Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE STAR FRAN Dec04 Nov18 Jun01     (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00 ★    
2  JIMMYDABOOK Dec04 Nov04 Oct20 Oct05   (smith d)CRUZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
3  CAMI RACHELLE Dec04 Oct23 Oct01 Sep02 Aug27 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 4.00 ★    
4  GOLDEN BLOSSOM Dec04 Sep18       (klesaris rob)BATISTA A 122 12.00 ★    
5  DUNDER BOSS Nov21 Nov12 Oct23     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
6  SUPER JO JO Nov18         (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 122 20.00    
7  HELLA ELLA Nov06 Sep11 Aug13 Jul24   (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00    
SCR  SUSANAS LUCKYCHARM Dec16 Dec04       (frock charl)PAREDES JHOVANY 108 30.00    
SCR  BEST WORST IDEA Jun15         (nambo cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 3.50 5% 17.90    
10  LET'S MAKE A ZEEN Nov04         (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
 
LRL-2   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETCHED IN STONE Nov04 Oct15 Aug24 Jul11 Jun17 (feliciano ben )ARAUJO DENIS 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  FORTH Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 Jul27 Jun30 (hall d)MONTERREY R 123 10.00    
SCR  BRION Oct20 Sep07 Jul20 Jun10 May05 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
4  BACKATYA Dec10 Nov27 Nov12 Oct27 Oct19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.60 29% 2.50    
5  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Nov26 Nov06 Oct20 Oct08 Sep30 (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
6  AMICALOLA FALLS Nov21 Oct14 Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SPRITZER Dec09 Nov24 Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 (kee willie )PAREDES JHOVANY 113 10.00    
8  BOWIE TWO STEP Dec11 Dec04 Nov06 Oct20 Sep09 (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 122 4.50 ★    
 
LRL-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICE WOMAN Dec09 Dec02 Nov19 Oct29 Oct14 (woodit joseph)HESS SARA 115 15.00 8% 10.90    
2  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Dec04 Nov21 Nov05 Oct20 Aug03 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
3  GOOD STORY Oct23 Oct08 Sep16 May29 Apr09 (eppler e)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 4.50 ★    
4  MASHUA Nov19 Oct29 Sep16 Aug07   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  UNBRIDLED IRISH Nov21 Oct13 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 125 15.00    
6  LOOKIN SPUNKY Dec04 Nov19 Oct29 Jul08 Jun17 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 125 3.50 ★    
7  COFFEE BEAN Dec16 Dec11 Dec02 Nov04 Oct21 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 121 15.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  I HAVE COURAGE Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 Sep10 (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 20.00    
9  C TWO Sep10         (graham robi)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 20.00    
10  TIPSY TOURIST Dec04 Nov13 Oct07 Sep16 Aug07 (eubanks an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 8.00    
11  BIZZY BIZZY Nov19 Oct29 Sep16 Jul23 Jul17 (haughton)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00    
12  SERIOUS MOMENT Dec16 Dec01 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 (kee wil)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 20.00    
 
LRL-4   12/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLUSION OF HOPE Dec03 Nov14 Oct28 Oct06 Aug17 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
2  PLEASE MARRY ME Dec03 Nov13 Nov05 Oct22 Oct07 (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
3  FORTUNATA ITALIA Nov12 Oct02 Aug25 Jul19 Jul09 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
4  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Nov19 Nov09 Oct14 Sep24 Sep05 (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00    
5  SALAMINA Dec03 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 Sep17 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00    
6  TAM CHAR Nov19 Oct21 Sep16     (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  NOTION INTERRUPTUS Dec02 Oct21 Oct12 Sep30 Sep14 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 119 20.00    
8  HONOR YOUR MOTHER Dec03 Nov14 Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 (smith d)ALVELO C 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
9  MISS CASEY Dec03 Nov12 Sep21 Aug26 Aug04 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
10  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Nov19 Oct09 Sep17 Jul30 May27 (merryman micha)CEDENO CAROL 122 12.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  SENSON Dec03 Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 Sep18 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
12  MERAVIGLIOSO Dec03 Nov07 Oct21 Sep24 Aug29 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 125 4.50    
SCR  DIAL EMMA REILLY Dec03 Nov14 Oct27 Oct07 Sep03 (mancilla ca)PAREDES JHOVANY 109 20.00    
SCR  MEBS WEB Dec01 Nov17 May19 Apr22 Mar27 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 119 20.00    
SCR  LAMBEAU LADY Oct12 Sep10 Jul30 Jun22 May07 (mancilla carlo)LOPEZ DERECK 109 12.00    
 
