Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - November 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR HEART Oct10 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 (servis ty)RAMOS C 114 3.50    
CHARLYS WILD ANGEL Nov01 Oct25 Oct10 Sep12 Aug23 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
CHARLY'S CHOO CHOO Oct10 Sep28 Sep06 Aug31 Jul27 (tzortzakis e)BISONO J 121 8.00    
LOVE CHANNEL Oct25 Sep23 Aug06 Jul17 Feb19 (sano antoni)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 15.00    
MAGNOLIA ROAD Nov01 Oct25 Sep28 Aug30 Jul26 (sano antonio)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 1.20 50% 1.00    
CASH ON FIRST Oct26 Jul25 Jul05     (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
GOVERNMENT GIRL Nov01 Oct10 Sep12 Jul27 Jun15 (castillo mi)DE KEMICH 114 5.00    
 
PRX-2   11/16/2022 6600ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABDAA Oct03 Sep26 Sep07 Sep01 Jul22 (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 15.00    
D BLACK MAMBA Oct18 Oct03 Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50    
HE'SSOSUBTLE Oct19 Sep07 Aug23 Aug03 Jul09 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
NOICATTARO Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Aug31 Aug24 (bryant don)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 4.50    
CAPE HEDGE Oct05 Sep27 Sep05 Aug20 Jul19 (soto- martin)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
COMMISSIONER DAVE Oct26 Sep26 Sep07 Aug29 Jul04 (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
AMERICAN FORCES Oct26 Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 (pattershall m)PEREZ M 121 8.00 27% 2.60    
HE RUNS THE LINE Oct19 Sep19 Sep02 Aug23 Aug06 (smith evert)DE KEMICH 114 6.00    
 
PRX-3   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MASE Oct17 Sep05 Jul19 Jun01 May09 (lee r)RANGEL JOEZER 121 6.00    
RECLUSE Oct20 Sep21 Aug22 Aug02   (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50    
ONE MORE SCOOP Oct25         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00    
NICKY DA FOX Oct25 Sep21 Aug22 Jul11 Jun28 (wilson brenda)ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00    
AGELESS ENDEAVOR Nov02 Oct17 Sep21 Sep05 Aug22 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
VIRAL VIDEO         (castillo sa)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 8.00    
WINDSOR GOLD Oct25         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
PRX-4   11/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELISHMENT Oct28 Oct17 Oct03 Sep17 Sep02 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 10.00    
FARLEY (ARG) Nov02 Oct24 Oct01 Sep10 Aug23 (sano antonio)MILAN GERARDO 121 10.00 12% 7.30    
THE RIGHT PATH Oct19 Oct03 Sep23 Sep01 Aug04 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
BOAT OVER THE HILL Oct19 Oct03 Sep13 Aug24 Aug02 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00    
HIGH VELOCITY Oct31 Oct19 Sep27 Sep05 Aug18 (rodriguez mig)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
DRONE SWARM Nov02 Oct25 Sep19 Sep05 Jul18 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
PETULANT DELIGHT Oct19 Sep06 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 (pino michae)RAMOS C 117 4.50 34% 1.90    
WHAT'S TO BLAME Oct31 Oct03 Sep20 Sep10 Aug23 (perez ruper)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 8.00    
 
PRX-5   11/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEWEARSTHEPANTS Oct31 Sep28 Aug31 Jul05 Jun13 (hogan willi)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 10.00    
PRINCESS EMMA JO Jun17 May25 May09 Apr11 Mar15 (aro mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00    
SCR  MISQUILLO Nov13 Oct22 Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00    
PEARLS AND HEELS Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 Sep03 Aug22 (martin f)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00    
VANISHING FAITH Nov07 Oct24 Oct12 Sep21 Sep08 (maymo alejandr)ADORNO ABNER 118 6.00    
YELLOW DRESS Nov02 Sep14 Aug03 Jul09 Jun15 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 43% 1.30    
ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Sep21 Aug22 Aug02 Jun29 Jun06 (catalano m )WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
OUTLINE Nov08 Aug23 Jul09 Jun15 May11 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 5.00    
 
