Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Tuesday - March 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(5/8/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SUN-2   WIN (5/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3/1)-(5/8/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/8/4/3)-(5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/3)-(5/7/6)-(8/4/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-3   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/4/2)-(5/7/6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(8/4/1/2)-(7/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (8/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/2)-(8/4/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/2)-(8/4/1/2/3)-(8/4/1/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/2)-(7/3/1/5)-(8/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SUN-5   WIN (7/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/5)-(7/3/1/5/6)-(7/3/1/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-6   WIN (8/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/10)-(8/9/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/9/10)-(8/9/10/1)-(8/9/10/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4)-(2/9/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/9/3/4)-(7/5/2)-(6/1/3/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-8   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2/8/4)-(7/5/2/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(6/1/3/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
SUN-9   WIN (6/1/3/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/10/7)-(6/1/3/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/10/7)-(6/1/3/10/7)-(6/1/3/10/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANDY MONEY Mar05 Feb19       (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00 ★    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of DANDY DOM by DOMINIQUE'S CAT)
2  RUTHLESS MONEY Feb19         (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of RUTHLESS CAT by DOMINIQUE'S CAT)
3  SMASH AWAY Feb14         (acos)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 14% 6.40    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of TIPSY TEA by SEEKING THE CAT)
SCR  CANDY TRACK Mar14 Mar05 Feb05 Jan17 Jul17 (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 121 10.00 13% 6.80    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of CLANCY'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  MISSY MIA Feb21 Oct01 Sep08 Aug27 May07 (olguin ever)TORRES J 123 15.00 ★    
  (by SPINNING TOUCH out of JIMMY'S JEWEL by THE NAME'S JIMMY)
6  DYNAMIC WOMAN Mar12 Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Aug06 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
  (by INDY EXPRESS out of RED PEACHES by GHOSTLY MOVES)
7  CHARITY WATER Mar14 Jan31 Dec14 May20 May01 (summers nancy)JUAREZ J 123 0.40 50% 1.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of WARNING TRACK by GRAND SLAM)
 
SUN-2   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.8K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT MESA         (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 4.00 ★    
  (by SKY MESA out of PERFECTA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
2  SMOKE'S TIZZY Mar07         (fincher leroy)JUAREZ J 121 12.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of LAST DRAGONESS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
3  OCCURRENCE Oct24 Oct11       (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 7% 13.40    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BETH'S AURORA by TRAPPE SHOT)
4  UPDIP Jan29 Dec08       (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 121 5.00 14% 5.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ARABIC STYLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  GRACE'S SHELBY         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of SCRATCH N CLAW by BRIEF RUCKUS)
6  TARGET CONQUEST Mar07 Feb14       (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of CAROLINE CONQUEST by HALF OURS)
SCR  CAUSE FOR LOVE TOO         (vega v)SALAZAR TERESA 116 20.00    
  (by DNIEPER out of JANNY LOVE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
8  LOANA Feb10 Oct23 Sep24 Aug25   (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
SUN-3   03/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM GREEK Mar05 Feb19 Feb12 Jan29 Jan08 (salazar mich)VILLANUEVA C 123 20.00    
2  KELL'S KISS Sep28 Sep18 Aug27 Aug10 Jul04 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 123 3.50 ★    
3  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL T Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 Jan22 Sep24 (sanchez patrick )MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
4  MISS RULES Mar12 Jan15 Nov15 Oct24 Aug20 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00 ★    
5  STORM N GOLD Jan15 Dec20 Oct31 Sep04 Jul16 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  MINDOFMYOWN Feb19 Jan31 Jan22 Jan01 Dec05 (van rober)CARRENO J 123 3.00 10% 8.80    
7  INDIAN FIREBLOSSOM Feb05 Dec19 Dec01 Sep21 May15 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
SUN-4   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE CALL Jan17 Dec19 Dec01 Apr23 Mar27 (summers nancy)MEDELLIN A 123 5.00 17% 5.00    
2  ATILL I CHIME Mar07 Jan01 Dec01 May08 Mar20 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 15.00 5% 17.40    
3  SHELLY D'ORO Feb21 Jan31 Oct05 Sep24 Aug21 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 ★    
4  BLUE BLAZES WHO Mar07 Feb05 Dec20 Feb21 Jan01 (gonzales jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
5  NO REGRETS N LOVE Jan17 Dec06 Oct30 Oct04 Aug31 (marr h)FUENTES A 123 15.00    
6  SPECIAL PRIDE Feb12 Jan17 Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 12.00    
7  DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Mar07 Feb05 Jan29 Jan17 Jan01 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00    
8  CAYCEE'S MARK Mar07 Jan17 Dec19 Dec01 Oct30 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
SUN-5   03/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AISLE RUNNER Feb21 Jan15 Jan01 Dec20 Dec12 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 4.00 11% 7.90    
2  REEL EM IN Sep30 Aug26 May28 Apr22 Mar05 (lello p)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00    
3  JAZZ MAN DO Mar07 Feb21 Dec20 Dec05 Nov07 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 2.00 12% 7.30    
4  M G M'S LUCKY Feb07 Oct09 Sep14 Aug31 Aug03 (hudson jeff)VILLANUEVA C 123 6.00    
5  DIABOLICAL MIGHT Mar12 Feb21 Nov08 Oct18 Sep14 (morales danny)PEREZ A 123 15.00 7% 14.20    
6  DINOS DA DADDY Feb21 Nov08 May27 Apr24 Feb12 (aldava)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00 ★    
7  POOF HE'S GONE Mar19 Jan29 Jan18     (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
8  D C ALLIED FORCES Feb21 Feb07 Dec06 Nov13 Jun18 (aldavaz herm)ALDERETE JORGE 123 20.00    
9  ZESTY JAZZMAN Mar07 Feb07 Jan08 Nov30 Oct17 (villalobos a)JAIME R 123 20.00    
 
