Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2)-(1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2)-(1/3/6)-(6/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(6/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(6/3/2)-(2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/7)-(4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(4/6)-(3/5/7/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-5   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/5/7/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/5/7/1)-(1/6/7/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/1)-(1/6/7/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/1)-(1/6/7/3)-(3/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3)-(1/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/3)-(3/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/3)-(3/2)-(1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/9/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/9/7/6)-(3/2/9/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/6/5)-(4/11/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/11/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SA-10   WIN (4/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/11/7)-(4/11/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/11/7)-(4/11/7/6/2)-(4/11/7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   04/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYMPHONY PERFECT (IRE) Feb20         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
FOUNDER'S DAY Mar05 Feb20 Jan13 Dec18 Nov19 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 12.00 6% 16.50    
SWEETEST ANGEL         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
PHENOM Feb20 Jan13 Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
WARRENS CANDY GIRL Mar05 Jan21 Dec31 Nov12 Oct09 (lewis craig)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
TIK TOK FAMOUS (GB) Mar04 Feb03 Sep25 Jul17 Apr16 (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
SHARED FUTURE Mar31 Jan20 Dec18 Nov13 Sep22 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 8.00    
 
SA-2   04/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A BROKEN BREEZE Feb10 Jan15 Dec16 Oct16 Sep05 (harris andrew)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  BONITA LEONA Mar17 Feb20 Jan06 Dec17 Nov06 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00    
FLATTERWITHJEWELS Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 Jan06 Dec09 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00 12% 7.40    
SHVERE ARBETER Mar25 Mar03 Feb10 Jan15 Jan06 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 122 3.00    
ROMAN EMPRESS Mar27 Mar17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 (saavedra an)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 5.00    
STARSHIP SKY Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 Dec26 Nov25 (saldana reed)CEDILLO ABEL 122 10.00 9% 10.30    
 
SA-3   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN JAC         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 118 3.00    
REEF CITY Jan08 Nov25 Oct15 Aug27 Jul31 (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 5.00 8% 11.80    
APPLE WARRIOR         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
J D'S RUDE BOY Mar25 Mar03 Feb03 Jan08 Dec11 (bonde jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 118 4.00    
WHISKEY VISION Mar25 Mar09 Jan06 Dec16 Dec04 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 15.00    
RHYTHEM ON STAGE Mar17 Feb04 Jan06 Nov27 Nov06 (gaines car)VAN DRAYDEN 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
SA-4   04/22/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAULS CALL Feb25 Jan21       (saldana reed)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00    
IN VRONSKY STYLE Feb17 Dec02 Nov06 Oct10 Sep11 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.50 50% 1.00    
SIX FEET Apr01 Feb19 Jan20 May28   (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
SQUARE CAT Feb05 Dec31 Dec04 Nov06 Oct10 (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.00    
CHICK'S DIG IT Apr09 Mar11 Nov05 Oct15   (wallace jerry)BRAVO J 116 12.00    
EXCEED SPEED LIMIT Feb11 Dec31 Nov05 Oct10 Sep03 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING Mar25 Dec10 Nov27 Oct29 Jun18 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 118 6.00    
SCR  ROCK N RYE         ( )TBA null      
 
SA-5   04/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Kona Gold Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANARCHIST Mar05 Feb11 Jan15 Jul31 Jul03 (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  SUNRISE JOURNEY Apr07 Mar12 Feb20 Jan20 Dec11 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by GOOD JOURNEY out of PLEASING SUNRISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ARMAGNAC Mar19 Sep03 Aug07 May21 May08 (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 120 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of KITTY WINE by LEMON DROP KID)
BRICKYARD RIDE Mar05 May29 Apr30 Mar20 Feb21 (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 31% 2.30    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BRICKYARD HELEN by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
POSITIVITY Jan15         (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SAM'S SUNNY CITY by CITY ZIP)
TRUMPED Mar26 Feb27 Feb06 Aug21   (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA V 120 15.00 14% 6.30    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IMPEACHED by PETESKI)
 
