Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   12/09/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTREET GAL Nov05 Oct07 Sep25 Aug17 Jul10 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 119 12.00    
POUNDING MUSIC Nov13 Oct22 Sep25 Aug24 Jul28 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
SHE'S ALL COURAGE Oct23 Oct01 May05 Mar20 Feb12 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00    
MISS CHAMITA Nov19 Nov04 Oct29 Oct14 Oct01 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 113 4.50    
SALAGADOOLA Nov18 Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (samaniego j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
STARTWITHABANG Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 Aug23 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 1.60 19% 4.30    
RED QUEEN Dec02 Nov14 Oct30 Oct07 Sep03 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
LRL-2   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHRA PHROM Nov18 Oct30 Oct23 Oct02 Sep17 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 125 6.00    
LUV YA BYE BYE Jun24 Jun10 May26 Apr30   (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 125 10.00    
ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE         (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
FLAVIAN Oct30 Sep17 Aug12 Jul16   (corrales jose)CRUZ ANGEL 125 6.00    
FIND FAITH         (graham l)MONTERREY R 125 15.00    
TAKE CHARGE TOO Nov25 Oct22 Sep11 Aug12 Jul15 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
CELTIC COUSEN Nov20         (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 0.80 49% 1.00    
 
LRL-3   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRLS LOVE ME Nov06 Oct15       (parram derrick)ARAUJO DENIS 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
YES SIR ROBERT Nov27 Nov11 Oct14 Sep02 Aug13 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.00 19% 4.20    
THE CAIRO KID Oct14 Sep04 Aug28 Jun17 May27 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00    
HE'S A SHOOTER Nov12 Oct22 Sep28 Sep02 Aug03 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00    
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Oct29 Oct12 Sep14 Jun19   (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 123 20.00    
NOTTOWAY Oct15 Sep23 Apr29     (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00 11% 7.90    
PEPE AND HEYWOOD Nov14 Nov05 Oct26 Oct14 Oct01 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 8.00    
BIGMANCAN Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 Sep03 Aug13 (magana j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
 
LRL-4   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONDED (IRE) Nov20 Nov04 Oct13 Oct01 Sep05 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
SLINGSHOT BOY Nov18 Nov06 Oct26 Oct13 Sep08 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
POINT US HOME         (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 12.00 10% 8.60    
BULLOUT Nov18 Oct09 Aug31 Jul01   (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 5.00    
SIGMUND Oct26 Sep05 Aug01     (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
WHISKEY MISCHIEF Nov04 Oct06       (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50 35% 1.90    
I AM THE MIKE Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 Sep30 Sep09 (mancilla carl)ALVELO C 122 8.00    
RASCALLY REBEL Nov27 Nov20 Nov04 Oct15 Sep30 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 12.00    
SNIP THE ROSES Nov18 Nov06 Oct13 Sep24   (walter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00    
 
LRL-5   12/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SENSATION Nov25 Nov05 Oct16 Sep11 Aug11 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 121 3.00    
EARLEY ROSE Nov25 Nov05 Oct16 Sep25 Jul28 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 8.00    
BELLA BETTINA Nov19 Oct21 Oct07 Aug12 Jul13 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00 21% 3.80    
HOV LANE Nov07 Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 Sep02 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 125 5.00 52% 0.90    
LOTTACLASS LILSASS Nov25 Nov05 Oct14 Sep17 Aug30 (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 125 20.00    
BLAME THE IRISH Nov19 Nov05 Oct16 Sep18 Aug13 (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 125 30.00    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 Sep25 Aug21 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 4.50    
SEMIRAMIS Nov18 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug20 (gonzalez c)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00    
LUCKY LORRAINE Nov18 Oct28 Oct07 Aug21 Jun11 (eppler mary)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MI YAYIS Nov19 Oct16 Oct02 Sep15 Aug27 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
11  RATIONALMILLENNIAL Oct08 Sep02 Aug26 Jul29 Jul02 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 121 20.00    
 
LRL-6   12/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSES WATER Nov21 Oct30       (davis g)MONTERREY R 126 6.00    
IMAGINE IT ALL Nov21 Oct30 Oct15 Sep09 Aug27 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 5.00 53% 0.90    
DEVIL'S CANYON         (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 126 20.00    
ESPRESSO LUNGO Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 Aug14 Jul15 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 125 6.00    
GRAND MANNER Nov21 Oct13 Sep30 Aug21 Aug05 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 12.00    
LUIGI'S SPIRIT         (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 6.00    
SCR  GIG         (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Nov18 Oct15 Sep11     (magee kieron)BATISTA A 125 3.50 8% 11.20    
CAPTAIN QUINT Nov04 Oct08 Jul02 May01 Apr03 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 125 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
LRL-7   12/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R B'S STAR Nov18 Oct28 Sep25 Aug27 Aug19 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
SISTER SUPREAM Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 Aug14 May25 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
SPARKLE SPRINKLE Nov02 Sep30 Jan29     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00    
UTTERLY COURAGEOUS Nov06 Oct20 Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 (hall d)ACOSTA D 123 12.00    
SHE IS WISKY Jun19 Jun12 Apr29 Apr09 Mar19 (corrales jose)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 8% 12.00    
RUNUP Nov15 Oct25 Apr15     (wohlers laura)LARROSA G 122 3.00    
I'M GITTIN THERE Nov20 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 Aug16 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 8.00    
 
LRL-8   12/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MURPH Nov18 Oct27 Jul06 May20 Apr24 (magana j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00 15% 5.70    
SMART EULEE Oct30 Oct06 Sep16 Aug21 Aug05 (keefe timothy)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
WICKED HOT Oct22 Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 Jun03 (motion graha)CEDENO CAROL 123 1.80 27% 2.80    
WINKED Nov11 Sep30 Aug28 Jul31 Jul09 (merryman w)ACOSTA D 126 2.50 35% 1.90    
LADRO DI FICHI Nov14 Oct06 Aug21 Jul28 Jun26 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00    
ICY STARE DOWN Oct29 Sep15 Mar24 Feb26   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00    
GUSTAV'S GIRL Jun04 May08 Apr08     (saville niall)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 15.00    
 
LRL-9   12/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLING THE DRAIN Nov20         (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 0.80 56% 0.80    
GAMING SOUL         (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
ARROGANT RIDER Nov21         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
VAX A NATION Nov27         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 20.00    
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Nov20 Nov06 Oct28 Sep22 Sep05 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 118 6.00    
ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Nov26 Oct29       (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
SCR  ALVY Nov21         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.