SUN-6   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINTED SMOKE Mar07 Feb14 Dec06 Nov08 Oct04 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  HARDY BOY Dec01 Nov01       (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
3  THE FINAL FOOTNOTE Mar07 Jan29 Jan01 Nov15 Sep10 (lambert t)CARRENO J 121 5.00    
4  RIG IT RIGHT Mar07 Feb26 Oct30     (honesto j)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 20.00    
5  WILD FIREWATER Feb14 Jan15 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 (meridyth david)VALDEZ S 123 15.00    
6  EL RAFA Q Mar14 Feb07 Jan15 Dec20 Dec12 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00    
SCR  MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Mar12 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.00 27% 2.60    
8  FORWARD OBSERVER Mar07 Feb14 Jan31 Dec13 Nov21 (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
9  GRIFTER Feb26 Jan17 Dec13 Nov14 Oct11 (rust terri)TOHILL S 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
10  SMARTY'S BERTRANDO         (leyba ruben)SALAZAR TERESA 118 20.00 16% 5.20    
11  CANDY RASCAL Mar14 Jan17 Dec06 Nov07 Oct11 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
 
SUN-7   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT LIL MESS Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 Jan22 Jan08 (marquez j)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
2  DELETERIOUS Jan15 Dec05       (rust terri)CHAVEZ R 123 4.50 46% 1.20    
3  MINNIE ME HA Jan15 Jan01 Dec05 Oct10 Sep14 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 7% 14.00    
4  OUR ISLAND GIRL Feb21 Nov21 Nov07 Oct11 Aug27 (riddle jacki)SALAZAR TERESA 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EVIL TEMPTATION Jan22 Jan15 Jan01 Dec20 Dec06 (quiroz filiberto)JAIME R 123 10.00    
SCR  SATURNCLOUD Mar05 Feb19 Jan22 Nov21 Sep03 (loma h)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 4.00 8% 12.20    
7  CREDIT CARD FRAUD Feb05 Jan08 Nov30 Oct24 Sep23 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00    
8  DANIEL'S GIRL Mar07 Feb19 Jan24 Jan10 Dec13 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
9  TIZ MY HOUR Mar12 Feb28 Feb05 Jan08 Dec20 (van rober)CARRENO J 123 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  BINGOS SYSTEM Jan24 Jan10 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 (frias g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
 
SUN-8   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVANGELINA WHO Feb28 Feb19 Jan24 Dec19 Nov14 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00    
2  PUNCTUAL ALARM Feb28 Feb05 Feb08     (marr h)VALDEZ S 123 10.00 6% 14.50    
3  MADDIE POPPE Aug19 May08 Apr24 Mar26 Mar06 (summers nanc)FUENTES A 123 12.00    
4  QUITE LOVELY Feb28 Feb05 Dec19 Dec01 May08 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 4.50 ★    
5  E BAR SCOUT Feb05 Jan03 Dec14 Mar26 Jan28 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 3.00 10% 8.80    
6  BAND OF GLORY Aug19 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Jun10 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 123 5.00    
7  ROLL ON CAMRON Feb28 Feb05 Dec19 Nov14 Oct24 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 2.50 57% 0.70    
8  HEY FRIEND Feb28 Jan24 Jan03 Dec20 Mar26 (summers nan)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 4.00 ★    
 
SUN-9   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT FAST Mar05 Feb12 Jan10 Dec12 Nov30 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 11% 8.30    
2  INQUISITEUR Feb14 Jan24 Jan08 Dec13 Nov30 (marquez l)VALDEZ S 123 10.00    
3  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Jan10 Nov14 Oct25 Oct01 Sep15 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 4.50 9% 9.70    
4  SAMURAI JACK Feb19 Jan24 Dec12 Nov08 Oct25 (rojero)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00    
5  I'MAGAMBLER Jan17 Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 Oct17 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 5.00    
6  SCOTTY WHO Feb21 Jan10 Nov30 Oct31 Aug28 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 12.00 28% 2.60    
7  JUST CALL ME KEN Mar05 Feb07 Jan15 Dec12 Nov15 (rust terri)TOHILL S 123 10.00 8% 11.00    
8  STOCK DEAL Feb21 Feb14 Jan29 Nov15 Oct25 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 3.50    
9  LOOKING FOR BULL Mar12 Feb21 Feb14 Oct26 Oct16 (hancock davi)VILLANUEVA C 123 20.00    
10  SHORT POCKETS Jan29 Dec05 Nov15 Oct30 Oct16 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 118 4.00 9% 10.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.