Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/4)-(2/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(2/5/4)-(5/4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/4/2)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/5/4)-(5/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/3/2)-(5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-6   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/4)-(3/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/5/1)-(5/4/1/7/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
LRC-8   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/4/1/7/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/4/1/7/6)-(1/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
LRC-9   WIN (5/4/1/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7/6)-(5/4/1/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7/6)-(5/4/1/7/6)-(5/4/1/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/4/1/7/6)-(1/6) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
LRC-10   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICENTE'S SHADOW Jun23 May12 Apr21 Apr01 Mar05 (ste)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 4.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  RIP CITY Jun03 May12 Apr28 Feb05 Dec26 (ruiz lorenz)HERRERA A 124 3.00    
DIVINE FEMININE Apr23 Mar31 Mar09 Jan20 Oct30 (ganbat ene)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00    
PAPALE May21 Apr23 Mar18 Feb19 Dec30 (mulhall kris)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 2.00 33% 2.10    
KRIXUS FLASH Jul02 Jun18 May14 Apr28 Mar03 (farias adan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 12.00    
DR. TROUTMAN Jun23 Apr02 Mar25 Mar13 Feb19 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
LRC-2   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WITHOUT BORDERS         (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MALIBU RAIN         (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 120 2.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FASHION RUNAWAY by OLD FASHIONED)
MASTERS SUNDAY         (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FLIRTING WITH FATE by SAINT BALLADO)
LORD BULLINGDON         (mccarthy mi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 15.00 8% 10.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MS SILVER OAK by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
PRINCE OF MONACO         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 0.60 46% 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
LRC-3   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNTIE BEV Mar12 Feb04 Nov13 Oct16 Oct07 (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 126 10.00    
JAYCEE May21 Apr30 Mar26 Mar09 Feb04 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 126 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  FRIENDLY SHUFFLE Jun24 May07 Apr09 Mar14 Feb07 (lucas robe)GONZALEZ P 120 3.50    
CAL Jun25 Apr23 Nov04 Oct10 Sep18 (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 5.00 16% 5.40    
THINK OF ANITA Apr07 May01       (v)ROJAS EDUARD 126 2.50 22% 3.50    
NOISEY BURGLAR Jun24 Dec17 Aug07 Jul03   (rivera sall)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 5.00    
 
LRC-4   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN'S SHOW BIZZ Jun25 Jan21 Dec30 Dec09 Oct21 (lewis craig)HERRERA A 126 4.00    
ROUND IN CIRCLES Jun25 Dec09 Sep16 Jul09   (smith kenneth)HARVEY B 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Mar09 Feb05       (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50    
STELLA STARLIGHT         (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SASSY TINKERBELL Apr24 Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 Jan13 (belvoir va)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 1.80 70% 0.40    
MIDNIGHT SUSI Jun25 Jun03 May12 Apr22   (pal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 3.00    
 
LRC-5   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDING Feb11 Jan22 Aug22     (uranga jesu)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 2.50    
PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jul01 May06 Apr17 Mar07 Jan15 (lucas robe)GONZALEZ P 126 3.50 45% 1.20    
J T'S WATCH Jun23 May05 Jan02 Dec11 Nov19 (bonde jeff)HERRERA A 124 3.00 9% 10.20    
PROJECT LEADER Sep16 Jul02       (crotts jame)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 2.00 18% 4.40    
LUCKY RYAN SEVEN Dec18 Jun25       (aquino m)HARVEY B 124 8.00    
SHARP WARNING May27 May20 Apr16 Mar12 Feb04 (ruiz loren)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 124 15.00    
SCR  EDINBURGH EXPRESS Jul04 May05 Apr01 Mar18 Mar11 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-6   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAVENLY KISSES Jun18 May28       (eurton pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 2.00    
KIMBERLY'S DEVIL Jul01 May05 Feb04     (lucas j)HARVEY B 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SENT BY ANGELS Jun11 Apr19 Mar25     (belvoir va)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 8.00 31% 2.30    
AMAZING FLYER Jun25 May05 Apr18 Mar27 Dec26 (rivera sally)ORTEGA CESAR 126 3.50    
ASSUREDLY Jun25 May14       (puy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 1.20 36% 1.80    
OAK CREEK GAL Jun25 Apr01       (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 120 10.00    
 
LRC-7   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLAIN THIS AUDIT Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 Mar19 (dollase cra)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
HANDY DANDY Dec26 Dec03 Nov11 Oct29 Sep05 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00    
SCR  SUBSIDIZE Jul03 Jun17 May29 May07 Apr08 (miller pete)HERRERA A 124 4.00    
ATOMIC DROP Jun10 May28 Apr07 Mar18 Feb10 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
MASTERING May29 Apr30 Apr07 Dec03 Oct08 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
LRC-8   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARY FAST SMILE Jun24 Mar19 May15 Apr17 Mar12 (dealba cesa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALPINE THUNDER Jul02 May27 Jan07 Dec18 Nov06 (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
STRAIGHTEN UP Oct02 Sep09 Aug12 Jul01   (puype mike)SMITH E 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
AMERICAN CAT Jun25 May13 Apr29 Mar09 Feb03 (ruiz lorenz)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 6.00    
COWBOY CHARLIE Dec02 Oct10 Aug25 Jul28 Jun17 (howey quinn)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
DEVIL AMONG US May13 Mar04 Jan27 Dec16 Nov06 (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 2.50    
 
LRC-9   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOMER JUSTICE Dec31         (rivera sall)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLACK MAGICIAN Jun24 Jun10 Apr21 Feb11 Jan21 (aquino m)HARVEY B 120 4.50    
CAN'T RECALL Jun24         (glenn w)ORTEGA CESAR 120 6.00    
CITY OF CHAMPIONS Jul01 Jun10 May13 Mar27   (aquino ange)HERRERA A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
REIGN OVER ME Jun24 Mar26 Feb17 Jan15 Nov12 (pal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 2.50 75% 0.30    
LAMPY Jun25 May20 Apr30 Apr07 Feb03 (morfin sergi)MACHADO YORDAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MONGOLIAN MASTER         (lucas robe)GONZALEZ P 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ABERDEEN'S KNIGHT Jun25 Dec17 Nov16 Sep18 Sep09 (v)ROJAS EDUARD 126 3.50    
MEDINA MAN Jun25 Jul01 Apr03 Feb25 Jan17 (rivera sall)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 8.00    
 
LRC-10   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAWASDEE Jun18 May06 Mar12 Feb17 Jan15 (mulhall kris)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 2.00 37% 1.70    
SMUGGLER'S RUN May28 May06 Oct16 Sep05 Aug05 (puype mike)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
BARELY FUNTIONAL Jun11 May13 Apr28 Apr08 Mar18 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00    
SCR  FORGIVING SPIRIT Jun11 May28 May06 Apr08 Mar05 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
GOLF DRAMA Jun11 Apr30 Oct29 Sep23 Sep04 (bonde jeff)HERRERA A 118 10.00    
CREATIVE PEAK May13 Apr29 Mar19 Dec31 Nov27 (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 124 3.50 9% 10.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.