2)-(3/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(6/5/9/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/5/9/7/4)-(4/3/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/5/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/7/4)-(6/5/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/7/4)-(6/5/9/7/4)-(6/5/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/7/4)-(4/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/7/4)-(4/3/2/5)-(6/3/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRM-10   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(6/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-11   WIN (6/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENNY'S CHICK Jul14 Jun25 Nov04     (von hemel)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
2  BREW CASA Jul23 Jun30 Jun04 May19 Apr30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
3  GP'S AMAZING GRACE Jul14 Jun17 May28 Apr28 Apr10 (flores oscar)JORDAN R 122 2.00 12% 7.10    
4  GRAYDAWN DAY Jul14 Jun17 May26 May05 Apr23 (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 124 2.50    
5  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Jul10 Jun12 Apr02 Mar05 Feb11 (eikleberr)TRIANA JR 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  POWER TO PLAY Jun17 May18 Apr22 Dec10 Oct26 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 6.00 30% 2.30    
 
PRM-6   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A BIG STAR Jun18 May28 Mar16 Dec31 Dec04 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  HOUSE WRECKER Apr15 Mar04 Feb18 Jan22 Dec18 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 123 1.60    
3  YANKEE PRIDE Jul15 Jun30 May19 Apr14 Mar12 (rhodes lester)ZIEGLER ZACK 123 12.00    
4  REINA DEL SUR Jul21 Jun02 May22 Apr08 Mar12 (donlin larry )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.00 6% 15.70    
5  SOCIAL CIRCLE Jun17 May19 Sep30 Aug19 Aug05 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00 28% 2.50    
6  LONG MONDAY Jul09 Jun17 Sep29 Sep16 Aug05 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 123 5.00    
 
PRM-7   07/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 F PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WON HAPPY MAMA         (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  C'MON LUCKY Jun30         (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SUMLIN by ESKENDEREYA)
3  ESPRIT ROUGE Jul08         (gleason t)TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRIMSON SPIRE by GONE WEST)
4  MORNINGNOONANDNITE Jul08 Jun19       (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
5  TOMMY'S CRUE         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of CREATIVE BLISS by CREATIVE)
6  SHE'S SOLID SILVER         (chleborad)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of SOLID SCAM by CONSOLIDATOR)
7  TENNESSEE GRACE         (hargens bob)SALAZAR TERESA 114 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WILD ABOUT IRENE by OFFLEE WILD)
 
PRM-8   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASEYS MEMORY Jun19 May27 Apr29 Mar13 Feb15 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50    
2  LIGHTNING STRUCK Jul03 May29 Apr29 Mar26 Feb24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEVERLY PARK Jul05 Jun23 Apr14 Mar31 Mar24 (cash norman )JORDAN R 122 1.80 68% 0.50    
4  FAR FROM FINAL Jun22 May27 May09 Apr16 Mar11 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
5  BROADWAY PETE Jul16 Jun12 May27 Mar18 Mar04 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  OURBESTFRIEND D L Jul09 Jun16 May21 Apr29 Apr15 (martinez kelli)TOHILL S 120 5.00 ★    
7  LEAVEITONTHEFIELD Jul08 Jun24 Aug06 Jul24 Jun04 (rollins s)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
 
PRM-9   07/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY O K C Jun18         (flores oscar)ROMAN KEVIN 119 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of OH KAY SEE by NOTIONAL)
2  DEFIANT MALICE         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 6.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of YOU FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
3  BIYOMBO         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 5.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  BORDINOS Jul17 Jun24 Jun11     (martin ti)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of MANE PRINCESS by MINESHAFT)
5  ORE MINE Jun22 Apr13       (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
6  RUN FIRE RUN Jul17 Jun24       (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by RUN LIKE FIRE out of BRASSY LUCKY LADY by BRASSY WELLS)
7  EVEN TERMS         (gleason tyrone)ZIMMERMAN R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of CALICO STAR by LIQUOR CABINET)
8  ADAIR COUNTY Jul17         (pearson pa)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 20.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of OLEANNA by PLEASANT COLONY)
9  WAR HAWK         (young sco)TRIANA JR 119 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
 
PRM-10   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESENT TIME Jul08 Oct02       (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 118 3.00    
2  ARRESTED Jul08 Jun24       (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHEMEANSBIZNESS Jun23 May22 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 5.00 34% 2.00    
4  HALOSNHEAVEN Jul02 Jun04 Aug14 Jul23   (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  MINNIE'S READY Jul08 Sep24 Aug28 Aug07   (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUCHO MIA Dec17 Dec09 Dec02 Nov07   (gleason t)TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
7  COLLECTED GLORY Jun25 Jun02 May13 Apr21 Mar18 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 120 2.50    
 
PRM-11   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.477K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBA Jul10 Jun24 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 119 4.50    
2  REDNECKER Jul10 Jul01 Jun17 Sep26 Sep05 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
3  AMERICAN SUE Jul09 Jun24 Oct02 Sep25 Sep09 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  IVY ABAD GIRL Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 May20 Sep25 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
5  CATALE Jul10 Jun24 May27 Sep19 Sep02 (rufino eu)TRIANA JR 124 10.00    
6  APRETTYLULABY Jul09 Jun24 Jun05 May12 Sep29 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  KID BIZ Jul10 Jul02 Jun11 May29 Sep29 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 120 4.00    
8  BIT A BAD NEWS Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 May21 Oct02 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.