Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL RUNNINGS Aug22 Aug02 Jul22 Jul05 Jun17 (evans micha)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 2.50 ★    
2  TOP CREDENTIALS Jun30 Jun10 May24     (spicer t)OUZTS W 125 4.00 ★    
3  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul26 Jun11 (torres pablo )CANUTO THIAGO 125 5.00 ★    
4  ANYTIMEALLTHETIME Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 Jun28 Jun21 (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  FUNNY BONE Aug02 Jun29       (cowans william )MOJICA JR 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
BTP-2   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE ROSE         (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
2  HERE COMES DOLLY Aug24 Aug02       (minnock g)OUZTS W 121 1.80 24% 3.10    
3  HALO EFFECT         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
4  RONNI'S WIND         (ballard fran)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50 ★    
5  BREATH OF HEAVEN         (bush s)BUSH V 121 5.00 ★    
 
BTP-3   09/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul12   (lucas w)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 15.00    
2  ONE COOL DUDE Aug30 Aug11 Mar04 Feb11   (sanner e)MCKEE J 121 2.50 65% 0.50    
3  AMBASSADOR MIKE Sep01 Aug12 Jun22 May13   (matejka pavel)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 ★    
4  BEOCCA Aug19         (minnock g)OUZTS W 125 30.00    
5  ROBIN'S GIANT Jul27 Jul14       (axmaker cody )CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00    
6  BIGGIE Jun20 May07       (medina robe)PETERSON FERRIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SELF RULE May16         (preston rand)GONZALEZ KEVIN 121 30.00    
8  HABITUS (GB) Aug12 Jul24 May13 Apr29 Apr05 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AQUACAT Aug05 Jun24 Apr28     (beckman whit)REYES R 121 30.00    
10  NO LIMITATION Jul20 Jul10 May21     (morey e)FELIX E 121 15.00    
11  BOX OFFICE WARRIOR         (dyer john)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 12.00    
12  KENRIC Aug24 Aug11 May20 Apr20 Mar27 (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CATCHER'S MITT         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 125 12.00    
SCR  ALFIO May07 Apr20       (thornbury jef)BRACHO A 121 30.00    
SCR  BUCKEYE JIMMY Jun22         (beckman whitwor)OUZTS W 125 30.00    
 
BTP-4   09/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINK Aug05 Jul05 May06 Mar26 Feb26 (greenhill jef)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 18% 4.40    
2  AYCAPOTE Aug22 Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 Jun21 (anderson l)FELIX E 123 4.00 ★    
3  GAMBLER Aug22 Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun24 (murphy scott)BUSH V 121 8.00 16% 5.10    
4  J W RUCKUS Aug24 Aug05 Jun29 May27 May12 (green troy)REYES R 121 2.50 ★    
5  AGAINST THE LINE Aug04 Jun29 Jun08 May10 Mar25 (greenhill je)HALDAR J 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
6  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Aug23 Aug04 Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 (holsapple hutch)OUZTS W 121 4.50    
 
BTP-5   09/12/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMOS HUMOR Aug24 Aug09 Jul29 Jul07 Jun28 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 121 3.50 13% 6.40    
2  BEAUTY DAY Aug17 Jul22 Jun11 Apr22 Mar31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 1.80 ★    
SCR  WANNA HAVE FUN Aug24 Aug05 Jul21 Jul13 May26 (granitz antho)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  LADY PREACH Aug26 Jul21 Jul01 Jun10 May19 (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  SWEET TASSA Aug24 Aug17 Jul25 Jul15   (stephen antho)LUCILLE GEENA 125 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-6   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER'S GHOST Sep01 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07   (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 123 2.00    
1A  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Aug19 Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 Jun21 (esquivel jesus)OUZTS W 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  ZEBRA CAKE Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 May12 (wiggins lon)MCKEE J 121 4.00 ★    
3  KITTY'S PROMISE Aug19 Jul15 Jun21 May27 May13 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
4  WHISKEY SIS Sep02 Aug23 Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 (nocero ca)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 5.00 ★    
5  DESTINY'S DARLING Sep02 Aug19 Aug03 Jul15 Jul01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 3.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  MY DARK SECRET Aug19 Aug03 May27 May13 Apr29 (grubbs jamie )BRACHO A 121 4.50 12% 7.40    
 
BTP-7   09/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY CROSS Aug30 Aug16 Jul22 Jul12 Jun09 (galindo-tor)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 10.00 ★    
2  LAND REMEMBERED Aug22 Jul29       (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  MR ZYDECO Aug18 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun28 (ashcraft davi)BRACHO A 123 20.00    
SCR  PASION AZTECA Aug26 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun17 (calderon en)PETERSON FERRIN 123 30.00    
SCR  KEEN MIND Aug30 Aug12 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (helmbrecht willia)FELIX E 119 6.00 14% 6.20    
6  LITTLE ALEX Aug16 Jul22 May23 Apr08 Mar07 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  RAL COPPERHEADROAD Jul13 Jun28 May27 Mar23 Mar11 (bush s)BUSH V 123 20.00    
8  SARGEANT BARGER Sep01 Aug18 Jul26 Jul05 May25 (evans michae)HALDAR J 119 8.00    
9  MONEY PIT Aug30 Aug12 May25 May14 Mar17 (hill f)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
10  ROCKA BARRY Aug31 Aug19 Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 (coyle d)OUZTS W 123 3.50 11% 7.80    
11  CINDY'S STORM Aug26 Aug09 Jul28 Jul12 Jun24 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 119 10.00    
12  MAJOR LLOYD Jul05 May12 Mar17     (west m)REYES R 119 10.00    
13  WEAPON Sep06 Aug09       (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 123 30.00    
SCR  GROOM LAKE Aug27 Jun22 Feb20 Jan29 Jan08 (barnett c)MCKEE J 123 15.00    
 
BTP-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE YOU GOODBYE Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul26 Jul08 (adams l)FELIX E 121 4.50 ★    
2  PROPHETESS Aug29 Jul26 Jun25 Jun03 May10 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 118 2.00 62% 0.60    
3  LA LA ANGEL Aug25 Aug12 Jul26 Jul12 Jun24 (jordan rick)BUSH V 121 5.00 ★    
4  DEVIL'S ADVOCATE Aug03 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May04 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.00 ★    
5  APPEALING SENORITA Aug25 Aug12 Aug03 Jul26 Jul12 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 121 10.00    
6  DISCREET ENERGY Aug25 Aug10 Jul05 Jun16 Jun01 (wilson david )CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.50 5% 17.90    
7  GINGERMYSISTER Aug25 Aug12 Jul12 May21   (melancon )BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.