Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Meadows
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FMT-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(6/4)-(1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FMT-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1/2)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FMT-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/5/3)-(3/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FMT-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(3/1/4)-(7/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(7/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(7/5/6)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-6   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(5/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(5/3/1)-(6/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-7   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/5/4)-(7/1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FMT-8   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(7/1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FMT-9   WIN (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FMT-1   06/15/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTWORKTHEOKIEGIRL May15 Mar14 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 (gamez jose)ROMERO M 124 15.00    
LYNN'S FOLLY May15 Mar06 Oct14 Sep17   (chavira )BENN J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GENUINE DRAFT May10 Apr24 Mar28     (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 118 0.40 67% 0.50    
MISS TYRO May09 Mar28 Jul19 Jun14 May02 (o'brien mich)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
TWO ANGELS May15 Apr12 Mar20 Mar07 Feb24 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 4.00    
 
FMT-2   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.46K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. MORENA May16 May10 May01 Apr26 Apr03 (espiritu)BENN J 124 3.00    
  (by MO TOM out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
LAMENTABLE JARIN May08         (gunter micha)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 6.00    
  (by EARTHS VAIN SHADOW out of LAMENTABLE EVIL by FACT BOOK)
COMPUTER VIRUS May16 Apr25 Mar28     (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 118 8.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CONVENT TYPE by TAPIT)
DIAMOND GAL Jun02 Apr27 Mar30     (lewis jehu)GOFF L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIAMOND out of ADIRONDACK GAL by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
SCR  DONNATHEPRIMADONNA May17 Dec14       (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 118 2.00 57% 0.80    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of EVERLASTINGLY by FISTFITE)
YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN May10 May01 Apr12 Mar11 Feb10 (williams f)ROMERO M 118 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by ORDAINED out of NATALIE PAIGE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
FMT-3   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACEY BOSS May10 May01 Mar27 Mar06 Nov22 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 121 1.40 37% 1.70    
FIGHTINGTEMPTATION May09 Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 Dec17 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 2.00 16% 5.40    
ROSE OF EKITA May17 May08 Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 (lambert joanna)KIMES C 121 12.00    
J LOVE Jun08 May15 May02 Apr11 Jul12 (corderman s)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 12.00    
SCR  BRING IT ON BABY May17 May03 Apr24 Apr03 Dec09 (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
FMT-4   06/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROOKE'S ALL IN Jun08 May08 Apr14 Mar17 Mar09 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 3.00    
GOTOTHEWINDOW Apr12 Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 Dec15 (corderman s)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 8.00    
BRYANS SONG May08         (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.50 12% 7.20    
MY GOLDEN PRIZE May16 Apr24 Apr05 Mar20 Feb26 (lee mark)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
NITRO NINA May17 May01 Apr24 Apr03   (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
FMT-5   06/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMBO'S PROMISE May17 May02 Apr24 Apr03 Mar06 (david ron)ROMERO M 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
REMEMBER ME TONY May16 May01 Apr12 Mar28 Dec09 (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00    
HOODOO BROWN Dec15 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Jul18 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
EXCITING May16 Apr24 Apr12 Mar20 Nov22 (luneack theres)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
RONALD DALE May16 May01 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 119 2.50    
 
FMT-6   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE SOLDIER BOY May15 Apr25 Mar27 Mar04 Mar25 (pruitt m)LANDEROS C 124 15.00    
WILBERT May03 Apr12 Mar28 Mar04 Feb10 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00    
SCR  LASTCALLFORALCOHOL Apr12 Apr03 Mar14 Mar06 Aug20 (camillo ange)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEST JET May09 Apr25 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 8.00    
MONET'S DEVIL May10 Apr25 Apr03 Mar13 Feb10 (martin steve)KIMES C 124 1.60 21% 3.70    
MAJOR GRIFFIN Jun08 May09 Apr24 Apr05 Mar27 (camillo a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
NEEDABETTERJOCK May16 Apr03 Mar20 Mar03 Jan14 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
FMT-7   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARCH May20 May13 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 (mitzner r)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  NAME REJECTED Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Mar03 Dec14 (black marissa)ROMERO M 124 3.50    
BROTHER AARON May01 Apr05 Mar20 Mar07 Feb11 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.40 26% 2.90    
SWEET BAKER May16 May01 Apr04 Mar07 Nov15 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00    
HE'S MUNNIE May10 Apr12 Mar14 Oct07 Sep21 (hartman alex)KIMES C 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
FMT-8   06/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSIES SCORE May13 May05 Apr15 Mar24 Feb24 (padilla jua)STILLION BROOKE 118 15.00    
SARA'S SAPPHIRE Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 Jan19 Jan04 (dixon tim)LANDEROS C 118 8.00    
SCRAPPY PATCH May02 Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Dec09 (hale james )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
MO ARETHA May10 May03 Mar28 Dec10 Oct28 (hartman alex)KIMES C 118 3.00 7% 12.60    
MUSTANGMAGNA May15 May02 Apr04 Mar20 Dec07 (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
SHE'S A PLAYER Apr04 Mar20 Jun13 May11 Apr19 (coffey chester )GOFF L 124 6.00 50% 1.00    
FREYAS CATZ Jun02 May08 Apr24 Feb19 Jan28 (baze t)SANCHEZ OBED 118 10.00    
SCR  MISS RITA May10 May03 Mar18 Feb12 Jan22 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 2.50 10% 8.80    
 
FMT-9   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.92K) 3UP ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGA BOND May16 Apr24 Apr12 Apr02 Mar18 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
CATALE STORM May16 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Dec08 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHIPMAN'S SONG May20 Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 (black marissa)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50 14% 6.40    
CHARING CROSS May17 May01 Apr24 Mar20 Dec15 (padilla carlos)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
OKIE UNION May03 Apr05 Sep30 Aug26 Jul11 (hunt s)ERNST L 124 6.00    
OUR CORNERSTONE Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Oct21 Sep15 (stephens jer)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 5.00    
HUNTER'S LEGACY May16 Mar20 Dec08 Nov25 Nov08 (david ron)ROMERO M 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
WHIP May01 Mar06 Dec03 Nov25 Nov05 (hale jame)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.