Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Energy Downs
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EDR-2   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-4   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EDR-6   WIN (5/8/6/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/2/9)-(5/8/6/2/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/2/9)-(5/8/6/2/9)-(5/8/6/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EDR-8   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EDR-2   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GREATEST EAGLE Jun04 May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 (ibanez alber)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 3.00    
2  R U TIZZIN' ME May28 May14 Apr30     (dennis clift)JOURNET JARRED 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FORGOTTEN VOWS Jun04 Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar15 (dennis clift)BETHKE A 128 2.00    
4  AUSTIN'S ACE Jun04 Oct02 Sep10 Sep04 Aug06 (garfias jorge)ELLIS DEVON 128 6.00 6% 15.60    
5  STAGE DOOR May29 May06 Apr23 Apr08 Mar18 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 4.00    
6  BANJO BILL Jun03 Apr29 Apr15 Nov08 Oct02 (ibanez alb)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 128 3.50 66% 0.50    
 
EDR-4   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSCLE HEAD Jun03 May28 Oct02 Sep25 Sep18 (tsosie terril)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 8.00    
2  THREE TIME CHARMER Jun03 May21 May13 Apr29 Mar26 (thompson )KELLENBERGER KODY 128 4.50 11% 8.20    
3  AFLEETASHA Jun04 May19 Jul31 Jul29 Jul23 (nelson bucks)BETHKE A 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE BONDSMAN May29 May06 Jun25 Jun11 May22 (cross p)LUARK T 128 6.00    
5  STREET N SOUR May29 May21 May06 Apr22 Mar26 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 4.00    
6  WILLIE THE MAN May27 May20 May05 Apr15 Mar18 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 3.50 10% 9.10    
7  WILLY B May27 May20 Oct02 Sep18 Sep02 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 3.00 55% 0.80    
 
EDR-6   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cowboy State Open Futurity Purse ($17.9K) 2 ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ANCHOR IS HOT         (hall dru)LUARK T 121 6.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of ONE HOT ROMANCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  SULA PEAK ROAD         (scudder r)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
3  NORTHERN LIMIT May29         (gibbs tyler)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
  (by NORTHERN SOLDIER out of LIMITLESSINYELLOW by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT)
4  SHE GOOD SAMARITAN May29         (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 121 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of MY DAUGHTER'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  VALIANT KNIGHT May29         (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 5.00 39% 1.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WHISPER LOUISE by BERNARDINI)
6  PERFECT MISCHIEF May06 Apr15       (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 121 3.00 11% 8.30    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NO PROB LAMA by PAYNTER)
7  MAN SEEKER         (mitchell chr)BETHKE A 121 8.00    
  (by MERIT MAN out of MAI TAI by TWO PUNCH)
8  DENNYS LEGACY May29         (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of BEYOND THE REACH by SAHM)
9  IMPULZIVE STORM May29         (matt r)LARSEN S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EMBEZZLEMENT out of IMPULZIVE KATE by PULZARR)
10  EFFORTLESS LADY May29         (maldonado mar)JIMENEZ DAVID 121 15.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
 
EDR-8   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOURIST LIKE ME Apr29 Apr15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug30 (jones f)ELLIS DEVON 128 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CECILIA'S HOPE Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 Jan19 Nov09 (crooked arm )BETHKE A 128 4.50    
3  UNTETHERED SOUL May29 May21 May20 May14 Apr14 (ducheneaux)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUEEN OF THE ICE Jun09 May29 May19 May14 Mar19 (ducheneaux jam)LUARK T 128 8.00    
5  SUNSHINE EMILY Oct02 Sep16 Sep03 Jul17 Jun25 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 5.00 69% 0.50    
6  AFLEET OKIE Jun04 Apr14 Mar17 Feb24 Feb10 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 1.80    
7  FAST SOPHIA Jun09 May13 Apr29 Apr16 Apr07 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 3.50 8% 10.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.