Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - March 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5/1/6)-(2/4/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/1/3)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4/2)-(5/1/3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/5/4/1)-(4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1/6)-(3/5/4/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/4/1)-(4/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/1)-(4/6)-(7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/1/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/1/3/5)-(4/6/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(7/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(7/3/4)-(2/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(2/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(2/6/4)-(5/8/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-6   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/5/1)-(2/6/4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(5/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(5/8/7)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-7   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/7/6/3)-(5/8/7/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/8/7)-(5/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7)-(5/1/3)-(3/1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/1/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2/5)-(3/1/4/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NASHOBA'S JOY Feb20 Dec03 Nov11 Oct08 Sep03 (gaines carla)SMITH E 126 4.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NASHOBA'S GOLD by SMART STRIKE)
2  BALTHAZAR Mar04 Jan21       (drysdale neil)BRAVO J 118 5.00 69% 0.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  DURAN Dec31         (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of GO JAMIE GO by HANSEN)
4  CLASSICALLY Feb20         (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 5% 17.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FANTICOLA by SILENT NAME)
5  EASTBOUND Feb04 Nov25 Oct29 Aug20   (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 118 3.50 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SURF LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
6  QUALITY WINS Feb20         (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SILVERTONI by TAPIT)
 
SA-2   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET HIM DO Mar03 Dec10 Dec03 Oct30 Aug26 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
2  MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING Dec10 Nov27 Oct29 Jun18 Jun04 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 120 8.00 ★    
3  LITTLEBROTHERJOEY Dec02 Oct30 Oct16 Aug18   (blacker daniel)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 9% 10.00    
4  TOP OF MY GAME Mar12 Mar03 Feb11 Jan21 Dec10 (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 122 1.80 ★    
5  STRUT ON LOUIE Feb11 Jan16 Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
 
SA-3   03/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIBBER JABBER (IRE) Feb11 Jan20 Nov18 Oct16 Sep01 (saldana reed)BRAVO J 124 12.00 8% 10.80    
2  BALI DANCER Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 Nov26 Nov11 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 10.00    
3  DENDERA Feb11 Dec02 Nov12 Oct02 Sep04 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  CRIMSON ROSE Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 Nov13 Sep30 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
5  CONTROL FUNCTION Feb11 Jan28 Nov04 Sep02 Jan16 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  QUARIA THUNDER Jan25 Dec23 Sep30 Aug05 Jul03 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 ★    
7  SOMMER DAISY (FR) Apr03 Feb25 Jan17     (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 124 4.00    
 
SA-4   03/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 35 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAROL'S COMIC Feb19 Jan20 Dec16 Nov26 Oct23 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 126 3.00 ★    
  (by GEM HEIST out of LADY COMIC by COMIC STRIP)
2  WHISKEY VISION Mar09 Jan06 Dec16 Dec04 Nov04 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MAEVE by BLAME)
3  BAILEY'S BUDGET         (ruis shelbe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00 ★    
  (by WAR ENVOY out of BLOW THE BUDGET by SUPER SAVER)
4  ROYAL HALO Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 May14   (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SUNPENNY by GOOD REWARD)
5  FORDY G Mar05 May22       (han)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 6.00 ★    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SHERIKA by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  BLUE CHEESE OLIVE         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of LEGALLY BLANCA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
SA-5   03/25/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 35 M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT SILENCE Apr15 Mar07 Jan29     (gallagher patrick)BRAVO J 126 3.00    
2  WIRLY GIRLY Feb10 Dec03 Oct22     (puy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 4.00    
3  MISS POLO BAR         (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
4  PRINCESS MIDNIGHT         (puype mike)FREY KYLE 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
5  THUNDER RUN         (knapp steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 5.00 ★    
SCR  BILLY GALLIVAN         (truman eddie)MALDONADO E 118 10.00 14% 6.30    
7  CON SEAL AND KERRY Mar05 Feb05       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 2.00 20% 3.90    
 
SA-6   03/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHVERE ARBETER Mar03 Feb10 Jan15 Jan06 Dec17 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 120 4.00 ★    
2  SANGRE AZUL Mar03 Feb10 Jan06 Dec10 Nov26 (pineda milto)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 2.00 46% 1.20    
3  TIZZY TWISTER Feb03 Jan06 Nov26 Oct23 Sep22 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50    
4  SEMI SWEET Mar04 Nov23 Sep12 Aug15 Jul16 (ortiz s)CEDILLO ABEL 122 4.00 13% 6.50    
5  CALIFORNIA GIGI Mar17 Feb10 Dec29 Dec04 Nov12 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 ★    
6  SAILING ALONG Mar17 Dec16 Nov19 Oct22 Sep15 (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
 
SA-7   03/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 35 ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE PUNCTUAL Mar05         (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of EDWINA E by SQUARE EDDIE)
2  COUNTRY BOY Feb18 Jan28       (drysdale neil)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of IDIDNTMEANTOO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  JOHNNY PAYCHECK Feb19 Dec02 Jun05 Mar27   (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 ★    
  (by VIOLENCE out of UNSUNG HEROINE by MORE THAN READY)
4  SILENT HEAT Mar17         (saavedra an)HERRERA A 126 20.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of SILENT DEPOSITION by SILIC (FR))
5  OLD PAL Feb18         (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 56% 0.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of ATHINA LEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  J D'S RUDE BOY Mar03 Feb03 Jan08 Dec11   (bonde jeff)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 15.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NORAH'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  MY RANSOM Mar18 Feb18 Jan08 Dec16 Nov06 (sie)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by U S RANGER out of JETTIE ANN by BERTRANDO)
8  CHROME TO RICHES Jan07         (gaines carla)ESPINOZA V 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of HEAT TRAP by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
SA-8   03/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Desert Stormer Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT RUNNER Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 Sep22 Jun17 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 120 4.00 19% 4.10    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TOP PERFORMANCE by STATE PERFORMER)
2  HALF PAST TWELVE Jun11 May07 Feb12 Jan16   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of J'S HOT SHOT LADY by BADGE OF SILVER)
3  DANCE TO THE MUSIC (GB) Feb20 Aug28 Jul28 Jun04 May07 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BEAUTIFIED by CONGRATS)
SCR  ELM DRIVE Sep24 Aug06 Jul04 May08   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.20 ★    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  STELLA NOIR Feb18 Jan13 Oct29 Sep30 Sep02 (desormeaux j)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of GUADALUPE HIGH by CUVEE)
 
SA-9   03/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOODY JIM (IRE) Jan20 Nov13 Oct23 Sep09 Aug12 (mullins jeff)SMITH E 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
2  KENNEBEC Feb11 Jan12       (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 7% 13.50    
3  WEEGEE Jan02 Nov06 Oct07 Sep11 Sep01 (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  LAMPLIGHTER JACK Dec14 Nov06 Sep24 Sep01 Jul10 (barocio li)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
5  OVERDUE Jan22 Nov24 Oct23 Sep09 Jul29 (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 ★    
6  SHOTGUN EXPRESS (IRE) Feb05 Jan02 Dec11 Nov19 Nov06 (trujillo victo)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
7  BIG BUZZ Jan29 Jan22 Jan06 Nov05 Sep05 (saldana reed)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
8  LOVESICK BLUES Mar05 Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 Oct29 (miyadi steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
9  DOMINANT SOUL Jan20 Nov26 Sep10 Aug19 Jun12 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.