Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - September 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   09/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S LADY Aug24 Aug12 Jul18 Jun27 May31 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 15.00 6% 14.80    
LULINDA'S HEART Aug24 Jul11 Jun27 Apr06 Feb21 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
THE BIGGEST ONE Jul27 Jul11 Jun22 May25 Apr13 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
RISEN CHANGE Aug24 Jul27 Jul11 Jun28 May31 (hogan willi)RAMOS C 114 20.00 13% 6.50    
GET HER READYEDDIE Aug24 Jun28 May31 Mar23 Feb28 (smith donovan)MILAN GERARDO 121 15.00    
LADY BERNADETTE Aug24 Aug02 Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 (smith donovan)RANGEL JOEZER 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
SWIFT FACTOR Aug29 Aug11 Jul27 Jul11 Jun13 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 1.60    
 
PRX-2   09/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMESTONKS Feb26 Jan23 Jan05     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 4.50    
MOONCHILD Aug17 Jun29 May31 May11 Apr12 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
CHELSEA WALL Aug31 Jun01 May11 Apr19 Apr06 (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
CATTI LA BELLE Aug31 Jun27 Jun06 Apr25 Mar28 (allen randy)RIVERA EDWIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS SOPHIE Aug31 Aug02 Jul03     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00 43% 1.40    
FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Aug23 Jun24 May19 Apr21 Feb27 (sano antonio)AVILES YAN 113 3.50    
WORLD PARTY Sep03 Aug12 Jul11 Jun11 Apr21 (ness jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
 
PRX-3   09/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISHES AND DREAMS Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 Jun13 May02 (caban carlo)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 116 4.50    
FLASHING DIAMOND Sep07 Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 Jun14 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
DILLY DILLY PHILLY Sep07 Jun14 May24 May10 Apr28 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 1.60 35% 1.80    
STORMBEAM Sep10 Aug30 Aug17 Jul16 Jul09 (riviezzo r)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00    
LIVE AID Aug31 Jul13 Jun25 May11 Apr20 (kirby t)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
QUIET PLEASE Sep07 Aug31 Jul13 Jun29 Jun06 (gallimore tr)BURKE JERMAINE 121 20.00    
 
PRX-4   09/20/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF WAR Sep14 Jul25 Jul13 Jun30 Jun20 (riviezzo ral)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
ARRIVEDERCI Sep05 Aug22 Aug02 Jul19   (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
CROATIAN Sep07 Aug17 Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 39% 1.60    
MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Sep05 Aug15 Aug03 Jul26 Jul13 (mercedes pedr)RANGEL JOEZER 121 20.00 5% 18.90    
UNCLE NED Sep05 Aug22 Jul08 Jun17 Jun10 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 6.00 5% 18.80    
NICE OF ME Sep05 Aug22 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 (arce josu)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50    
AULD LANGE SYNE Sep10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun11 May25 (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 121 6.00    
SAMARONTI Sep06 Aug12 Jul18 Jun20 May30 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
PRX-5   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEALING FUTURE Sep12 Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 Jan05 (hamilton ste)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00 8% 12.10    
GEEBERT Aug23 Jul12 Jun13 Jun01 May02 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50    
KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Aug23 Aug06 Jul25 Jul05 Jun14 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 5.00    
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Sep12 Aug23 Jul25 Jul02   (aristone phili)PENNINGTON F 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
NUCLEAR OPTION Sep02 Jul03 Jun19 May12 Apr09 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00    
SCR  SHANE'S JEWEL Feb02 Jan17       (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
PRX-6   09/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISSES FOR EMILY Aug29 Jun29 May30 Apr24 Mar08 (linder lou)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  OUR UPTOWN GIRL Sep07 Jan05       (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 12.00    
BE LIKE BETH Aug27 Jul31 Jul10     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Aug22 Aug02 Jun29 Jun06 Apr05 (catalano m )WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
OUT DANCING Aug30 Jul01 May28 Apr15   (solis jacint)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
THISTLEFIELD Aug13 Jul12 Jun09     (lake a)RIVERA EDWIN 118 8.00    
SMARTY PANTS SANDY Aug29 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 May28 (hogan willi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 15.00    
PEACH PERFECT Aug29 Jun27 May23 Apr20 Mar30 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Aug29 Jul12 Jun11 May21   (reid rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 9% 9.80    
 
