Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - April 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/2/3)-(2/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/5/1)-(6/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/3/1)-(7/6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(7/6/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(7/6/1/3)-(6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-5   WIN (7/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3/5)-(7/6/1/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/3)-(6/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/3)-(6/3)-(9/1/3/4/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(9/1/3/4/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(9/1/3/4/2)-(5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
WRD-7   WIN (9/1/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/4/2)-(9/1/3/4/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/4/2)-(9/1/3/4/2)-(9/1/3/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/4/2)-(5/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/4/2)-(5/3)-(5/4/8/1/9) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
WRD-8   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/4/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/4/9)-(5/3/4/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/4/8/1/9) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
WRD-9   WIN (5/4/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/1/9)-(5/4/8/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/1/9)-(5/4/8/1/9)-(5/4/8/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREES VALENTYME Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 Aug26   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 1.60 39% 1.60    
MISS ARKANSAS Mar21 Mar07 Feb09 Jan14   (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 4.00    
GOTOTHEWINDOW Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 Dec15 Dec08 (corderman)TRIANA JR 122 8.00    
CAT TALE SKY Mar27 Mar03 Feb05 Jan07 Dec15 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Mar11 Feb10 Jan22 Dec15 Sep30 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
KAVACHI Mar20 Dec03 Nov12     (craddock k)ERAMIA E 122 3.00    
 
WRD-2   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARS TO ME Mar14 Mar07 Dec17 Dec07 Nov14 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
KODALINE Mar20 Mar06 Feb03 Jan14   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 3.50 27% 2.80    
FURIOUS AVENGER Mar21 Nov30 Nov19 Oct26   (biehler michae)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00 7% 13.70    
WILBERT Mar28 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 Oct28 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 1.80    
HOPGUN Mar21 Oct28 Sep29 Sep10   (lee mark)BIRZER E 124 3.00    
GOSPEL TRUTH Apr05 Mar21 Dec01 Oct28 Oct05 (williams f)KIMES C 124 10.00    
 
WRD-3   04/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTA WAVERLY Dec30 Dec03 Oct30 Sep15 Sep04 (wellington )WETHEY JR 121 10.00 19% 4.30    
HE'S MUNNIE Mar14 Oct07 Sep21 Sep01 Jul11 (hartman alex)JORDAN R 124 1.60 23% 3.40    
HEROIC SONG Mar28 Mar14 Feb05 Jan21 Dec09 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 1.80    
GRAB THE MUNNY Apr02 Mar12 Feb19 Jan08 Dec28 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00    
DOCTOR TINK Apr05 Mar13 Feb05 Jan07 Dec06 (williams s)ERAMIA E 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
WRD-4   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART CALL Mar28 Mar07 Feb03 Sep15 Aug27 (roberts joe )HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 11% 7.70    
GHOST STRATEGY Feb19 Jan20 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.00    
MR OKLAHOMA CITY Mar28 Mar07 Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
G'S STORM Mar27 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 5.00    
DEL MOON Mar27 Mar07 Feb10 Jan22 Dec02 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00    
HIT ONE OUT Mar28 Dec14 Nov14 Oct28 Sep29 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.20 30% 2.30    
 
WRD-5   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOODLE SALAD Mar13 Dec02 Apr12 Feb17 Jan29 (biehler michae)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
TWO ANGELS Mar20 Mar07 Feb24 Feb04 Jan15 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00    
PAYDIEM Mar14 Mar06 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50 7% 14.20    
SCR  SEXY RAGS Jan08 Dec15 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 (cunningham )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00    
COZZOLANI Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Jan26 Dec30 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 6.00    
LIL DITTY'S KITTY Mar21 Sep19 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
PEPPERMINT SISTER Mar28 Mar07 Dec08 Nov03 Oct13 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
HARPERS VISION Mar28 Sep16 Aug27 Jun20 Jun13 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 30.00    
CHERISH THE DAY Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Feb10 Sep23 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 124 12.00    
 
WRD-6   04/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOT MOJO Mar27 Mar06 Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
WAVERUNNER Mar27 Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 Feb10 (davis d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 20.00    
UNITED PATRIOT Mar27 Mar13 Dec16 Nov25 Oct21 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.40 14% 6.40    
CANEY'S GHOST Mar27 Mar14 Dec17 Dec08 Nov22 (moreno ca)TRIANA JR 121 3.00    
SCR  REACH THE CIRCLE Mar27 Mar13 Feb11 Dec15 Dec03 (gomez j)LANDEROS C 121 15.00    
RARE STRIPE Mar13 Feb04 Jan14 Dec14 Nov03 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 121 1.80 54% 0.90    
 
WRD-7   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN CANNON Mar14 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27 Jan14 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
RELEASE THE BEAST Dec09 Oct08 Sep14 Sep07 Aug21 (hanson vic)KIMES C 118 8.00 7% 12.60    
MAGIC CARPET Apr03 Mar20 Mar13 Mar03 Sep17 (martin stev)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
AFLEET SNIPER Mar28 Mar04 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 118 6.00 11% 7.80    
LASTCALLFORALCOHOL Apr03 Mar14 Mar06 Aug20 Jul19 (camillo angelo)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
REMEMBER ME TONY Mar28 Dec09 Nov22 Nov08 Aug26 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 30.00    
MAYFAIR HEIGHTS Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Sep25 Sep01 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 30.00    
GONNA GETCHA Mar14 Jun27 Jun06 May18 Apr27 (stephens je)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 8.00    
ACE GILFORD Mar28 Mar13 Feb05 Jan16 Dec17 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 2.00 20% 4.10    
10  PROUD MOMENTS Mar28 Mar14 Dec03 Nov22 Nov03 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
 
WRD-8   04/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HES BIG CHIEF Apr05 Mar14 Mar07 Oct26 Sep24 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 30.00    
PRAIRIE DOLLAR Mar21 Dec08 Nov15 Oct27 Oct05 (rodriguez mar)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
BLUESKIESANDANGELS Mar14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 Oct15 (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
CHARM THE LADIES Mar28 Dec07 Nov15 Sep17 May18 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 3.50    
IRA CHAMP Mar14 Mar07 Jan16 Dec08 Nov15 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  GOSPEL DANDY Apr03 Mar07 Dec01 Nov06 Oct23 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
SCR  CAMANCHE RIVER Mar14 Mar07 Dec16 Nov19   (gladd andy)KIMES C 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
VLOCK Dec17 Dec03 Nov05 Oct12 Sep24 (hanson vi)TRIANA JR 124 12.00    
KYEMBEA Mar07 Dec17 Dec01 Nov03 Jun27 (brooks d)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00    
 
WRD-9   04/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER RULER Mar28 Mar14 Feb11 Jan08 Dec09 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00 7% 13.50    
MORO MERICA Mar14 Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Sep28 (gladd andy)ERAMIA E 124 30.00    
CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Apr05 Nov18 Oct30 Aug27 Jul25 (green gerald)ROMAN KEVIN 124 20.00    
FRESH ONE Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Nov03 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
SAY IT NICELY Oct02 Sep18 Aug22 Aug01 Jul24 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
SILVER PONZI Mar28 Feb11 Jan06 Dec13 Dec06 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
MEGA BOND Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Oct12 Sep23 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00    
EXCITING Mar20 Nov22 Nov14 Nov03 Oct20 (luneack sue)KIMES C 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
BURTNJOE Nov08 Sep28 Sep07 Jul11 Jun14 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 124 6.00 6% 15.70    
10  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 Aug29 May23 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.