Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Tuesday - February 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6/5/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6/5/4)-(2/3/6/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-2   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/4/2)-(6/7/5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(1/5/2)-(3/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(8/10/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-4   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(8/10/2/6/7)-(2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
SUN-5   WIN (8/10/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/2/6/7)-(8/10/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/2/6/7)-(8/10/2/6/7)-(8/10/2/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-6   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/6/9/3/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/6/9/3/8)-(2/6/9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-7   WIN (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/4)-(3/7/5/4/1)-(3/7/5/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/4)-(2/1/4)-(9/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-8   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4/9)-(2/1/4/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(9/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-9   WIN (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/2)-(9/3/2/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/2)-(9/3/2/8/10)-(9/3/2/8/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA DIVINA GUERRERA Dec13         (martinez edwi)CORRAL DAMIAN 123 20.00    
  (by RAPPER S S out of MY MAGIC TRICK by DISAPPEARING TRICK)
CAIRO MOON Jan29 Jan15 Dec05     (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MIZZEN MOON by MIZZEN MAST)
NOT NOW VICTORIA Dec13 Sep08 Apr30     (villalo)FUENTES T 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of STATIC CHARGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
VERMEIL (URU)         (hudson jeff)PEREZ A 123 12.00    
  (by CALIMONCO out of WILD FLEECE by HUSSONET)
M G BIG MARIA         (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of MARIA'S OWN by MARIA'S MON)
MORE THAN SHAKIN Jan28 Jan06 Dec19 Dec05   (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
TARGET CONQUEST         (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of CAROLINE CONQUEST by HALF OURS)
MOVING VIOLATION Nov08 Sep30 May08     (villalobos miguel)CARRENO J 123 10.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of MS ARCH STANTON by ARCH)
 
SUN-2   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME THE TEQUILA Jan31 Jan03 Nov01 Jul23   (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 123 8.00    
RESTLESS MOVER Sep15 Aug24       (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00    
SCR  MAMBACITAS LEGACY Feb07         (cappellucci)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
PRETTY PEPPY Jan22 Jan01 Dec20 Oct31 Oct05 (collier c)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00    
ALWAYS PUNCTUAL Dec14 Oct11 Jul23 Mar20   (marr h)TOHILL S 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
MARKED BY A STORM Jan03 Dec14 Nov15 Oct31 Oct01 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 1.80 31% 2.30    
SMASH AWAY         (summers)FUENTES T 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
BULLDACIOUS KROME Jan31 May20       (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 10.00    
 
SUN-3   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Jan31 Jan17       (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of DESERT LADY by BIG SKY CHESTER)
ARTFUL CRITIC Jan22 Jan01 Dec12     (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 5.00 5% 17.60    
  (by ARTFUL RUN out of LAMONSTER MAJESTIC by TO TERAS)
ETHAN Dec01         (ascencio )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 20.00    
  (by SONG OF NAVARONE out of INDYELLEN by CONGRATS)
SCR  MARKED MONEY Jan17 Jun26 Jun10     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by MARKING out of MONEY ORDER by ATTILA'S STORM)
WALL STREET LOGIC Jan22         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of ROAD TO REASON by REDATTORE (BRZ))
LET EM RIP Jan08         (martinez da)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of BELLA ANATOLA by ESKENDEREYA)
BIG D W         (riddle)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of BONNIE MAE'S GIRL by MONTEREY JAZZ)
JED         (marr h)TOHILL S 121 4.50    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of KATY'S KITTEN by PERSONAL HOPE)
 
SUN-4   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR GOLD MAN Jan15 Nov30 Sep03 Jun12   (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 12.00    
ON A WARPATH Jan17 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 Aug06 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 10.00 7% 13.30    
BYE BYE MATTY P Jan15 Nov30 Oct30 Sep03 Aug07 (fincher ler)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
GOLDEN BAND Jan24 Aug21 Aug06 Jun26 Apr03 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
STYLE BENDER Jan03 Dec12 Dec01 Nov08 Oct16 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
DESERT REWARD Nov30 Oct30 Oct10 Aug06 Apr22 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 3.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  ATTILIANNO Jan03 Dec05 Nov22 Oct10 Sep03 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 123 2.00 14% 6.00    
 
