Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (2/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1)-(2/6/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/6/5/1)-(2/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/1)-(2/1/4/7)-(3/7/1/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-2   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(3/7/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/7)-(3/7/1/2)-(7/2/3/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-3   WIN (3/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/7/1/2)-(7/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/2)-(7/2/3/4)-(6/5/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-4   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/4)-(6/5/4)-(7/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-5   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (6/5/4)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(7/6)-(5/6/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
WO-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (7/6)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(5/6/3)-(3/1/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
WO-7   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(3/1/2)-(2/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
WO-8   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/5)-(4/3/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
WO-9   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
    DD (2/5)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WO-10   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2/5/7)-(4/3/2/5/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANITOULIN ISLAND Dec04 Oct23 Jul17     (krczmar zel)WENC C 123 10.00 10% 9.10    
FEDALINE Mar08 Jan22 Jul16 Jun12   (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 119 1.60 29% 2.50    
LADY IN RED (FR) Nov26 Oct29 Sep29 Sep10   (dipaola santino)BOULANGER G 124 4.00    
NEPRIKLAUSOMA DAMA Aug06         (krasauskaite la)HOYTE JASON 118 20.00    
STOLE THE RING Dec08 Nov18 Nov05 Oct22 Sep29 (hinds austin)MORENO OMAR 124 6.00 15% 5.90    
SOME LIKE IT HOT May15 Apr17       (armata v)FLORES ESWAN 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
PANIC SWITCH Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 Oct06 Sep11 (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 119 8.00    
 
WO-2   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3 ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAUKOKAIPUU Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 (holder tedst)WALCOTT W 118 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of GREY PRIDE by PARTNER'S HERO)
TRUE TEMPER         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BINGO by NICHOLAS)
MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Nov06 Oct16 Sep25 Sep04   (dipaola sant)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of STERLING MADAME by UNBRIDLED ENERGY)
YORKVILLE Dec04 Nov06 Oct16 Sep25   (minshall barbar)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of SHANAGARRY by GREATNESS)
BEYOND TALENTED Dec11 Nov27 Oct16     (raghunath rave)CIVACI SAHIN 118 20.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
DIRECT DRIVE         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 121 6.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of ACHALAYA by BELLAMY ROAD)
MR. RUDY Aug28 Jul17 May01     (armata v)FLORES ESWAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RUBY ROAN by JIMMY CREED)
 
WO-3   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABSOLUTE JEWEL Dec08 Nov26 Nov10 Oct30 Oct13 (armata jr)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 8% 11.30    
PICTUREDAY JESSICA Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 Sep09 Aug23 (powell dal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHELLY THE ROCKET Oct06 Sep16 Aug25 Jul21 Jun30 (charalambous jo)HOYTE JASON 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
CARLA'S HONOR Dec08 Nov10 Sep29 Sep09 Aug26 (hall philip)CHERNETZ SKYE 123 6.00    
HALO STYLE Dec08 Nov24 Nov03 Sep19 Aug20 (dixon patric)WALCOTT W 122 20.00    
MY GIRL HOOTER Dec08 Nov26 Nov10 Oct13 Oct06 (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 123 8.00    
LETS RUN TWO Nov24 Nov10 Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 (lafond renico )FLORES ESWAN 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
WO-4   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BRENTWOOD Nov17 Oct29 Oct15 Sep29   (ross a)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50    
FEDALIA Mar15 Feb16 Nov17 Oct22 Oct06 (dunslow m)WILSON JAYNE 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
JARA Apr07 Sep05 Jul17 Jul04 Jun13 (davis m)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
CEFALO Oct24 Aug04 Jul14 Jun25 May26 (siddo barringt)FLORES ESWAN 122 15.00 7% 13.00    
SPARKLE SAMMY Dec08 Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 Oct06 (chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00    
HASN'T HIT ME YET Oct29 Oct03 Sep13 Aug29 Aug16 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
HATMAKER HOLIDAY Dec01 Nov03 Aug18 Jun24 May21 (carroll jo)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
HIT AND RUN Dec08 Nov19 Oct29 Aug27 Aug13 (mattine jo)CAMPOS LUIS 122 15.00    
 
WO-5   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR'S END KISS Jan20 Dec18 Dec09 Nov10 Oct20 (chi)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 119 10.00    
REMEMBERING RHODA Dec10 Nov10 Oct29 Sep16 Sep01 (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 122 12.00    
AMERICAN GAMBLE Nov10 Oct06 Sep13 Aug12 Jul14 (armata jr)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 6.00    
BIG GINGER Nov10 Oct20 Sep24 Aug27 Aug04 (buttigieg paul)STEIN JUSTIN 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
MAKES SENSE TO ME Nov24 Oct08 Jul21 Jun05   (powell a)CRAWFORD J 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
KERICS BEAUTY Dec10 Nov24 Oct20 Aug28 Aug20 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
SEATTLE CAUSEWAY Dec09 Nov19 Oct20     (pleterski )ANDERSON JODEIEN 119 8.00    
 
