Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Jul18 Jun28 Jun20 Jun11 May21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
HERACLITUS Jul18 Jun27 Jan14     (genovese ric)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 12.00 13% 6.70    
SOUL OF DISCRETION Jul27 Jun27 Jun11 May30   (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
KOSCIUSZKO Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 Jun21 May02 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 39% 1.50    
SPINSTER ROAD Jul19 Jun30 Jun21 Jun01 Feb28 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 13% 6.50    
KING VALERO Jul12 May30 May11 Apr25 Apr09 (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00    
 
TDN-2   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIPOSA D'ORO Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 May23 Apr24 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
ANNMARIA Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 Jan04   (atala jose)DIAZ I 119 8.00 26% 2.90    
PROUD MAID MARIAN Jun22 May26 May11     (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50    
DUDES LAWYER Jun28 May26 May18 Jan14   (urieta jo)CORREA L 121 2.50    
TALKBACK Jul11 Jun27 Jun11 Mar31 Mar23 (castillo jabdi)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
EASY EYES Jul20 Jul04 Jun01 May17 May09 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50    
 
TDN-3   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE EDGED Jul18 May09 Apr02     (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 3.00 22% 3.50    
FAITHFUL SOLUTION Jun29 Jun07       (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 117 4.50    
SENORA PANQUEQUES Jul12         (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
SURE FIRE READY Jul18 Jun30 Apr11 Mar18 Feb18 (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
CHILLVILLE Jul18 Jun29 Jun11 May11   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50 33% 2.00    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 May24 May09 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.50    
 
TDN-4   08/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jul12 Jun01       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 69% 0.50    
ELECTION INTEGRITY Jul12 Jun29       (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 4.00    
SWING STATE Jul12 Jun29       (gorham )PILARES P 118 3.50    
FAST CLIP Jul14         (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 10.00    
HAPPY WICKED         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00    
GOOD MUSIC Jul12         (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00    
HARSH TRUTH         (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00    
RED COMET         (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 8.00    
LUNCHATTHELIZARD         (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50    
 
TDN-5   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHNNY U Jun11 May26 Apr27 Apr05   (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50    
1A  FRONTLINER Jul19 Jun30 Mar19 Feb15 Jan11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50 56% 0.80    
BIG TRIP Jul20 Jul07 Jun29 Jun16 Jun06 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
SMOKIN HOT ENERGY Jul19 Jun30 Jun25 May26   (londono o)CORREA L 119 3.50    
COTTON JIM Jul07 Jun25 Apr12 Apr05 Mar18 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
CHAMPIONSHIP ALLEY Jul05 Jun07 May19 May06 Apr02 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
PRETTY STORMY Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 Jun02 May03 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-6   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCATERRA         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
UNWRITTEN Jul04 Jan26       (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
TUFFIAN Jul04 Jun13 May26 May04 Mar21 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  LADY PREACH Jul21 Jul01 Jun10 May19 May07 (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00 8% 11.60    
CASCABRIA Mar09 Mar02 Jan05     (s)SALAZAR SEGUNDO 119 3.50    
BLACK BUTTE Jun28 May25 May09 Apr26 Mar22 (bird dann)CORREA L 119 2.50    
TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY Jun27 Jun11 May25 May11   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
 
TDN-7   08/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S ENTRY Jun22 Jun02 May17 May02   (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00    
TONKAWA SPRINGS Jul05 Jun22 May30 May12 Apr24 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 3.00    
ON HIS TOES Jul13 Jun22 May30 May02 Mar13 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 4.50 10% 9.20    
CRY MACHO Jul25 Jul06 May17 Apr26 Mar13 (londono o)CORREA L 115 6.00    
DAWN WEST Jul05 Jun11 May26     (wilson davi)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 14% 6.20    
HUNTER SCOTT Jul12 May23 May01 Apr11 Mar10 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 3.50 51% 1.00    
 
TDN-8   08/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSPLASH Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 Apr26 Apr02 (mahan joseph )BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
1A  SPECIAL BEACH Jun30 Jun13 May30 May07 Mar14 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 6.00    
HASTY LADY Apr01 Mar13       (vernino raym)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 27% 2.60    
BLUSHING BETTY May30 Feb16 Jan26     (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
SHELLEY'S GEM Jul13 Jun22 May31 May17 Apr16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 116 10.00    
QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Jul13 Jun28 May31 May09 Apr26 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  SHANNON'S GIRL Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 May26 May07 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
BAREBACK FUN Jan31         (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.