Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Sunday - January 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/1/5/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/1/5/4)-(3/2/1/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
SUN-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2/5/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(4/5/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(4/5/6)-(5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SUN-3   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(5/7)-(4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SUN-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/1/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/1/6/4)-(5/7/1/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6/2)-(4/5/3/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-6   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3/4)-(1/2/7/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (9/1/8/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/2/5)-(9/1/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/2/5)-(9/1/8/2/5)-(9/1/8/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (9/1/8/2/5)-(6/8/7)-(10/9/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SUN-8   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7/9/3)-(6/8/7/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(10/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-9   WIN (10/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/9/5)-(10/9/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/9/5)-(10/9/5/1)-(10/9/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT IMAGE Nov21 Sep10 Aug14 Jul29 Jun24 (riddle e)TOHILL S 121 3.00    
LET EM RIP         (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
LAUGH OF THE PARTY Dec20 Dec06 Nov08     (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 121 1.40 52% 0.90    
OJO FELIZ Dec20 Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 Sep25 (barrios berna)LOPEZ E 121 15.00    
MONIKER Dec06 Nov15       (buechler si)SCRIVER L 121 3.50    
SCR  BROTHER BEN Nov01         (cross gary)CEBALLOS F 121 15.00    
 
SUN-2   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER DADDY Dec13 Oct09 Sep17 Aug24 Aug05 (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 54% 0.80    
ZACH WHO Nov14 Oct24 Sep23 Aug20   (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 121 6.00    
SCR  JUST AWESOME M Dec19 Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 May15 (cardena)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 2.00 12% 7.60    
WILDCAT ECHO Dec01 Oct24 Sep28 Sep08 Aug24 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
RIO HATO Dec12 Dec01 Oct17 Sep17 Jun11 (valdez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 6.00    
TEQUILA Dec01 Oct24 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (gonzalez andres)TOHILL S 124 4.00    
 
SUN-3   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ILLUMINATE D STORM Dec06 Nov07 Jul30 Jul04 Apr29 (vega v)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
ZESTY JAZZMAN Nov30 Oct17 Aug31 Aug14 May01 (villalobo)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 124 5.00    
SCR  I AM THE JUAN Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 Oct23 Aug17 (summers nan)SCRIVER L 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
JEWEL OF NAVARONE Dec13 Dec05 Sep17 Aug31 Aug17 (cardena)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.00 12% 7.10    
BOB'SALLWICKED Nov30 Nov07 Sep15 Aug03 May20 (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 3.50 10% 9.40    
COMING ABSTRACTION Dec13 Sep30 Apr29 Mar13 Mar01 (martinez e)TORRES J 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  MR CHARLIE KING Dec20 Dec05 Jan14     (marquez l)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
 
SUN-4   01/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREDIT CARD FRAUD Nov30 Oct24 Sep23 Sep02 Aug03 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 2.50    
SHAKE RAG Dec13 Dec06 Nov30 Nov07 Oct24 (van robe)CHAVEZ R 123 2.00    
SCR  JEDI JENNIE Dec20 Sep30 Sep21 Sep08 Aug12 (barrios berna)LOPEZ E 123 15.00    
HOT LIL MESS Dec05 Oct24 Sep21 Sep14 Aug28 (marquez l)TORRES J 123 12.00    
PREMEDITATED LILY Nov21 Oct31 Sep23 Sep14 Aug26 (armstrong sherry)VALDEZ S 123 8.00 35% 1.80    
FI FI D'ORO Dec05 Nov21 Oct31 Sep21 Aug21 (rojero )FUENTES T 123 3.00    
TIZ MY HOUR Dec20 Sep05 Jul01 Feb15 Jan30 (van crowell )SALAZAR TERESA 118 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
SUN-5   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLATINUM GREEK Sep28 Sep16 Aug17 Jun17 Feb15 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 119 8.00    
GRAN MANNA Nov22 Oct11 Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 (rojero )FUENTES T 124 6.00    
NOBLE MISS Dec06 Oct23 Aug31 Aug17 Jul24 (lambert case)FUENTES A 124 5.00 8% 11.90    
GIRONA Dec20 Oct31 Oct23 Sep28 Aug31 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
LEAVE IT Dec05 Oct17 Sep16 Sep08 Aug20 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 124 3.00 9% 10.30    
OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Dec20 Oct10 Sep30 Sep04 Aug17 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 4.00    
ZIPPIN BY U Jan01 Dec13 Nov15 Oct24 Oct05 (van robe)CHAVEZ R 124 8.00    
 
