Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/24/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONORABLE AVENUE Oct05 Sep07 Aug08 Jul13 Jun07 (tasso mark)COA J 121 12.00    
2  THE REVENGER Oct05 Sep07 Aug08 Jun27 Jun08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 15% 5.70    
3  IT'S MANDATORY Sep18 Jul19 May07 Apr30 Feb26 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 6.00 ★    
4  OUR MAN MIKE Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 Jul18 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 1.80 25% 3.10    
5  BROTHER JEREMIAH Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 (buckley )DAVIS A 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
6  COOL QUARTET Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 Jul27 Jun22 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00 ★    
 
FL-2   10/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACKIEGIRL Sep26 Aug24 Aug15 Jul12 Jun29 (saul da)NAVARRO J 121 10.00 ★    
2  WABAUNSEE Oct11 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 (bond bre)DAVIS A 121 10.00    
3  FLURRY OF ROSES Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 (buckley jonathan )BAEZ JOSE 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
4  MISTY GALE Sep21 Aug24 Aug01 Jul18   (falk jacquelin)PIERMARINI T 121 6.00 13% 7.00    
5  PAVE MY WAY Sep07 Aug23 Jul25 Jul12 Jun24 (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 5.00 ★    
6  SWEET SUGAR BABY Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 May11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  TOOSWEETTOBESOUR Oct10 Sep21 Aug24 Aug06 Jul01 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 2.50    
 
FL-3   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  KHOZANDO Jan23 Jan15       (ferraro anth)COA J 117 6.00    
SCR  FORWARD MOTION Oct11 Sep05 Jun22 May30 May16 (ferraro antho)FRET STEVEN 117 6.00    
2  NUMBER ONE DILLON Oct11 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 Jul26 (huertas )DAVIS A 119 8.00 ★    
3  SOUTH AFRICA Aug17 Jul18 Jun13 May21 Mar31 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  MIAMI CHROME Oct11 Sep19 Aug24 Aug16 Jul25 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 ★    
5  NINTH HOUR Oct04 Aug31 Jul20 Jun21 May24 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  BANYAN BREEZE Sep20 Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 Jun27 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
FL-4   10/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A LUMBERJANE Sep12 Aug09 Jul12 Jun21   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 4.00    
2  STIMULUS CHECK Oct09 Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 Jul04 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 121 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  SALOON GIRL Oct04 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 121 10.00 6% 16.30    
4  QUIET HORIZON Oct04 Sep14 Aug15 Jul11 Jun29 (cabrera )DAVIS A 121 8.00    
5  MISS PAB Sep28 Sep12 Aug31 Aug02 Jul19 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 118 6.00 ★    
6  CHARGE NURSE Sep14 Aug23 Jul25 Jun29 Jun07 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
7  TEACHER DRAMA Sep28 Sep08 Aug12 Jul29 Jul20 (o'callahan ca)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 15.00    
8  SARATOGA KISSES Oct12 Sep20 Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 118 3.50 ★    
 
FL-5   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WITT LASTING SPEED         (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 20.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  COUNT ON FRIENDS Oct10 Aug08       (progno )NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
2  GOING HOME NOW         (turetsky e)PEREZ E 121 12.00 11% 8.10    
3  EMPIRE LILY Sep05 Aug01 Jun27 May12 Feb26 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 4.00    
4  JUICY Oct10         (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
5  ALBANY YATES Oct10 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 20.00    
6  BONANA FANNA FOE Jan08         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 5.00    
7  JACKSON AVENUE         (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 15.00 11% 8.10    
8  BOXED IN AND BORED Sep26         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 8.00    
SCR  RACING QUEEN Oct20 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 (huertas nirka)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  DARN THAT SONG Oct10 Sep26 Sep04 Aug03 Jun25 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 3.50    
 
FL-6   10/24/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOHENGRIN TWO Aug24 Aug02 Jul11 Apr26 Mar04 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
2  BETA Jun28 Jun13       (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLANI BRIGADE Sep20 Jun04 May21 Mar04 Jan27 (englehart jeremia)CRUZ JOEL 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
4  ACALTEQUE Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 (henry n)GOMEZ O 119 15.00    
5  DADDY KNOWS Oct03 Sep03 Aug03 Jul10 Jun21 (englehart jeff)COA J 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  PANAMA PAUL Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Jun29 May31 (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 122 8.00    
7  SAMAY (PER) Oct03 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 12.00 ★    
8  LITTLE MADDY BROWN Aug24 Jul26 Jul16 Jun29 Jun14 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00    
9  TRIGGER PULL Oct11 Sep28 Sep19 Aug30 Aug17 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  DEE BO Sep20 Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 Jun30 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
 
FL-7   10/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($29.9K) 2 F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL PEBBLES Aug22         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 118 8.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  ICE'S IRONICDANCER Oct12 Sep27 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (sells rachel)SONE Y 114 20.00    
3  WARSAICHI Sep26 Sep05 Aug22     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 1.00 42% 1.40    
4  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Sep27 Sep05 Aug08     (ferraro anth)COA J 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  WOMANONTHEWARPATH Sep26 Aug15 Jul17     (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 118 8.00 ★    
6  ISABEL LUVS GOLD Sep26 Aug08 Jul18     (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Aug05 Jul13       (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00    
 
FL-8   10/24/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARADE FIELD Oct12 Sep27 Aug22 Aug05 Jul19 (lecesse )DAVIS A 121 5.00 18% 4.70    
2  SLEEPY JOE Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00    
3  STARSHIP OREO Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug17 (loaiza ilmar)GOMEZ O 124 8.00    
4  FLAT BILL Oct12 Sep07 Aug21 Aug10 Jul13 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  BEACH ACCESS Oct10 Sep21 Aug09     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 6.00    
6  THIS CAT CAN FLY Sep27 Aug29 Aug03 Jun21 Jun01 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.00    
SCR  THESIS Oct05 Sep27 Jul27 Jul18 Jun27 (lopez arcadi)BERRIOS C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  YOU'VE GOT MALE Oct12 Oct03 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 (lopez a)NAVARRO J 124 20.00    
9  BEACHSIDE Oct11 Oct05 Sep21 Aug23 Aug10 (dean ii)COA J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SMOOTH OPERATION Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Jul14 Jun21 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 121 3.50 7% 13.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.