Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - December 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS N BIZ Nov19 Oct01 Sep05     (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  J J'S SOLUTION Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Sep10 Jun24 (rednour j)COLON H 124 3.50 ★    
3  SENOR MIKE Nov19 Oct28 Oct09     (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
4  DASH TO THE CASH Nov19 Oct28 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (lindsay ric)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 1.00 49% 1.00    
5  PUNISH KING Nov19         (slager mike)ORM CORY 122 20.00    
6  NAGY AND DA BEARS Nov27 Nov19 Sep13     (sanchez osc)ORTEGA O 122 15.00    
7  KRUELESS Nov19         (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 20.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   12/10/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TEDDY Nov12 Oct28 Jul16 May28 May13 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
2  EVIDENCE Nov12 Oct28 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
3  TAPIT SAM Nov27 Nov12 Oct09 Sep15 Sep01 (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
4  TSALI Nov12 Aug06 Jul23 May27 May01 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 20.00    
5  HINK'S PALADIN Nov17 Aug12 Aug04 Jul22 Jul09 (johnston rebecca)FELIX E 119 5.00 ★    
6  ROLL DINERO ROLL Aug12 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 Apr09 (ramos franci)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  THE GEEK Oct28         (ramirez car)ORTEGA O 121 30.00    
 
HAW-3   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY SHOT Oct30 Jul17 May01 Apr09 Jan08 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 2.00 11% 7.70    
2  TEE BURNS Oct30 May14 Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 (watkins m)FELIX E 119 2.50 19% 4.30    
3  CINDY'S STORM Nov12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug26 Aug09 (ramos )BAILON JADHIR 119 8.00    
4  RIDING THE TRAIN Nov25 Oct01 Sep17 Aug20 Aug10 (dizeo din)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00 ★    
5  BASEBALL POLITICS Nov25 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr10 (manley steve)EMIGH A 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
6  ROCKET HOTSHOT Nov13 Sep23 Sep04 Jul29 Jun12 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-4   12/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNIEVEL Nov26 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Sep15 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
2  POWERFUL MAN Nov20 Jun25 Jun04 May15 May01 (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 8.00    
3  CHOCOLATE BUNNY Nov11 Jul20 Jun24 Jun04 May07 (rodriguez jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 30.00    
4  SON OF GRACE Dec02 Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jan23 (hughes w)FELIX E 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
5  EMPTY HOLSTER Nov20 Oct21 Oct07 Aug24 Jun10 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  MY BROTHER CAM Nov26 Oct29 Oct14 Oct02 Aug19 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 1.60 27% 2.80    
7  BOURBON DELIGHT Nov26 Nov12 Oct16 Jun24 May27 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
8  JACKS SPRING BREAK Nov20 Nov13 Sep14 Aug31 Aug08 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-5   12/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIGHT ON RICHIE Nov19 Oct21 Aug22 Aug01   (rivelli larry)FELIX E 118 6.00 ★    
2  CHI TOWN HUSTLER Nov19 Oct01 Jul18     (rivelli l)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 5.00 ★    
3  RIVZONAROLL Nov19 Oct14 Sep25 Aug31 Jun11 (rivelli lar)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  EL MUCHO Nov19         (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 20.00    
5  SAWYER FOX         (catalano wayne)COLON H 116 6.00    
6  FEVER NATION Nov19 Oct14       (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 8.00 ★    
7  LOOKIN FOR BALA Nov19 Oct21 Jul23     (essenpreis edward)EMIGH A 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
HAW-6   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDY'S G MAN Oct02 Jun04 May01 Apr02 Jan22 (watkins m)FELIX E 119 8.00 ★    
2  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 Aug11 Jul13 (broberg karl)COLON H 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  TALKTOEACHOTHER Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 Sep07 Jun17 (candelas blanca)ORM CORY 121 10.00 6% 15.60    
4  GLOBAL EMPIRE Nov20 Oct28 Sep20 Aug30 Jul24 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00    
5  MUD ISLAND Nov26 Nov04 Sep24 Sep07 Aug18 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
6  ALPINE GHOST Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 Jul14 Jun17 (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 5.00    
7  VITALE Nov20 Nov06 Oct07 Aug24 Aug03 (martinez ral)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  MON AMI FUZZIE Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 (bahena fernando)EMIGH A 121 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-7   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISABELLACANNETELLA Nov25 Oct30       (jones jef)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8% 11.80    
2  ATHENAS SONG Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May06 Mar20 (clay pat)ULLOA JOAN 121 10.00    
3  JETS A GINNIN Oct30 Oct08 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  MISS MELODY Sep11 Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 May27 (clay pat)ORTEGA O 121 8.00 ★    
5  LIPLINER Oct08 Jun24 Jun17 May15 Apr23 (childers vance)COLON H 121 10.00    
6  JULIAISON Oct23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug16 Jul22 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 121 12.00    
7  WAR COLORS Oct30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 (wainwright john)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  LILY'S WOOFY Nov11 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 (hernandez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
HAW-8   12/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE MAGIC Nov18 Oct30 Sep26 Sep04 Aug12 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50    
2  FIVE ROSES LUNA Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 Oct09 Sep26 (jones s)COLON H 121 10.00    
3  MINI DRESS Nov27 Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 Aug27 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  FIELD DAISEY Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug17 (bigelow e)LOPEZ A 121 5.00 16% 5.30    
5  LORI ATTACK Nov25 Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 (retana gabe)ORTEGA O 121 15.00    
6  RUNAWAY A. TRAIN Nov18 Oct30 Oct16 Sep14 Sep03 (robertson hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  MANHATTAN LEGACY         (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 121 4.00 23% 3.40    
8  BEING CREATIVE Nov20 Nov06 Oct21 Sep23 Sep10 (sanchez osc)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 20.00    
9  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN Nov27 Nov06 Oct21 Sep24 Sep17 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00 6% 16.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.