SA-6   04/22/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED MARY Mar26 Feb20 Jun11 May22 Apr15 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00 7% 13.40    
ONE SILK STOCKING Mar12 Feb04 Dec30 Nov18 Oct15 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50    
KITTY KITANA (GB) Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 Nov19 Oct29 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
MUSIC FESTIVAL May28 Apr30 Feb20 Jan29 Jan08 (puype mike)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
PRINCESS ADALEIGH Feb20 Jan22 Nov19 Sep11 Aug14 (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
RAKASSAH (IRE) Jul18 Apr30       (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 124 8.00    
PAMMY'S READY Mar26 Nov19 Oct29 Oct01 Aug19 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 19% 4.40    
 
SA-7   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR SUGAR Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan21 Dec30 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 3.00 51% 1.00    
GREY MAGIC         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
RUFA RED KNOT Mar27 Jun29 Jun17 May20 Feb16 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNIGHT SUSI         (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 12.00    
TENACIOUS LADY Mar19 Feb18 Dec04 Oct01 Aug28 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 118 12.00    
CASIA Mar11         (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
SAPADILLA Mar27 Feb12 Jan21 Dec30 Dec02 (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00 6% 15.20    
BALENCIAGA BETTY Mar09 Jan29 Jan02 Dec03 Oct22 (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 118 4.00    
 
SA-8   04/22/2023 4290ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVENTAPP Mar18 Feb19 Jun10 May14 Apr01 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
GOOD BOO JOO Apr01 Feb19 Jan13 Nov04 Oct09 (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 6.00 13% 6.70    
TOPOLINA Mar18 Jan13 Nov13 May08 Mar13 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 3.00 65% 0.50    
PALEO'S PRINCESS Mar18 Feb19 May28 May08 Apr16 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 126 10.00    
DADS ESTRELLA Apr09 Mar19 Jan28 Jan07 Dec20 (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
REAL FIRE Apr01 Feb20 Jan28 Dec31 Nov13 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 4.00    
M IS FOR MAGIC Sep02 Aug07 Jun10 May08 Apr02 (eurton peter)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00    
DALLAS ALICE Feb03 Jan16 Dec26 Dec09 Nov18 (naranjo sal)HERRERA A 118 30.00    
CORNELIA FORT Mar26 Jan28 Dec10     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
 
SA-9   04/22/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Californian Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFUNDED Mar04 Jan28 Nov27 Oct01 Aug27 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
KISS TODAY GOODBYE Feb04 Dec31 Feb05     (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAVVY HESTER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
MR. IMPOSSIBLE Feb05 Jan14 Nov25 Oct29 Sep24 (callaghan simon)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QARAABA by SHAMARDAL)
MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Mar19 Mar03 Jan15 Dec10 Oct28 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TAKER HOME by VINDICATION)
PARNELLI Jan28 Nov27 Jul30 Jun11 Apr17 (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 4.00 5% 17.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SIP SIP by SIPHON (BRZ))
ROYAL SHIP (BRZ) Mar04 Oct01 Sep03 Jul30 May30 (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of BELA VAL by VAL ROYAL (FR))
 
SA-10   04/22/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD OF LOVE Jul31 Jul03       (barocio lib)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RESPONSIBLEFORLOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
O'BANION (IRE)         (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 8.00    
  (by ANJAAL out of SHARP APPLAUSE by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
ADVENTURESOME         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 8.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of BOODLES by FORTY NINER)
VEGAS BURNER Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Dec26 Nov26 (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLACK VALENTINE by CINDAGO)
NEON LIGHTS (IRE)         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 10.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of PONTY ROYALE by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
ACQUIRED CLASS Mar26 May20       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of AUNTIE SPARKLES by MORE THAN READY)
BOLT SUPREMACY Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Jan02 Dec04 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAVVY SUPREME by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FINDING LOVE         (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 118 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of COURT OF LOVE by LEMON DROP KID)
GIOVINAZZO Mar09 Jul31 Jul03     (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ARUSHA by TAPIT)
10  FIFTY CINCO         (puy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SHANNON FAITH by DISCREET CAT)
11  SINGLE TRACK MIND (IRE) Mar26 Mar04 Feb04 Dec30 Dec04 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MEHMAS out of SINGLE THOUGHT by TEOFILO (PER))
12  SMOOTH SALUTE         (mccarthy mi)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SMOOTH AS USUAL by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  YOGI BOY Mar26         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 126 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GEORGIE'S SWEETIE by TRIBAL RULE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.