LRL-5   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Nov26 Oct29 Oct09 Sep30 Jun18 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 125 15.00    
2  WINSTON'S GOLD Nov26 Oct21 Sep30 Aug28 Aug05 (bracciale )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 125 3.50    
SCR  BORN FOR VICTORY Nov20 Nov07 Oct20 Oct08 Sep05 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 6.00 15% 5.60    
4  CENTAVO Dec09 Nov11 Jul08 Jun30 Jun05 (chatterpaul)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 30.00    
5  CRIMSON ROCKET Dec04 Nov14 Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00    
6  STRONGER THAN DEX Dec10 Mar18       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 125 6.00 9% 10.60    
7  NEVER SILENCED Dec04 Nov14 Nov07 Sep04 Aug19 (sanchez-salomo)LOPEZ DERECK 111 20.00    
8  THRUSTER Jun04 May13 Apr01 Feb03   (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 126 20.00    
9  DEJOHN Jul28 Jun30 Jun04 May12 Apr16 (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00 6% 16.60    
10  MOSLER SAFE Dec10 Nov20 Oct29 Jun10 May19 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
11  SUPERSTITIEUX Nov26 Nov14 Oct02 Sep09 Aug18 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 10.00 20% 4.10    
 
LRL-6   12/29/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAVERLEY Nov21 Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 Sep11 (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 8.00    
2  CARMEL SUNRISE Dec04 Nov06 Oct01     (feliciano ben )LOPEZ DERECK 112 10.00 8% 12.10    
3  HAPPY TIME Dec04         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Dec10 Nov18 Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
5  BALI HAI Nov12 Oct21       (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 122 6.00    
6  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Dec02 Oct21       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  SISTER SPIRIT Dec04 Nov25 Nov03 Oct05   (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
8  BABKA Oct30 Sep18 Aug07     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.50    
9  JACKSON'S DIXIE         (howard c)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00 15% 5.50    
10  WILD N' SASSY         (cooper ste)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 15.00 11% 7.90    
 
LRL-7   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLMAN Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 Sep11 (juarez ca)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  THE LAST SCIP Dec08 Oct29 Sep30 Sep09 Aug23 (geralis eman)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00 11% 8.30    
3  GOD IS LOVE Nov13 Oct14 Sep25 Aug15 Jul30 (gonzalez clau)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 12.00    
4  FRENCHBORO Oct29 Oct02       (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  AUSPICIOUS LAD Nov24 Oct13 Sep11 Jul09 Jun25 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 125 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  VOTETHEMALLOUT Dec10 Oct23 Oct08 Aug30 Jul18 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 121 6.00    
7  BODE LYNX Nov24 Oct29 Oct13 Aug06 Jul21 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 121 12.00    
8  FEDERAL OFFENSE Nov24 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 Aug12 (mcmullen maril)BOYCE FOREST 125 5.00    
9  BALTIMORE BULLEIT Nov14 Apr16 Mar13 Feb24 Feb19 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 125 15.00    
SCR  PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH Nov21 Oct16 Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 2.50 11% 8.10    
 
LRL-8   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE MS SCARLET Sep21 Aug08 Jul10 Jul02 May30 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  MY BOSS LADY Dec02 Nov06 Oct26 Oct01 Sep03 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
3  MRS. DEL Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 Aug27 (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00    
4  CANADIAN GINGER Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct02 Aug16 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MADERA Dec16 Nov19 Jan20     (hillegass al)BATISTA A 123 20.00    
6  AWESOME VIEW Dec16 Nov11 Nov03 Oct21 Oct13 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00 ★    
7  BEHIND THE COUCH Dec16 Nov21 Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.50    
SCR  ESCAPE FUND Nov26 Oct28 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
9  PROPER ATTIRE Nov11 Oct13 Sep23 Jul30 Jun26 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00 16% 5.30    
 
LRL-9   12/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY CHILD Dec02 Nov04 Oct27 Oct13 Aug26 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 125 3.50 ★    
2  SO THERE Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep07 Aug25 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 12.00    
3  CASH KID Dec02 Nov24 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 10.00 ★    
4  GIVE IT A GO Nov24 Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 Sep11 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 12.00    
5  UNCOMMON VALOR Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Sep11 (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
6  I'M NOT SLOW Oct27 Oct06 Sep11 Sep03 Aug06 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 121 15.00    
7  MANKLIN CREEK Dec02 Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 Aug26 (corrales jo)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 15.00    
8  CODIGO Dec09 Nov07 Oct23 Sep10 Aug20 (lynch catha)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  NEVERFOLD Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 Oct01 Sep11 (ashby ra)BUTTERFLY L 126 20.00    
10  PURSUING PACE Nov24 Nov13 Oct14 Sep10 Jul17 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 1.60 59% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.