Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Friday - June 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACT ESTIMATE Apr24         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
COMMANDPERFORMANCE Apr09 Mar12       (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 31% 2.30    
ARTORIUS Apr16         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
GASOLINE May07 Mar19       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
SHREVEPORT May05         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
WINIT         (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
WARRIOR NATION         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00    
 
BEL-2   06/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE UNLIMITED Apr14         (barrera s)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
1A  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Jan14         (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 15.00    
QUARIA THUNDER May20 Mar04 Feb12 Jan08   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
DON'T BE CHEEKY May20 Apr15 Feb27     (barrow p)DAVIS A 125 30.00    
RICELLE May15         (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 125 20.00    
RADIANT GEM May15 Mar16 Feb17     (klesaris stev)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
DIAL ME AGAIN         (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
PUBLIC SERVICE Apr16 Jan30       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 5% 19.00    
GEOMETRIQUE May13         (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
EXOTIC CAT         (pregman john )CARDENAS LUIS 125 12.00    
10  BELLESHAZZA May20 Apr14 Feb18 Jan13   (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
11  GREEN SCREEN QUEEN May15         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
SCR  REGINA Feb24 Jan23       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
SCR  TEKILA May13         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 125 3.00    
 
BEL-3   06/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBLIGATORY May07 Mar12       (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CURLIN out of UNO DUO by MACHO UNO)
GLASS CEILING Apr09 Feb19 Jan23     (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
BELLA SOFIA May14         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.00 36% 1.80    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of LOVE CONTRACT by CONSOLIDATOR)
EASY TO BLESS May19 Apr28 Apr09 Mar26 Feb24 (ferraro )DAVIS A 118 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ARBEKA by MR. GREELEY)
 
BEL-4   06/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCILLY CAY         (brown c)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 38% 1.70    
PRISONER Mar18 Feb05       (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
PERFECT MUNNINGS         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
RYAN'S CAT Apr28 Feb12 Jan08     (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 11% 8.20    
STRIKING SPEED May27 Apr28 Apr21 Apr08 Mar26 (jones eduardo)CARDENAS LUIS 121 15.00    
REGGAE MUSIC MAN Apr29 Mar19 Feb26 Feb13 Jan14 (reynolds patr)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
MONTAUK DADDY May22 Apr29 Mar18 Feb18   (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00 7% 12.90    
 
BEL-5   06/10/2022 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($94K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INAJIFFY Apr30 Mar13 Feb13     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
STOP WAR Apr16         (sweezey k)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
READY TO VENTURE (GB) May14 Apr09 Mar12     (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  ALWAYZ LATE May01         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCREAMIN' BY May19         (donk david)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
SCR  BLISSFUL CHANGE Apr30 Apr08 Feb24     (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
MISS DRACARYS May15         (drysdale neil)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 9% 9.60    
ZAINALARAB Apr15         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
TASS (GB) May13         (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
10  FOUZIA Apr09 Mar10 Jan12     (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
11  ATHWAAQ Apr16         (reynolds patri)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  MESSIDOR (IRE) Apr16         (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 119 10.00    
SCR  GOGO SHOES May21 May01       (ryan s)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
 
BEL-6   06/10/2022 3960ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEATHERS ROAD May21 Apr03 Feb04 Jan14 Jan06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00 21% 3.90    
YARROW Apr28         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) May21 Apr28 Mar31 Feb12   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
HEYMACKIT'SJACK Apr28 Mar20 Feb04     (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
FULL COMPLEMENT         (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
FUOCO         (serpe philip )ORTIZ JR 124 12.00    
KINGSTOWN May15 Apr02       (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00    
BUSTIN UP Jan01         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
DREAMPOINT May21 Apr24 Mar20 Jan06   (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
10  DON BERNARDO         (kelly patrick)CARDENAS LUIS 118 50.00    
 
BEL-7   06/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANE GREY         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
FIGHT ON LUCY May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb06   (kelly patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 125 20.00    
RUVIES IN TIME Mar18 Feb06 Jan08     (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 125 10.00    
MISCHIEVOUS DIANE         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
BABA May27 Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 125 8.00    
SCR  SPEAKS FOR ITSELF Apr14         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  O'GOTTEN GIRL         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00 14% 6.20    
AWILLAWAY May07 Apr09 Mar18 Feb13 Jan02 (friedman mitc)CARDENAS LUIS 125 20.00    
 
