Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Saturday - August 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORLEANS STORM Jul14 Jun29 May26     (cline robert )BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
TWINSPIREDJOEY Jul28 Apr04 Mar19 Mar05   (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00    
JUST INSPIRED Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 Jun21 May31 (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 6.00    
MARCH MAGIC Jul28 Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 May31 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 5% 17.50    
GIBBY MY CORN Jun29         (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 15.00    
RUNAWAY RUSSELL Jul28 Jun29 Jun14 May18 Apr27 (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
RUN ROCKY Feb16 Jan22 Jan05     (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
STARS N SPACE         (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATABOUT Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 Jun13 May26 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
CAT'S RHYTHM Jul25 Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 May30 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
PANAMANIAC Aug01 Jul14 May30 May16   (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
SHORE OF EDEN Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 May11 Apr27 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.00    
GIFT FROM MOM Aug01 May24 May16 Apr28 Apr06 (vazquez i)CORREA L 119 6.00    
CARMEN OHIO Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 May18 Apr28 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
DANCIN' ROSIE Aug01 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May30 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-3   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET CHELSEA Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 Jun01 May18 (genovese richard )FELIX E 119 8.00    
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Jul27 Jul12 Jun11 May17 May03 (atala jose)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00    
ST PATTY'S SONG Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 May18 May03 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50    
LARSA Jul27 Jul12 May24 Mar26 Feb18 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
NOT A WILD BRAT Jul20 Jun08 Jan05     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 30% 2.40    
QUEEN OF THE TILES Jul12 Jun11 May18 Mar18 Feb28 (vazquez iv)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
WAFFLESORPANCAKES Jul06 Jun27 Jun11     (mcdonald jam)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 6% 14.80    
 
TDN-4   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO EAGLES Jul18 Jun21 Jun01 May02 Apr16 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 3.00 20% 4.10    
MUSTANG WILLIE Jul14 Jul06 Jun14 May23 May07 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
DREAM PRIZES Aug04 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 May31 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 116 5.00    
BOOT LEGGER Jul25 Jul07 Jun06     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
QUALITY MAN Jul18 Jun30 May31 May18 Apr13 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 11% 8.00    
BUCKEYE RUCKUS Jul26 Jun30 May31 May18 Apr27 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 11% 7.90    
KONTAR Jul27 Jul06 Jun08 Jan24 Jan04 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 14% 6.00    
CRAFTY CHIEF Jul26 Jul07 Jun21 Jun06 May07 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 6.00    
MA MOO POWER Aug04 Jul13 Jun27 May24 May03 (radosevich jake )BAEZ M 114 8.00    
 
TDN-5   08/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICHI KITSU Jul26         (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
SPICE ICE Aug01         (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
SCR  SWEET DREAMS LUCIA         (brown t)VELEZ J 123 30.00    
SCR  QUIET LADY Jul26 Jun27       (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
GETOUTOFTHEHAREM Jul29 Jul12 May26 Apr26 Apr16 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
SMALLTOWN CAT Jul26 Jan14       (maddox rachae)TOLEDO S 123 30.00    
BIKINI SO TEENY Aug01         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
CRIMSON LEGION Jul26 Jun27 Jun11     (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
JUPITER ECLIPSE Aug01 Jul05 Jun13     (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  BODE'S ROSE         (anderson l)FELIX E 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
11  TALE OF THE LYON Aug01 Jul05 May26 May12 Apr26 (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
 
TDN-6   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERGER Jul07         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
RUBY LAYNE Jul05         (fletcher ke)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
EMERSON JONES Aug01 Jul07       (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 15.00    
TWENTY FOUR KARAT Aug02 Jul14 Jun17     (hamm timothy)FELIX E 118 3.50    
SPARKLING JEWEL Jul08 May13       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
LADY LOTTIE Jul08 Jun22       (dacosta j)CORREA L 118 2.50 34% 1.90    
BACK TO OHIO Jul08 Jun23       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
LADY JASPER Aug01 Jul08       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 6.00    
 
TDN-7   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAST CLIP Aug03 Jul14       (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 15.00    
GRAND ISLE Jul22 Jul12 Jun29     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
LIAM'S ROCKET MAN Jul12         (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
FAIR AND SQUARE Jul22 Jun29 Jun01     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
SAMMY AND SHORTY Jul11         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
EXCITEMENT Jun28         (hamm timothy)FELIX E 118 6.00    
I STRONG Aug02 Jul22 Jul14 Jun14 May31 (rice ke)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
SCR  RED COMET Aug03         (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 12.00    
HAPPY WICKED Aug03         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 118 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/13/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FIRE Jul21 Jun08 May12     (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00    
SCR  TOTALLY OBSESSED Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 May07   (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
CALI DREAM Jul21 Jul15 Jun08 May12 Apr09 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
I RECALL Jul15 Jun30 Jun09     (bourke john)STANLEY O 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
R THREE ANGELS Jul19 Jun30 Jun20 Jun03 May24 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jul19 Jul06 Jun06 May24 May09 (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 30.00    
SALLY STRONG Jul15 Jun08 May12     (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 4.00 15% 5.80    
CANDLELIGHT HOURS Jul19 Jun30 Jun03 May17 Apr28 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  MARKET SUCCESS Jul21 Jul04 Jun02 May12 May02 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 6.00    
10  BALLROOM BLITZ Jul15 Jun30 Jun08 May12 May02 (gorham )PILARES P 123 30.00    
11  SHE'S CRAFTY Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 May26 May12 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 12.00    
 
TDN-9   08/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF RANDEL Jul10         (romero jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 117 20.00    
OAKEN Jul12 Jun25 Jun03 May21 Apr12 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 117 20.00    
DOUGIE D ORO Jul26 Jun25 Jun03 May12 Apr08 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 121 3.50 56% 0.80    
ALTISSIMO Jul18 Jun03       (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 6.00 22% 3.60    
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jul26 Jul02 Jun03 Apr28   (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.50    
DARK VADER Jul24 Jun12 May08 Apr02 Feb27 (quartarolo anthony)SPIETH S 117 5.00    
SCR  BLACK LIGHT Jul19 Jun27 May30 May20 Apr25 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00    
SCR  MORESTRIDE Jul26 Jul14 Jun21 Jun03 May03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
SCR  BRIG Jul25 Jun03 May03     (gorham )PILARES P 119 10.00    
 
TDN-10   08/13/2022 6600ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREWARNED Jul09 May20 Apr23 Apr02 Feb19 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 3.50    
RAVEN MOON Jun02 May24       (hobson doug)FELIX E 123 20.00    
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jul27 Jul14 Jun25 Mar07 Feb14 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 20.00    
WOLFINE Jul13 Jun25 Jun08     (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 30.00    
SAMMY'S SMILE Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 May12 Mar22 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
UPTOWN Jul05 Jun03 May02     (waltz brian)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 6.00    
SCR  DARK VADER Jul24 Jun12 May08 Apr02 Feb27 (quartarolo anthony)SPIETH S 123 5.00    
WICKED WARRIOR Jul07 Jun03 May12     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 4.00 73% 0.40    
SCR  BUCKEYE MAGIC Jun03 May03       (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 15.00    
10  OVER ICCE Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 May23 May03 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
11  I WANNA WIN Jul18 Jun29 Jun06 May23 May03 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.50    
12  TEAM HUCKY Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 May21 May02 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 30.00    
SCR  SERVE REVENGE COLD Jul15 Jun03 May23 Jan05   (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.