Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUSTLER May12         (mccutchen robe)ROCCO S 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  SPURS UP Apr28         (mccutchen)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
2  JUSTAFEVER         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  SUMMONYOURCOURAGE         (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  OWEN'S LEAP         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 ★    
5  BAYTOWN GET IT ON Apr28 Apr20 Apr08     (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 ★    
6  CHARLIE WHISKEY         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/27/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL STREIT Apr30 Feb17 Jan02     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  LEAGUE OF SHADOWS Mar25 Feb20       (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 ★    
3  REED KAN Apr30 Apr09       (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  JAMMERS JUSTICE May03 Apr15       (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) May15 Mar12 Mar06 Jan21 Jan08 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
6  CARAMELITO May14 Apr21 Mar04 Feb11 Jan23 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
7  RICHIESGOTSWAGGER Jan27 Jan07       (diodoro )SANTANA JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DENVER CITY May05 Mar27 Mar01 Feb05   (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50    
 
CD-3   05/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RED QUEEN Feb26 Jan30 Jan08     (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SELENA SING May04 Apr20       (garcia genaro)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 ★    
2  NANA'S GRAY Apr28 Mar27 Feb18     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★    
3  SUPER WONDER GIRL May03 Apr10 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
4  CURBS AND CONES May01 Jan07       (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  APPALACHIANHEIGHTS Apr14 Mar11 Jan14     (gutierre)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
6  CYCOLOGIST May04 Apr15 Mar24     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 10.00    
7  CLASSY CHROME Apr16 Feb21       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00    
 
CD-4   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOGWOODS BECCA Apr21         (tay)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 30.00    
2  OUTLAW QUEEN May06 Apr16       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
3  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC         (hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MONOCACY May05 Apr02       (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
5  CANDYWRAPPER CRAZY May03 Apr15 Mar20 Feb27 Jan30 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  PRINCEDREAMCESS Mar27 Jan15       (diodoro rob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  MAGGIE'S WILL Apr29 Apr15 Mar27 Feb27 Feb13 (barrett ro)ANDERSON MCKENNA 111 30.00    
SCR  STEPSTONES Apr17 Mar31 Feb25     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PURCHASE POINT         (foley greg)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 6% 16.10    
10  RACEDAY ATTIRE May12 Mar11 Feb13 Jan15   (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   05/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONOLOGUE Apr29 Feb26       (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00    
SCR  EL SOCIO Feb19         (amoss thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  FIREMAN DAN Apr30 Mar25 Mar02 Feb11 Jan02 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 20.00    
4  CHISHOLM TRAIL Apr03 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 Jan02 (hawley wesley)DIAZ RENE 117 15.00    
5  TAKIN RISKS May04 Jan02       (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00    
6  ENDLESS SUNSET May12 Feb11 Jan14     (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) May12 Mar31 Feb13 Jan20   (caramori edua)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  MATH MAN Feb20 Feb06 Jan21 Jan09   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
SCR  WING COMMANDER Apr01 Feb19 Jan22     (tomlinson michae)BEJARANO R 124 6.00    
SCR  FIELDSTONE Apr21         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
11  BERN N ASH Apr15 Jan15       (dunn d)COURT K 124 15.00    
12  AMERICAN SMOOTH Apr20 Mar17 Feb18 Jan23   (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
13  CARILLO Apr15 Feb19 Feb03 Jan08   (amoss thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00    
14  MUNDO MIX May11 Apr11 Mar21 Mar10   (caramori edua)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN IMAGINE Apr29 Apr10 Mar27 Mar04 Jan30 (brennan )SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
2  FIRERY TALE Apr16 Apr09 Mar13 Feb18 Jan29 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
3  EAGLE PASS May15 Apr23 Apr09 Mar05 Feb19 (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 39% 1.60    
4  JURISDICTION May05 Mar17 Feb24 Jan15   (miller jer)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
5  WIN WITH PRIDE Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Feb18   (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
6  THIRSTY BETRAYAL Apr14 Mar10 Jan09     (shirer a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 2.50 8% 11.30    
7  CRIME SPREE Apr14 Feb26 Feb05 Jan09   (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 ★    
8  SKYSCANNER Apr29 Apr09 Mar19 Feb26 Jan29 (shorter aaron)COURT K 118 3.50 9% 9.70    
 
CD-7   05/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER AFTER ALL         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  SURCHARGE Apr15         (lyster s)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
3  CATCH MAGIC Mar26         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  DANCE IT Mar31         (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
5  AMENSET May04 Mar26 Mar01 Feb05   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY WIFE Apr30 Apr13       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 118 8.00    
7  BUTTERBEAN May04 Apr10 Jan22     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 14% 5.90    
8  FINE COTTON Apr21 Feb18 Jan21     (pessin l)DIAZ RENE 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
9  AALIYAH EZRI Apr13         (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
10  FIVE PRIZES Mar06 Feb05       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
11  SHE'S KEEN May06 Apr08       (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 7% 13.20    
12  MUSIC STREET Apr23         (beckman whitw)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
SCR  LADY COMMANDER Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 Jan07   (fires h)COURT K 125 6.00    
SCR  LANTERN'S CANDY Apr23 Mar22 Mar05 Feb12   (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
CD-8   05/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIOLENZA Apr16 Mar10       (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 ★    
2  A G INDY Apr16 Jan29       (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.50    
3  RED GHOST Mar04         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  RISKY REWARD Apr16 Mar13 Feb13 Jan06   (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 ★    
5  THUNDERING CREED Apr28 Mar19 Jan22     (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 123 6.00 ★    
6  SHORT SUMMER DRESS Apr16 Feb14 Jan15     (diodoro )SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
7  TIZ SPLENDID NEWS Apr15 Mar06       (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00 20% 4.10    
 
CD-9   05/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BEAR ALLEY May08 Mar31 Mar06 Jan16   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  ALL WEST Apr16 Mar27 Mar12 Jan16   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 4.00    
2  RIVER ECHO (GB) Apr23 Mar27 Feb19 Jan29 Jan01 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 3.00 65% 0.50    
3  HONORARY DEGREE Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Feb21 Jan28 (hawley wesl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
4  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF         (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
5  HIGH SPIRITS May05 Mar25 Mar17 Feb16   (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
6  BEAR OAK Apr08 Feb20 Jan22 Jan01   (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 3.50 ★    
7  CABERTOSS Feb03 Jan08       (wiggins lon)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DEANO Apr30 Mar23 Feb28 Feb06 Jan20 (simms j)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
9  MUSCADINE Mar25 Mar06 Feb25 Feb10 Jan20 (wiggins lo)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
10  HIGHER AUTHORITY May05 Apr21 Feb16 Jan14 Jan02 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 10.00 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.