BEL-8   06/10/2022 10560ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOFT (GER)         (weiss marcel)STARKE A 122 4.00    
  (by ADLERFLUG out of LABRICE by DUBAWI (IRE))
ABAAN May14 Apr02 Mar05 Jan29   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ANCHORAGE by TAPIT)
BRITISH ROYALTY Apr22         (minshall barba)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of QUEEN MARTHA by RAHY)
OUTBOX (GB)         (watson archie)DOYLE HOLLIE 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of EMIRATES QUEEN by STREET CRY (IRE))
STRONG TIDE May21 Apr03 Feb25 Jan30 Jan09 (lauer michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DREAMIN BIG by STUTZ BLACKHAWK)
CIBOLIAN May21 Apr22       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of YADIRA by PULPIT)
NOVO SOL (BRZ) May21 Apr02 Jan05     (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of QUEBRA-DE-BRACO by WILD EVENT)
BOX N SCORE Jun03 May01       (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of GAME (FR) by MONTJEU (IRE))
 
BEL-9   06/10/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR PHIL May22 Apr21 Mar27 Feb27 Feb15 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of APPEAL TO THE WIN by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
WAR TOCSIN May21 Apr16 Feb19 Feb05   (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BEING ANNA by ALDEBARAN)
JACKIE'S WARRIOR May07 Apr16       (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.40 52% 0.90    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNICORN GIRL by A. P. FIVE HUNDRED)
BABY YODA May05 Apr14 Feb12     (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of MORE THAN SPEED by MORE THAN READY)
NIGHT TIME May03         (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 9% 10.30    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of SILENT JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SOUND MONEY May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan08   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 11% 7.70    
  (by FLATTER out of VEGAS TRIP by ALDEBARAN)
 
BEL-10   06/10/2022 6600ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHTY LADY (IRE) May15         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 7% 14.00    
  (by SIR PERCY (GB) out of AIRFIELD by ORGANIZERS COUSIN)
ROUGIR (FR) May14         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20    
  (by TERRITORIES out of SUMMER MOON (FR) by UNKNOWN)
VIRGINIA JOY (GER) May07 Mar05       (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00    
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW (GB) out of VIRGINIA SUN by DOYEN (IRE))
CORE VALUES Apr29 Apr14       (oliver victori)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SWEET AWAKENING by STREET CRY (IRE))
BLEECKER STREET May06 Mar12 Feb05 Jan08   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LEMON LIQUEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
LOVELY LUCKY May07 Mar12       (albertrani tho)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DYNAFFAIR by DYNAFORMER)
FAMILY WAY Apr29 Apr02 Mar05     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSIE'S BABY (GB) by BALIDAR)
 
BEL-11   06/10/2022 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR DEVINE (IRE) Apr16         (abreu r)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FASTNET ROCK (AUS) out of STARS AT NIGHT by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  THE GRASS IS BLUE May14         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 50.00    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of SHINE SOFTLY by ALDEBARAN)
LADY EDITH Jan29         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of LADY GRANTHAM by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
TOBYS HEART May05 Apr09       (lynch a)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
  (by JACK MILTON out of PICK OF THE PACK by LIL'S LAD)
JOUSTER Apr16 Mar05       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 124 12.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of PLAYTIME by TIMELESS NATIVE)
SCR  ROBIN SPARKLES May21         (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of MY SPARKY by DEHERE)
CARAVEL May06 Mar19       (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ZEEZEE ZOOMZOOM by CONGRATS)
ASSERTIVE STYLE May14 Mar25 Feb14     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
ILLEGAL SMILE (IRE) Apr08         (ward a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by CAMACHO (NZ) out of FINE IF by IFFRAAJ (GB))
10  FLOWER POINT May07 Apr16       (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of FAB FLOWERS by LEWIS MICHAEL)
11  MISS MAJORETTE May01         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JOONBI by POLLARD'S VISION)
12  NEVISIAN SUNRISE Apr23         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MY MISS SOPHIA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
13  MISS J MCKAY May01 Mar12 Feb12     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by HANGOVER KID out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.