WO-6   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPTOWN LIGHTS Oct16 Sep30 Aug12 Jul17 Apr15 (giliforte layne)VIVES SOFIA 119 10.00    
MAGNIFICENT MARIO Dec11 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 Sep25 (mattine jo)CAMPOS LUIS 124 4.00    
CLASSIC DANCER Feb25 Feb05       (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 119 12.00    
STREET MAX Nov05 Oct30 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 (powell da)SEECHARAN A 124 20.00    
MOONQUEST Apr28 Mar03       (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 124 6.00    
KID MARVELOUS         (ward a)HOYTE JASON 124 2.00 17% 5.00    
WHERE IS ESSA Sep30 Aug25 Jul31 Jul22 Jul02 (buttigieg paul)STEIN JUSTIN 124 1.80 55% 0.80    
 
WO-7   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Star Shoot Purse ($125K) 3 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTING FLATTER Apr01 Nov05 Sep17 Aug20 Jul16 (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of RECOLLECT by EL PRADO (IRE))
FEARLESS ANGEL Nov05 Oct08 Aug20 Jul16   (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 118 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of IMMORTAL LIFE (IRE) by IFFRAAJ (GB))
KAVALA Feb18 Jan04       (tha)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 18.80    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of QUEEN OF SILENCE by TWIRLING CANDY)
DOLCE SOPRESA Dec09 Nov05 Sep11 Aug20 Jul16 (carroll josie)STEIN JUSTIN 118 20.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ONE ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
JILL JITTERBUG Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 Jan04 Oct03 (walsh d)CIVACI SAHIN 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
BLIND SPOT Mar04 Oct07 Sep17 Aug28 Jul29 (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of YOUR FLAME IN ME by BOUNDARY)
STROKES (IRE) Feb11 Jan04 Oct23 Sep24 Aug20 (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 120 10.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of BEST OF MY LOVE by BEST TURN)
ANTIHERO         (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 118 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALLEGORY by ROANOKE)
 
WO-8   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC8 FAST Starter Handicap ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COTTON Mar12 Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 Aug11 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
LENNY K Dec10 Dec04 Nov13 Aug17 Jul03 (attard kevin)VIVES SOFIA 120 6.00 15% 5.60    
ROMANTIC GAMBLE Mar25 Mar15 Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
FORESTER'S TURN Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Oct23 Sep23 (armata v)MORAN DAVID 121 5.00    
EMICRACK (CHI) Dec10 Nov13 Nov04 Oct16 Sep19 (mcclachrie denys)HUSBANDS P 122 3.50    
LAST AMERICAN EXIT Dec11 Nov13 Oct09 Sep04 Aug13 (ladauceur haro)STEIN JUSTIN 121 8.00    
 
WO-9   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($117K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORESTER'S FORTUNE Oct23 Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 Jul17 (barrow r)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 20.00    
FILO DI ARIANNA (BRZ) Aug21 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 Apr09 (casse mar)WILSON JAYNE 126 1.00 50% 1.00    
ROCKCREST Feb18 Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 Jul13 (burke r)HOYTE JASON 122 5.00    
BOSSY HOLIDAY Nov18 Oct21 Sep13 Aug12 Jun10 (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00    
HAVE A SOUPER DAY Dec11 Nov13 Oct09 Sep04 Aug12 (mat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 20.00 19% 4.20    
SOUPER DORMY Apr01 Mar04 Feb10 Nov24 Oct23 (drexler mart)CARROLL DECLAN 122 8.00    
SECRET RESERVE Nov27 Sep25 Aug13 Jun19 May15 (mattine michael)VIVES SOFIA 121 3.50    
 
WO-10   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 3 F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOKI'S LIGHTNING Sep17 Sep03 Jul16 Jun12   (squires nathan)VIVES SOFIA 116 12.00    
FOOLISH GAMES         (love m)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
SILENT TRIBUTE Dec01 Nov10 Aug27     (simon stuart)FLORES ESWAN 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
SENSATIONAL SARAH Dec01 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 (mattine jo)CAMPOS LUIS 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
WORRY LESS Dec09 Nov27 Nov05     (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 121 4.00    
CRIMSON NIGHTS Nov27 Oct29 Oct08     (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 8.00    
STRIKE THE POSE Dec09 Dec03 Nov10 Oct14   (raghunath raven)HOYTE JASON 118 20.00    
TELLTALE Dec09 Nov27       (leblanc john)CARROLL DECLAN 118 6.00    
ASHLEE'S RING Dec10 Nov17 Oct29 Oct07 Sep10 (dixon patric)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.