Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Sunday - July 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-5   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
GRP-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-2   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MEMPHIS Jun18 Aug28 Aug20 Aug10 Jul23 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 6.00    
HAKUNUI Jun18 Jun10 May14 Apr16 Mar18 (harshman loeg)LOPEZ E 126 1.40 60% 0.70    
BREXTON Mar25 Mar12 Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
CHUMLY Jun25 Jun18 May13 Jun24 Jun05 (hof d)SMITH E 126 3.00 13% 6.60    
SNICKER'N DAN Jun18 Oct16 Oct08 Aug27 Aug20 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50    
 
GRP-5   07/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEATAPAR Sep17 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 Jul04 (cantrell marg)LOPEZ E 126 8.00    
  (by UNDERSTATEMENT out of RIO NEATA by BOCA RIO)
SANTASLITTLEHELPER         (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 119 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of NOT MY TAP by TAPIT)
IKE BUTTE Jul09 Jun18 Jan23     (cantre)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50    
  (by GIACOMO out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
SCR  IM IN IT TO WIN IT         (guerrero emi)SMITH E 119 4.50 17% 5.10    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TRUE BELIEVER by SMART STRIKE)
GATO NEGRO Jun11 May13 Apr23 Mar11 Feb17 (hurley de)JENSEN P 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by FED BIZ out of MINOLA by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCRATCH ME Apr05 Mar19 Feb26 Apr24 Mar19 (crystal du)PRECIADO A 126 10.00    
  (by SPINNING TOUCH out of TREMENTINA by EDDINGTON)
SCR  OREGONSPUD         (hof d)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of MISS CHATT by WAR CHANT)
 
GRP-6   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ INDY Jun17 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 (rhodes dixie )LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
  (by TIZ WONDERFUL out of INDYCAT by CAT THIEF)
HYDROGEN Jun10 May29 Jan31 Jan12 Dec19 (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of L. A. DEVINE by PULPIT)
SUNSET DRAGUNN Jun17 Aug26 Aug19 Aug06 Jul24 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of LUKE'S FINEST by INDIAN CHARLIE)
GOLDEN COWBOY Jun18 Mar25 Mar08 Feb20 Feb06 (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by GOLD ALY out of PERHAPS PERHAPS by SLEWDLEDO)
YEAR OF THE OX Jun25 Jul03 Jun28     (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 126 2.50 49% 1.00    
  (by OXBOW out of GRIFFINS MAGIC by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
WESTON Sep09 Aug21 Aug19 Jul16 May22 (hanson mark)JIMENEZ A 126 2.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ELKE by DIXIE UNION)
 
GRP-8   07/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S THE THING Jun24 Jun10 Sep05 Sep03 Aug11 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 3.50 71% 0.40    
GREAT CURVES Jun25 Aug11 Jun21     (hof d)SMITH E 126 4.00 5% 18.10    
MO SUGAFOOT Jun24 Jun18 Oct16 Oct10 Aug26 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
FANTASTIC SECRET May28 Apr28 Feb26 Jan06 Nov12 (kowalsky harl)GARCIA SHYANN 126 2.00    
HEY WILMAAA Jun25 Jun18 Oct16 Oct08 Aug28 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.