Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/5)-(1/4/2)-(8/1/6/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(8/1/6/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(8/1/6/3/7)-(4/3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-3   WIN (8/1/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/3/7)-(8/1/6/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/3/7)-(4/3/5/6)-(9/1/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/6)-(9/1/7/4)-(1/6/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-5   WIN (9/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/7/4)-(9/1/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/7/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(8/1/5/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-6   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(8/1/5/3/7)-(2/6/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-7   WIN (8/1/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/3/7)-(8/1/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/3/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(6/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH RILL Feb19         (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IRISH SOVEREIGN by POLISH NUMBERS)
TOUCHDOWN MONTAGE         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHEERLEADER by BOLD REASON)
TREASURER Jan27         (meyers madis)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of PROFIT GIRL by GENERAL MEETING)
UNCLE JAKE Jan29         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 0.60 33% 2.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TASHA'S MIRACLE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MILLBANK MAN Feb25         (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 124 20.00 7% 14.40    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAURIE'S CHOICE by CONGRATS)
VAX A NATION Feb11 Jan21 Dec09 Nov27   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ORINOQUIA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
LRL-2   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERNESS Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec10   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
1A  CHELONIAN Feb19 Feb11 Jan22 Jan11 Dec10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00    
STARDUST ZIGGY Feb11 Jan14 Dec30 Nov18 Nov04 (smith jason)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 8.00 15% 5.80    
BLOWN SAVE Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Nov06 Oct23 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 12.00    
R B'S THE BOSS Feb17 Jan28 Dec11 Nov19 Oct14 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  BONDED (IRE) Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 Dec09 Nov20 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ISLAND D'LITE Feb17 Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct27 (farrior an)RIVERA R 114 15.00 11% 7.90    
UNCAPTURED STORM Feb19 Feb11 Jan08 Nov20 Nov03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.60    
 
LRL-3   03/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONDER GIRL Feb17 Jan29       (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by KLIMT out of LADY LYDIE by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  WHATSYOURBIGIDEA         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 124 6.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of WEATHERURNOT by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
RUN AROUND SLEW         (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ST. LOUIE SLEW by FLOWER ALLEY)
ZIPPY DO DA DAY Feb17         (samani)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of FULL OF ZIP by CITY ZIP)
WARIDI CANDY         (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LA EXTRANA DAMA by CATCHER IN THE RYE)
APPEALINGTOTHE EYE         (lynch cathal)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50 7% 12.40    
  (by MASTERY out of APPEALING MAGGIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
DAYLIGHT QUEEN         (corrales jose)CAPOTE MAIKEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of COY CAT by HOLD THAT TIGER)
GOODGIRL BADHABITS         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by MASTERY out of DAZZLER by VINDICATION)
ITALIAN WAR CRY Jul08         (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WALKING THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
LRL-4   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATCH YOUR TONE Feb10 Jan22 Nov13 Oct23 Sep23 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
FLASHNDYNAMITE Jan28 Jan09 Dec16 Nov15 Oct26 (moore mi)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 4.00    
HASHTAG LUCKY Feb19 Jan27 Jan01 Dec04 Nov12 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 116 5.00 10% 8.70    
STARTWITHABANG Feb05 Jan21 Jan13 Dec09 Nov19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
DRY WELL Feb25 Feb03 Dec16 Dec03 Nov19 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 10.00 9% 9.80    
FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Feb10 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Oct19 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 20.00 7% 13.70    
DOTADA Feb19 Feb03 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
GAMESTONKS Jan13 Jan07 Dec18 Oct22 Sep20 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00    
 
LRL-5   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Feb25 Feb11 Feb02 Jan13 Jan03 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
RECTOR Feb05         (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
MARYLAND MOON Feb26 Jun03       (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 124 6.00    
MAJOR NELSON Feb25         (caison jody )LEWIS M 117 30.00 9% 10.30    
STELLWAGEN BANKER Feb11 Dec10       (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
ELUSIVE IMAGE Feb11 Jan13 Dec11 Nov13 Oct01 (smith jason)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00    
NORTH HIGHLAND         (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
MCMAGIC Jan21 Oct28 Oct07     (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 5.00    
ALVY Nov21         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
LRL-6   03/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALPOOL Feb05 Dec15       (atras rob)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
NAVAL EMPIRE Feb11 Jan20 Sep07 Aug09 Jul12 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 8.00    
FAST TRACKED Feb11 Dec03 Nov06     (delacour ar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 11% 8.20    
CYNERGY'S ELECTRA Jan22 Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 Oct22 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
MISS FUSSY PANTS Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Nov07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 117 6.00    
COVER THE SPREAD Jan28 Nov24       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
GENIEINABRIDLE Jan28 Dec18 Nov14 Oct16 Sep25 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 20.00    
SCR  GORMLEY'S GABRIELA Feb18 Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 (cash norman )LEWIS M 114 6.00    
CRYPTO MAMA Jan22 Nov06 Oct14 Sep15 Aug17 (breen j)KARAMANOS A 121 6.00    
 
LRL-7   03/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUTHANNE         (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SALAMERA by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
DIAL FOR LOVE         (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of PERFECT LOVER by NOT FOR LOVE)
WILL TAKE ODDS         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 5% 18.80    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of INDULGENCE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  BLACK DIAMOND RAIN Jan13 Nov26       (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 10.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of STARVISTA by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SHE GOT THE MUNNI         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 4.50 6% 17.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HELENA THE FIRST by LEMON DROP KID)
PUNKIN         (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of MISS ANNA MARIE by POSSE)
DESTINED TO DANCE         (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 15.00 5% 18.80    
  (by DESTIN out of DANCE BY EM by TAPIT)
DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of FRECHETTE by EL PADRINO)
BEE MOUNTAIN Nov19 Oct01 Sep07 Aug09 Jul12 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN by NAJRAN)
 
LRL-8   03/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA GHOST Jan06 Nov21 Jun04 May20 Apr28 (cole c)DELGADO A 123 20.00    
SCR  HACHURE Jan14 Dec16 Nov26 Oct14 Sep25 (cole c)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 20.00    
JARDANI Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 30% 2.30    
SCR  UNDER THE RADAR Feb05 Jan14 Dec18 Nov24 Nov04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60    
TRASH TALKIN LARRY Jan14 Dec17 Dec04 Oct23 Oct06 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 10.00    
TATE Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 4.00 13% 6.90    
ORO DE MORO MORO Feb24 Jan06 Dec11 Nov24 Nov04 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
MAXIMUS MIDANI May28 Apr10       (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
UNION FLEET Feb12 Jan13 Dec16 Nov27 Nov07 (magana j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50 9% 9.90    
 
LRL-9   03/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNIP THE ROSES Feb20 Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 Oct13 (synnefias pana)ROSADO JOHAN 124 10.00    
DUKE OF DOOLY Feb20 Feb11 Jan14 Dec30 Dec03 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
LUNAR GHOST Feb11         (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 20.00    
EXPECT LUCKY Mar04 Jul15       (geralis ema)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 10.00 6% 16.40    
MUNGO MAGIC Jan27         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00    
DISTANT FIRE Feb20         (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 58% 0.70    
SPECTRIER Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec30   (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 6% 16.00    
SCR  REAL RAMBO Feb11 Jan13       (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 1.80 8% 12.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.