PRX-7   09/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR ZRADA Sep06 Aug02 Jul19 Jul12 Jun15 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 124 4.00    
COMPOUND IT Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 121 15.00 7% 14.00    
LITTLE HARBOUR Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May17 (riviezzo ral)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 5.00    
FLAT LUCKY Aug29 Aug02 Jul05 Jun05 Apr23 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
GET THE W Aug31 Jul26 Jul08 Jun25 Jun14 (lee hale)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
TIO WIL Aug29 Aug08 Jul26 Jun25 Jun14 (riviezzo ral)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
WHAT'S TO BLAME Sep10 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jun20 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
SNEAKINESS Aug29 Aug08 Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 (hamilton ste)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 6.00 12% 7.70    
 
PRX-8   09/20/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEAN ON E Sep06 Jun27 May31 May03 Apr06 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 2.00    
BOOM BOOM GIRL Aug31 Jul11 Jun17     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DREAMINOFDASIES Aug31 Aug03 Jul11 Feb21 Feb01 (shaw j)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 12.00    
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Aug22 Jul28 Jun01     (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
SCR  CURRENT SITUATION Aug30 Aug18 Jun06 Mar25 Feb02 (servis j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 16% 5.10    
TWIRLING WIND Aug06 Jul09 May31 May11 Apr04 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 6.00    
SALLY'S MUSTANG Sep10 Jul11 May31     (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 121 12.00    
BACI Aug27 Jul31 Jul13 Jun18 May09 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  BRUSHING         (dunham bern)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  PUGILIST Aug21 Aug01 Jun24 May21 Feb26 (david car)RODRIGUEZ A 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
 
PRX-9   09/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYNER Aug15 Jul23 Jun24 May28 May15 (englehar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 32% 2.10    
WISE JUDE Jun28 May24       (dotolo david)CASTILLO A 121 20.00    
EXCURSION Sep12 Aug06 Jul12 Jun25 Jun15 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  COBBLE ROAD Aug05 Jun28 May01 Mar16 Feb21 (allen randy)RIVERA EDWIN 121 8.00    
THE KING CHEEK Aug24 Aug06 Jul07 Jun23   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50 13% 6.90    
MY FRIENDS BEER Sep12 Aug24 Jul25 Jun25 Jun02 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 121 6.00 12% 7.00    
PRINCE OF RAIN Aug22 Jul13 Jun15 Jun03 May21 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
LOGICO Aug22 Aug01 Jul01 May07 Apr03 (sano antonio)AVILES YAN 116 5.00    
YES SIR COLONEL Jul19 Jun05 May06 Mar23 Feb02 (guerrero )VARGAS A 121 6.00    
 
PRX-10   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R BOY CHEEKUM Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 Jul04 Jun10 (thompson marc)CARDENAS LUIS 121 6.00    
HANEY BOYS Aug24 Jul20 Jul05 Jun05 Apr30 (mosco rob)VARGAS A 121 6.00    
ROCKIN FREEBEE Sep07 Aug24 Aug03     (romero alexis)MILAN GERARDO 121 8.00    
UNIMPEACHABLE Aug24 May30 Mar23 Jan18   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 50% 1.00    
GANDI Aug26 Aug12 Jul21 Jun24 May27 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 5.00    
NATAVALLI'S KNIGHT Aug22 Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 May31 (farro patr)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 8.00    
SCR  DONT BREAK THE LAW Aug24 Aug01 Jul09 Jun21 May31 (mosco robert)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
PARDSY Aug24 Aug08 Jan28     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
LEMON CREEK LOUIE Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun04 May08 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.