Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   10/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YAH HUH Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Aug07 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
TAKE THE EDGE Oct11 Oct03 Sep05 Aug03 Jul20 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 121 15.00    
SYNONYM B C Oct04 Sep20 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 (baker charlton)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00    
KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Aug07 Jun25 May29 Mar30 Mar02 (englehar)DAVIS A 118 6.00    
I AM THE CASH MAN Jul15 Jun27 May30 Apr03 Feb20 (pro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 1.80 74% 0.30    
JACOBA Sep12 Aug10 Jul05 May18 Apr26 (ficarella bro)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 20.00    
MY INSPIRATION Oct11 Sep05 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 (grabowski john)COA J 118 15.00    
PASCAL Oct11 Sep28 Sep07 Jun28 Jun15 (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 4.50    
 
FL-2   10/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S SECRET Oct12 Aug22       (englehar)DAVIS A 122 3.50    
1A  DAD GOT SHORT LEGS Oct12 Sep27       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
HOLIDAY NECKLACE Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 Aug10 Jun22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 20.00    
DR LARCARBEAU Oct12 Sep27 Sep05     (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 118 2.00 21% 3.80    
ICE'S IRONICDANCER Oct12 Sep27 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 15.00    
CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Sep27         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
MOOLAH ROUGE         (lecesse)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
CENTUAL ANNA         (sells rachel)BERRIOS C 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
FRANKIE C Sep27 Sep05 Jul28     (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
 
FL-3   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($29.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  COLOR COMMISH         (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 114 8.00    
SCR  CHARLIES MEDAL Oct19 Oct04       (sells ra)DAVIS A 114 8.00    
GOLD TEMPLAR Oct04         (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 114 8.00    
MACDONOUGH Sep21 Sep05       (sells rachel)SONE Y 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
ALLURE OF MONEY Oct17 Sep21       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 118 1.00 54% 0.90    
AMERICAN A. P.         (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 114 15.00    
MO TRUMP Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 Aug23   (ferraro anth)COA J 118 3.00    
 
FL-4   10/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARGARITA SUNRISE Oct19 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (wright t)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
TWISTED SUNSET Oct05 Jul27 Jul18 Jul06 Jun20 (morales samuel)GOMEZ O 122 6.00    
NOBLE ENDEAVOR Oct11 Aug08 Jul11 Jun14 May31 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 4.50 7% 12.70    
HIGH COMMAND Jul06 Jun13 May18 Apr25 Apr02 (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
SOMEBODY Oct08 Aug31 Jul28 Jul09 May19 (bon)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50    
LOVER'S LEAP Oct04 Sep21 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL STORY Oct05 Sep27 Sep06 Aug30 Aug01 (torelli )DAVIS A 122 10.00    
BOLDLEE Sep21 Jul05 Jun14     (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
FL-5   10/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNTHEGOOSELOOSE Sep28 Aug31       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
LISTENING IN Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug24 Jul25 (lugovich richa)PIERMARINI T 121 3.50    
PARS HEY ZEUS Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 12.00    
SEATIGER Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 Jun29 (grabowski john)COA J 124 5.00 61% 0.60    
LITTLE G T Sep27 Sep05 Aug23     (garza hector)ROHENA JR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DON BERNARDO Sep28 Aug26 Jul09 Jun10   (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.00 7% 12.40    
THUNDERING MARCH Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 Jul27 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 20.00    
MARCH MADNEZ PARTY Oct17 Oct05 Sep13 Aug22 Aug01 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
PAT PAYS Oct12 Sep27 Sep12     (salvato john)GOMEZ O 124 12.00    
10  WESWORLD Oct12 Sep13 Aug17 Jul12   (ficarel)NAVARRO J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   10/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE VIC Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 8.00    
MARC'S HUMOR Sep28 Aug08       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
LEGENDARY BID Sep27 Sep02 Jul29 Jul06 Jun22 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
THE HEART FIXER Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 20.00    
SCR  CODYS EXPRESS Oct10 Sep26 Sep13 Aug24 Jun29 (torelli)NAVARRO J 121 6.00    
CINCO LINKO Oct12 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 (acquilano jame)COA J 121 6.00 9% 10.60    
SMART STORM Oct05 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug22 (gut)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MAGIC PRO Oct12 Aug30 Aug22 Aug10 Jul25 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 121 20.00    
RUN LEA RUN Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 Aug02 Jun23 (garza hector)FRET STEVEN 121 6.00    
10  CUGINE Oct12 Oct04 Sep20 Sep13 Aug22 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 121 15.00    
SCR  MOLCAJETE Oct04 Sep07 Aug15 Jul04 Jun13 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00 49% 1.00    
12  RUN CASPER RUN Oct12 Aug10 Jun22 Jun07 May02 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-7   10/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANDYROCK Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 (donegan l)ROHENA JR 121 20.00    
JUMPSTER Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 Aug29 Jul17 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 121 8.00    
ACH DU LIEBER Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 15.00    
SHARED SUCCESS Oct05 Sep14 Aug29 Jul27 Jul13 (acquilan)DAVIS A 124 1.60 61% 0.60    
FORWARD MOTION Oct11 Sep05 Jun22 May30 May16 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 10.00 6% 16.70    
DR. MARBOOZ Oct10 Sep19 Aug24 Aug10 Jul25 (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 121 5.00    
ROYAL SUSPECT Oct10 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 7% 13.90    
NIGHT ESCORT Oct03 Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 Jun20 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 6.00    
 
FL-8   10/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWER MOON Oct11 Jul13 May30 May16 Apr03 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
PURPLE MALINDA Oct11 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 Aug02 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
TINA BURNER Sep27 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul20 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 15.00    
ONE JOURNEY Oct03 Sep14 Aug12     (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 15.00    
BISTRITA Oct11 Sep27 Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 (henry n)GOMEZ O 121 10.00    
FIFTYSHADESOFRUN Sep13 Aug16 Jul13 Jun28 May23 (rohena j)ROHENA JR 121 15.00    
MRS. BANKS Oct11 Sep19 Aug29 Jul27 Jul13 (d'alessandro ralp)BAEZ JOSE 121 8.00    
ANOTHER IMAGE Sep27 Jul06 Jun08 May16 May02 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 15.00    
STRONG ALPHA Jun20 Jun01 May16 Mar19 Jan28 (englehart chri)PIERMARINI T 121 4.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  SMOKIN ZIVA Oct05 Sep27 Sep13 Aug16 Aug02 (breed a)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00    
11  OVER THE SAND Sep27 Sep13 Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 (ferraro antho)FRET STEVEN 121 10.00    
12  LEMONADE LADY Oct11 Sep27 Sep05 Aug22 Jul02 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.