Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Monday - August 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL RUNNINGS Aug02 Jul22 Jul05 Jun17 Jun01 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 6.00 ★    
2  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Jul28 Jun28 Jun11 May24 May11 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
3  SAY IT AIN'T SO Aug11 Aug02 Jul15 Jun30 Jun24 (cook k)MCKEE J 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
4  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Aug02 Jul15 May25 May11 Apr29 (short w)MACHADO LUAN 121 1.60 34% 1.90    
5  ARMY SCOUT Aug02 Jul15 Jul05 Jun21 Jun02 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-2   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN HOME KITTEN Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 May21 May10 (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
2  TUF INTENSITY Jul20 Jun29 Jun08     (patrick gary)MCKEE J 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
3  HIGH SPIRITS Aug03 Jul13 Jun21 May27 May05 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 122 5.00 ★    
4  PEPPER PIKE Aug02 Jun30 Apr29 Apr08 Mar06 (garcia gena)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
5  AYCAPOTE Aug04 Jul22 Jul08 Jun21 May31 (anderson l)FELIX E 122 3.50    
6  TONALTALITARIAN Aug05 Mar17 Jan16     (combs bentl)HERRFORTH ERICA 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
BTP-3   08/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL SPIN Jul27 Jun17 Jun08 May12 Mar31 (cristel j)MCKEE J 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  PRINCESS NINA Aug06 Jul23 Jul01 Jun21 May29 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  GAMBLIN TRAIN Jul01 Jun09 Feb04     (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00 ★    
4  TELLER TO SING Jul27 Jul05 Jun06 May13 Apr22 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 123 8.00 ★    
5  KIMBERLEY DREAM Aug09 Jun10 May20 May03 Apr14 (winston d)OUZTS W 121 4.50    
6  PASSIONFORTREASURE Aug01 Jul07 Jun06 May07   (barnes bart )HALDAR J 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
 
BTP-4   08/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KY HOT BROWN Aug11 Jul27 Jul12 Jul01 Jun11 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 116 1.60 20% 4.00    
2  PAYNTED Jul22 Jul13 May19     (cannon steve)OUZTS W 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  GAMBLER Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun24 Jun10 (murphy scott)WHITACRE B 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  LUCKYINKENTUCKY Jul22 Jun17 May10 Mar26 Mar04 (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 ★    
5  BRODYTHEOXMAN Aug04 Jul22 Jul13 Jun24 Jun08 (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 120 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-5   08/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAM MUSIC Aug04 Jul28 Jul06 Jun21 May15 (chapman k)FELIX E 118 1.60 51% 0.90    
2  ARCTIC TRIUMPH         (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 6.00 ★    
SCR  KAIYAS SONG Jul06 Jun23 Jun10 May04 Apr10 (faircloth ave)CANUTO THIAGO 118 3.00 ★    
4  TETON THAI Jul29 Jun17 Apr16 Mar27 Feb05 (house gary)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  CHINA STAR Jun24 May27 May14 Apr10 Apr02 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
 
BTP-6   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSTAPITURE Feb25 Jan01       (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 121 5.00 ★    
2  CLEVER TALE Aug09 Jul05 Jun23 Jun08 May20 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 1.80 ★    
3  YOGURT Jul21 Jul05 Jun09 May25 May03 (short derrick )MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  PEACELOVENKARMA Aug02 Jul20 Jun23 May19 Apr27 (cahill steven)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
5  DOCS SEVEN Jul21 Jun24 Jun08 May20 May06 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  DIAMOND LYDIAMARIE Aug08 Jul11 Jun11 May12 Apr20 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 8.00    
 
BTP-7   08/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARLY WAGER Jun29         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 6% 16.40    
2  READY PURSUIT Aug09 Jul12 Jun30 Jun10 Mar12 (antonuik jerr)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
3  DIALED A DAME Aug09 Jul20 Jun18     (cotto luis)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.00 57% 0.80    
4  OUT WORK'N Jul29 Jun19 Jun02 May13 Apr30 (calvo kelsie)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 3.50 ★    
5  SNOWSCAPE Jul19 Jun08 Apr22 Mar03   (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 118 12.00    
6  LAND REMEMBERED Jul29         (hiles a)MCKEE J 118 2.00 ★    
7  FILIPPO Mar13 Feb20 Jan13     (thornbury jef)BRACHO A 122 12.00    
SCR  WEAPON Aug09         (alessi james)AYALA ISAIAS 122 30.00    
SCR  BERN N ASH Jun23 May27 Apr15 Jan15   (dunn d)OUZTS W 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
 
BTP-8   08/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER KELLY Aug02 Jun30 May16 Apr19 Mar20 (winebaugh cheryl)FELIX E 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
2  FLAT FUN Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 May26 May11 (dillion jimmy)OUZTS W 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
3  I'M MONEY Aug11 Jul28 Jun28 Jun11 May25 (short travis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50 ★    
4  HEZA HANDFUL May24         (silva car)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 10.00    
5  STRONG YEN Aug12 Jul15 Jun11 Jun02 May11 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
6  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Jul20 Jun25 May19 Apr14 Feb25 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 121 3.50 ★    
7  VOLBEAT Aug02 Jul13 Jun24 Jun09 May31 (wilson jr)MOJICA JR 116 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.