PRX-6   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK LIGHT Oct24 Sep26 Sep06 Jul19 Jun27 (st uriah)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
GREMLIN Oct17         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
O'BRIEN Sep24 Sep05 Jul27 May31 May23 (dotolo davi)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00    
WISPERING SPRINGS         (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 118 4.00    
NOBLE GASTON Apr13 Mar23       (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 118 3.50 12% 7.60    
PRIVATE SECTOR Sep26 Sep06 Aug23 Jul19 Jun29 (allen randy)RAMOS C 111 4.50 10% 9.20    
SEMPER FIDELIS Jan26         (taylor joseph)PENNINGTON F 121 8.00 9% 10.80    
 
PRX-7   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE DAR Nov07         (catalano m )WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 4.00 60% 0.70    
HARLEY'S CHARLY Oct12 Sep12 Aug22     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 119 3.50 5% 17.30    
TAKEMETOTHEMOON Oct04 Sep05       (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
ALTA FOX Sep12 Aug22       (coletti edwar)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00    
SECRET ADDICTION Oct28 Oct06 Sep03     (catalano)RODRIGUEZ A 112 8.00    
LIDIA'S PRAYER         (avila )GONZALEZ JR 119 6.00    
GO EAST         (servis ty)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 8.00    
RUNNIN JOKE         (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 12.00    
JOHN DUTTON Oct12         (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 119 8.00    
10  SPY NOVEL Oct07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul09   (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
 
PRX-8   11/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARITY STRIPE Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Aug04 Jul02 (hendriks)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MARIANNA QUEEN Oct25 Oct11 Aug30 Aug02 Jun27 (schistl rafae)RANGEL JOEZER 121 15.00    
TRIBORD Oct04 Sep07 Jul19 Jun21 May30 (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
FINE ONE WON Oct19 Sep07 Jul20 Jun27 Jun11 (abrams r)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
BOOM BOOM GIRL Sep20 Aug31 Jul11 Jun17   (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 5.00    
MANI PEDI Oct04 Aug30 Jul13 Jun19 Jun06 (pino michael )TREJOS JOSEPH 121 6.00    
LEAN ON E Oct25 Oct05 Sep06 Jun27 May31 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
MISTY TASTE Oct01 Aug01 Jun24 May21 May08 (gonzalez c)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 6.00    
BABY GUNDIN Nov01 Sep07 Jul20 Apr22 Mar18 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00    
10  TILSA Oct19 Sep13 Aug31 Aug03 Jul26 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
SCR  MISS DILLINGHAM Nov01 Oct01 Sep04 Aug11 Aug01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
PRX-9   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A DANGEROUS GUY Oct20 Oct04 Sep06 Aug23 Jul19 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 4.00    
FOR THE DREAMERS Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 Jun20   (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
SPIKEZONE Oct20 Sep26 Sep06 Aug14 Jul14 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
IRISH EXIT Oct25 Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00    
MR SANDMAN Aug23 Jul18 Jun25 Apr25 Apr04 (allen randy)ADORNO ABNER 118 5.00    
TANKINATOR Oct11 Sep14 Aug22 Jul29 Jul08 (coletti edw)RAMOS C 114 6.00    
CELTIC HEART Oct24 Sep24 Sep14 Aug23 Jul18 (st lewis)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
 
PRX-10   11/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL A LADY Nov08 Oct26 Jul20 May17 Apr26 (bouchard les)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 15.00    
SCR  MINESHAFT MAGIC Jun24 May30 May07 Apr13 Mar23 (shaw j)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 12.00    
SPIRIT OR SPITE Nov08 Oct26 Oct11 Sep21 Aug17 (tapsas e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
STARSHIP BLANCA Oct24 Oct10 Sep14 Aug19 Jul11 (soto- marti)RAMOS C 114 5.00 24% 3.10    
SOUTHERN CENTS Oct03 Aug29 Aug21 Aug01 Jul16 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  SALLY O'PRADO Jul18 Jun27 May24 May03 Apr13 (wilson brenda)ADORNO ABNER 121 20.00    
MRS. CREWS Oct21 Oct14 Oct03 Aug13 Aug01 (smith ev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
MAGICAL ANNA Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Jul18 Jun07 (noble f)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
WICKED JANE Oct26 Sep28 Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 4.00 14% 6.30    
10  HOLA PRINCESS Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 Sep26 Sep06 (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.