Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - August 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   08/04/2022 5490ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP RED EAGLE Jul08 May30 Apr25 Mar15 Feb23 (bentley fenneka)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HELMS DEEP (GB) Jul07 Jun10 May12 Apr22 Apr01 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
SOUND THE CHARGE Jul12 Jun20       (pino michael )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00    
COURT AND SPARK Jul20 Jul06 Jun17 May14 Apr20 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
INDOCTRINATE Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 May31 May16 (aristone t)CASTILLO A 122 6.00    
CRISPER Jul13 Jun07 Jan18     (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
BEST CHANCE Jan07         (morris r)AVILES YAN 115 5.00    
SAKETUMI Jul13 Jun28 May31     (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
PEN-2   08/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPAL LAW Jul08 Jun16 Jun03 May20   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  SARANAC (FR) Jul31         (hodsdon dani)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 5.00    
COLBALOAF Jul13 Jun22 May25     (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
ARTISTIC ENDEAVOR Jun07 May20 Apr28     (graham edwa)CARRASCO R 122 4.00    
SHADIZAAR Jun03         (gulyas peter)USKE S 120 10.00    
UNCONQUERED SPIRIT Jul13 Jun16 Jun01     (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 3.00    
PURE COURAGE Jun04         (wyatt todd )RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  RON DON SCORESE Jul21 May27 May07 Apr01 Mar04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
PEN-3   08/04/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Jul14 Jul04 Jun20 Jun15 May30 (smith m)BAKER J 120 10.00    
TALENTED MAN Jul25 Jun25 Jun03 Apr27 Mar29 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00    
ANY SUGAR HONEY Jul18 Jun22       (moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 17% 4.70    
FRANK N DUCKY Jul15 Jun29 Jun17 May24 May02 (diaz jorge)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 20.00    
CAPTAIN CHAZZ Jul25 Jun29 May21 Apr27 Mar22 (taylor jose)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 11% 8.20    
NICE WEATHER Jul08 Jun03 May07 Apr06 Mar22 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 5.00    
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Jul06 Jun09       (shea h)CHIAPPE R 120 30.00    
DIXIE CANNONBALL May26 Apr08 Mar16 Jan28 Jan07 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
HYMN'S SYLVIA Jul14 Jun29       (shea h)CORA D 120 8.00    
10  SUNSHINE MAX Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 May25 Apr22 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-4   08/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GREAT CASBY Jul01 Jun11 Apr22 Mar16 Feb16 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
HASHTAG WINNING Jul06 Jun24 May26 Apr28 Mar23 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
YES IT'S ROO Jun09 May25 May05 Apr08 Mar18 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
SCR  COMMISSIONER BIGGS Jul06 Jun11 May20 Apr22 Mar29 (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
KITTEN'S SOLUTION Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 May26 May05 (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00    
MY DEVILS CHILD Jun10         (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-5   08/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SEE THE STARS Jul07 May12 Apr20 Mar30 Mar18 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00    
WONDER IN Jun22 May12 Apr21 Mar29 Feb16 (beattie d)WHITNEY G 124 1.40 32% 2.20    
MYSTIC TIMES Jul14 Jun25 Apr21 Feb19 Feb03 (martin r)LLOYD W 124 8.00    
WHO YOU SAY I AM Jul21 Jul07 Jun23     (smith r)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 8.00    
TORAZO Jul07 Jun09 May11 Apr27 Mar18 (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 117 2.50 41% 1.40    
STONE SCULPTOR Jul13 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 May25 (bobadilla f)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.50 6% 16.40    
 
PEN-6   08/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRITICAL THINKING Jul07 Jun11 May27 May07 Apr06 (shea h)CORA D 119 6.00    
MARTINKELLY Jul06 Jun15 May11 Mar18 Feb26 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
PICTOR Jul02 Jun17 May28 Apr29 Mar16 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 16% 5.40    
DOLLARIZATION Jun09 May21 May06 Apr07 Mar15 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
HEROS REWARD Jun30 Jun05       (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
MIDNIGHT FIRE Jul21 Jul02 Jun08 Feb09   (brinkman brett)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   08/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Jul15 Jun16 Jun02     (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 8.00    
RUN AWAY EMPIRE Jul01 Jun01 May14 Apr16   (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 123 2.00 32% 2.20    
NOTORIOUS REY Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 May19 (o'hearn hea)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jul01 Apr28 Mar24 Mar12 Feb18 (zerpa gilberto)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
ON THE RIM Jun29 Jun10 May11     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 10.00    
MISTER ARANGUIZ Jul15 Jun24 Jun16 Jun02 Apr20 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 20.00    
NOTEWORTHY Jul08 Jun17 May13 Apr08 Mar25 (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00    
MONEYONTHELINE Jul15 Jun29 May26 May11   (kravets bru)VARGAS L 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
PEN-8   08/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOROVER Jul13 Jul04 Jun21 May31   (marquez cesar)RAMOS C 113 6.00 18% 4.50    
DREAM OF WARRIOR May18 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Jan25 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 7% 12.40    
BANKING ON BIZ Jul14 Jun01 May05 Apr08   (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.00    
GEM JUAN Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 May20 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00    
COOL YOUR BOOTS Jul27 Jul14 Jun16     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
MY MAGICAL MAN Jun29 May27 May12 Apr22 Apr08 (graci kimber)MELENDEZ MARIANO 113 6.00 23% 3.40    
VIOLENT PASS Jul06 Jun18 May08 Apr30 Apr07 (lucas bonn)FLORES JR 120 1.60 25% 3.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.