Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/25/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ECLIPTICAL Aug10 Jul20 Jun29     (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 4.50    
2  NAUTICAL NATURE Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 (o'hearn h)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
3  HYMN'S SYLVIA Aug04 Jul14 Jun29     (shea h)CORA D 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
4  MILITARY DRILL Aug10 Jul29 Jul14 Jun17 May28 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 49% 1.10    
5  TOMASCO Jul20 Jul07 Jun11     (farley j)LLOYD W 120 15.00 5% 17.80    
SCR  DREAMING OF LOVE Aug11 Jul14 Jun29 Jun16 May20 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 15.00 10% 8.70    
7  HELLO'NDUBAI Aug10         (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/25/2022 5490ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE ANDREW Aug09 Jul22 Jun16 May30   (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
2  SUMMER TO REMEMBER Aug13 Jul21 Jun09 Apr30   (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 75% 0.30    
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN Aug23 Jul26 Jun10 May20 Apr27 (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
SCR  ZERTZ Jul29 Jun30 Jun02 May06 Apr01 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
5  P JS SILVER DUKE Jul29 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 May06 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
6  CALL CURT Jul27 Apr10 Mar27 Mar12 Feb27 (barboza v)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 ★    
7  DAVIDIC LINE Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May24 May06 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 ★    
8  BOAT'S A ROCKIN Aug13 Jul22 Jun17     (kulp l)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   08/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  URMIZZENTHEPOINT Jul23 Jul04 Jun26 Mar23 Mar09 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Jul18 May09 Apr12 Feb16   (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
3  SOUL STORY Aug03 Jul07 Jun11 May26 May13 (albright )VARGAS L 122 8.00    
4  AUCHINCRUIVE Aug05 Jul13 Jun23 Jun04   (leatherbu)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 ★    
5  CHAIN REACTION Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 Jun09 May13 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 10.00 7% 12.40    
6  RECYCLE Aug17 Jul23 May12     (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Aug03 Jun29 Jun02 May12   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00    
8  SACHMO Aug05 Jul08 Jun29 May27 Jan07 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
PEN-4   08/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIGHT RISK Jul19 Jun15 May25 May09 Mar01 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 1.60 38% 1.70    
2  CATTLE DRIVE Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun02 May05 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
3  MINE TO HOLD Jul22 Jun17 May21 Apr20 Mar25 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 ★    
4  THUNDER GRUNDER Jul28 Jul14 May05 Mar25 Mar04 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
5  MEROCKETMAN Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
6  DIAMOND SETTER Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 Jan26 Jan12 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00 ★    
7  FOR THE MOMENT Aug11 Jul22 Jun22 Jun09 Mar15 (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00    
 
PEN-5   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIPNOTIZADA Jul27 Jun27 May25 May05 Apr07 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  JET FORCE Aug05 Jul13 Jun16 Jun06 May10 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  SEEKING THE DREAM Apr12 Mar09 Feb18     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  BILLIEANNE Jul04 Jun06 May21 Apr25 Mar29 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 10.00    
SCR  BUCKS SOME Aug01 Jul09 Jun06 May10 Apr12 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00 ★    
6  CARTOUCHE Jul20 Jun11 May09 Mar21 Mar01 (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 120 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   08/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 May12   (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00    
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK Aug03 Jun30 Jun10 Apr30 Mar27 (synnefias)VARGAS L 118 12.00    
3  THE JONES BOY Aug03 Jul12 Jun20 Jun04   (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00 5% 18.80    
4  RADIEUX Jul29 Jun27 May20 Apr20 Mar15 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 1.60 5% 18.50    
5  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Jul07 May21 Apr28 Mar29 Feb21 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 May21 Apr22 (stites fli)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 15.00    
7  TRUE SUCCESS Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Apr27 Mar23 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 118 15.00    
SCR  BOYS OF QUEENS Jul27 Jun30 Jun10 May11 Apr20 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
9  ROLLING PALISADES Jul13 Jun01 Apr28 Apr06 Jan11 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
10  BORSA VENTO Aug03 Jul15 Jul05 Jun15 May30 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WISH FOR PEACE Aug04 May21 May07 Apr07 Mar16 (stites w)AGUILAR M 118 12.00    
SCR  UNION LEADER Jul20 Mar27 Mar11 Jan30 Jan08 (rivera justin)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   08/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARABLE Aug10 Jul14 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 7% 13.50    
2  GRAPE THERAPY Aug10 Jun06 May17 Apr26 Feb21 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
3  SOUTH HOUSE Jul28 Jun24       (stites fli)MELENDEZ MARIANO 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  HIGH FRONTIER Aug10 Jul28 Jul08     (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 ★    
5  PEARLBDANCING Aug10 Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 May09 (pattershal)MELENDEZ Y 110 6.00    
6  VALENTINA'S CUPID Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 May26 May11 (albright r)CORA D 124 4.50 5% 17.60    
7  BALBOA'S SMILE Jul25 Jul13 Jul04 Jun13 May10 (lopez mario)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 110 12.00    
 
PEN-8   08/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARC WELLS Jul20 Jun10 May06     (kravets b)VARGAS L 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
2  GO SKIPPY GO Jul09 Jun21 Jun14 May09 Apr27 (ashton patr)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 10.00    
3  HE CAME TRUE Aug17 Jul20 Jul08 Jun10 Jun01 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  DANCING SOLDAT Feb23 Feb09 Jan22     (kulp brandon )LEAHEY HANNAH 115 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  CROWN'S DEFENDER Jul15         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
6  FIFTH ELEMENT Jul20 Jul08 Jun07 May13 Apr26 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  RUN AWAY EMPIRE Aug04 Jul01 Jun01 May14 Apr16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.