SUN-5   02/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAINTED SMOKE Dec06 Nov08 Oct04 Sep10 Aug14 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 6.00    
RARE COIN Jan15 Dec19 Dec13 Nov21 Nov06 (barrios ber)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 8.00 13% 7.00    
PERFECT IMAGE Jan08 Nov21 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 (riddle e)TOHILL S 121 4.00    
ORGULLO MIO Jan24 Dec01 Nov07 Oct11 May01 (villalobos mig)CEBALLOS F 123 5.00    
WILD FIREWATER Jan15 Dec06 Nov21 Nov07 Oct05 (smith a)SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
SAY THERE KING Jan31         (meridyth )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 12.00 7% 12.80    
CASH CRUZER Jan17 Dec01 Nov13 Oct02 Sep27 (morales)FUENTES T 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
FORWARD OBSERVER Jan31 Dec13 Nov21 Oct24   (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
LEAF OF WISDOM Dec13 Nov21 Oct24     (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 123 12.00    
10  NONAME BANDIT Jan24 Dec14 Nov07     (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00 18% 4.60    
 
SUN-6   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUANTUM BULL Jan31 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 May01 (morales)FUENTES T 123 10.00    
TSUNAMI GOLD Jan31 Dec06 Oct23 Oct11 Sep04 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 123 1.80 65% 0.50    
BOB'SALLWICKED Jan31 Jan08 Nov30 Nov07 Sep15 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.50    
MR CHARLIE KING Jan31 Dec20 Dec05 Jan14   (marquez jose)SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00    
GOLDEN CARACAL Jan24 Jan15 Dec01 Nov07 May22 (archuleta ada)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
C D POLDARC Jan03 Dec05 Nov07 Oct17 Oct05 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 4.00    
CURL Jan24 Jan10 Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 15.00    
LUCK IN MY EYES Feb05 Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Dec05 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 123 6.00    
WHO'S ON THE RUN Jan31 Jan15 Dec19 Dec12 Dec01 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 8.00    
 
SUN-7   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($42.2K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAGS FINALE Jan31 Jan17 Dec12 Nov15   (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00    
DANJERUS STORM Jan17 Dec12 Oct30 Oct10 Sep10 (marq)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 5.00    
GEORGE WHO Jan08 Dec12 Nov01 Sep25 Sep10 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 1.60 35% 1.90    
INDIAN SILVER Dec06         (lambert t)VALDEZ S 121 12.00 11% 8.40    
BEACH RUNNER Jan08 Dec12 Nov14 Oct30 Jul30 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 2.50 15% 5.90    
MONIKER Jan08 Dec06 Nov15     (buechler simon)CEBALLOS F 121 12.00    
NEW CUT ROAD Jan08 Dec12 Nov15 May08   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
SUN-8   02/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASAMONTE MAN Jan10 Dec13 Nov08 Oct09 Sep22 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 5.00 26% 2.80    
BARBIERE Jan10 Dec01 Nov14 Oct25 Oct10 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
LOOKING FOR BULL Oct26 Oct16 Sep19 Sep11 Aug28 (hancock)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
B A CHAMPION Jan22 Oct31 Sep30 Aug06 Jul17 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 15.00 10% 9.30    
FLYING WARRIOR Jan24 Jan17 Dec06 Oct31 Oct18 (valdez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 15.00    
YANO'S WAY Jan10 Dec06 Oct09 Sep16 May21 (baldwin lynette)TOHILL S 120 20.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY PEERLESS Jan10 Nov14 Oct25 Oct01 Sep15 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.50    
INQUISITEUR Jan24 Jan08 Dec13 Nov30 Oct16 (marquez l)CARRENO J 123 10.00    
STOCK DEAL Jan29 Nov15 Oct25 Oct01 Sep15 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 8.00    
10  PIRATE JUNCTION Jan24 Jan10 Dec13 Dec01 Nov07 (fincher leroy)VALDEZ S 123 6.00    
 
SUN-9   02/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($11.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER RAPPES Jan15 Nov20 Sep21 Sep08 Aug21 (singh johnny)TORRES J 123 8.00    
ZANDY DEE Jan15 Dec20 Dec06 Jul12 Jun21 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
SHE'S ALL ATTITUDE Jan15 Nov30 Nov06 Oct16 Sep16 (marquez m)CARRENO J 123 15.00 28% 2.60    
JOHNBOYS JENNY Nov02 Sep24 Aug07     (smith a)CHAVEZ R 121 15.00    
MISS JAX Jan01 Oct31 Sep21 Sep08 Aug03 (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 5.00    
WHAT A MEMORY Jan15 Nov30 Oct18     (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 123 10.00    
INDIAN AFFAIR Jan01 Nov30 Oct09 Sep21 Aug27 (hudson jeff)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00    
CATTY DOM Jan01 Nov30 Nov20 Oct17 Sep21 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 123 4.50    
MIDNIGHTONTHENILE Jan22 Dec13 Oct18 Sep08 Aug20 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 4.00 31% 2.30    
10  MARGOT Jan15 Dec17 Sep10 Aug06   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.