SUN-6   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRYDER Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Oct01 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
DADDY WHAT IF Dec01 Oct16 Sep03 Aug14 Apr03 (cross gary)TOHILL S 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
DOM WAYNE Sep24 Sep03 Aug28 May21 Apr30 (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 3.50 16% 5.20    
DESTINY WHO Dec12 Nov08 Aug17 Aug07 Jul17 (rojero )FUENTES T 113 6.00    
COLOR ME GONE Dec19 Nov30 Oct30 Sep30 Sep18 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 118 10.00    
ARCH CITY Oct31 Oct16 Apr29 Mar27 Feb22 (buechler simon)CEBALLOS F 120 6.00    
FRANKS DEHERE Dec19 Oct16 Sep02 May22 Apr03 (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
 
SUN-7   01/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VODKA TWIST Oct25 Oct01 Sep04 Aug17 Aug07 (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
TOTALLY TIGER Nov14 Sep22 Sep08 Jul05 Jun27 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 13% 6.90    
UNTHROTTLED Dec01 Nov07 Oct13 Sep23 Aug27 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 3.00    
BEAR BRIAN Dec14 Nov21 Nov07 Sep28 Sep16 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
MEMORY TAKER Dec12 Dec01 Aug31 Aug19 May20 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 10.00 9% 9.90    
FINGLAS LAD Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Sep23 (rojero )FUENTES T 121 8.00    
INQUISITEUR Dec13 Nov30 Oct16 Sep28 Sep17 (marquez l)TORRES J 123 10.00    
NOT TODAY SATAN Dec12 Dec01 Aug07 Mar05 Feb06 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
LEATHERNECK Nov30 Nov14 Oct23 Sep24 Sep03 (gonzalez jo)SCRIVER L 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
SUN-8   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH RUNNER Dec12 Nov14 Oct30 Jul30 Jun24 (cappellucci)SCRIVER L 121 8.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of BEACH CLUB by SMART STRIKE)
CLUE Dec12 Nov14 Oct25 Oct10 Aug24 (gonzalez sal)TOHILL S 121 15.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of COMIC KITTY by COMIC STRIP)
NEW MEXICO JEREMY Dec12 Oct30 Oct04 Sep25 Sep10 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of TIA TIA by PINE BLUFF)
GEORGE WHO Dec12 Nov01 Sep25 Sep10 Aug14 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 6.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of IMWITHTHEBLONDE by MONTBROOK)
OL' MCCLINTOCK Dec12 Dec01 Nov15 Oct04 Sep10 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00    
  (by MARKING out of JOYFUL TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
ANTONIOS MARK Dec12 Nov14 Jul29     (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by MARKING out of BEKAT BEKAT by LAWYER RON)
THRUTHESTORM Dec12 Nov14 Aug14 Jul29 Jun19 (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 5.00 13% 6.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of THRUTHELOOKINGLASS by ALYDAR)
NEW CUT ROAD Dec12 Nov15 May08     (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
  (by RULE BY NIGHT out of MOLLY MY LOVE by DOME)
SMARTSREALGOOD Dec12 Oct30 Oct10 Sep25 Sep10 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of POISED BY DESIGN by MONTBROOK)
 
SUN-9   01/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVENOOR WOMAN Dec20 Nov22 Oct04 Sep16 Aug06 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 122 6.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of REVENUE by TAX COLLECTION)
IZE A CRAFTY GAL Jan01 Oct31 Sep17 Aug17 May14 (hinojos alva)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00    
  (by HOLD ME BACK out of CRAFTY GAL by KANTHAROS)
RESPECT THE RIDE Aug20 Aug06 Jul30     (de la )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 116 30.00    
  (by BOAT TRIP out of ZOE'S BABA by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SCR  TYLER'S DREAM Nov30 Nov15 Oct19 Oct01 Sep04 (green greg)PEREZ A 120 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of LISA'S DREAM by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
OUTSIDE THE LAW Dec21 Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 Aug20 (campo stacy)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 8% 11.50    
  (by MACHO UNO out of AGAINST THE LAW by OFFICER)
UNIQUE BABE Mar27 Feb20 Jan16     (marr h)TOHILL S 121 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SLAMITAGAIN by GRAND SLAM)
BRAVE CINDERELLA Dec06 Oct04 Sep16 Aug24 Mar08 (gonzalez andres)VALDEZ S 120 10.00    
  (by BRAVE CAT out of CINDERELLA LIBERTY by LIBERTY GOLD)
SCR  STACI'S RED DRESS Dec20 Sep30 Aug24 Jul24 Mar08 (green greg)SCRIVER L 121 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RED SPRITE by THUNDER GULCH)
FLYIN FALYNN Dec20 Nov22 Oct04 Jul02 Jun17 (zamora chris)FUENTES A 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of AIR GUITAR by FIVE STAR DAY)
10  ARI OAKLEY Dec17 Nov10 Jun26 May28 May01 (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BELLE OF PERINTOWN by DEHERE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.