Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - May 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   05/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.41K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND RIM Apr06 Mar09 Feb08     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
2  PEPPER SPRAY Mar27 Feb27 Jan30     (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 1.20 41% 1.40    
3  VELVET GHOST Mar24 Mar09 Jan17     (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★    
4  TWO GUNS Apr25 Mar09 Jan17 Jan06   (schnell don)SCRIVER L 119 4.00 ★    
5  CREATIVE ONE Apr14 Apr04 Mar23 Mar14 Feb20 (schnell don)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   05/03/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ TENACIOUS Mar30 Mar16 Feb09 Jan07   (silva rodri)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 ★    
2  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Apr14 Mar27 Mar19 Mar05 Feb24 (metz jeffrey)LEAHEY HANNAH 111 8.00 ★    
3  KID CAT Apr11 Feb09 Jan27     (whitehouse w)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
4  DODROPIN Apr11 Mar21 Feb16 Jan25   (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
5  RUN FOR BELLE         (rollins scott)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  WAR MAIDEN Apr08 Mar31 Mar09 Feb21 Feb04 (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 5.00    
 
TUP-3   05/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW SOUTH Apr04 Mar25 Mar04 Jan14   (george cy)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  GYPSY WOMAN (IRE) Apr01 Mar17 Feb25 Feb04   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
3  HELLO BABY         (vanwinkle david)MAWING A 118 3.50 39% 1.50    
4  PENNY'S ANNIE Apr21         (sepich edwa)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 10.00 6% 16.20    
5  NETS LAZY LADY Apr13 Mar24       (story )FLETCHER D 124 12.00    
6  SCARRAZANO Apr01 Feb25 Jan21     (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
7  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Apr11 Mar24 Mar15 Feb28 Jan28 (rollins scott)CARTER KYLE 118 8.00 7% 13.20    
8  TOP REFERENCES Apr01         (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   05/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.74K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YES PLEASE Apr07 Mar15 Feb22     (o'brien d)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ZEYARAAT Mar27 Feb19       (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 ★    
3  SUGARY Apr04 Feb18 Jan08     (wong jonathan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
4  MS SALLY Feb22 Jan27 Jan11     (o'brien debbie)GARCIA F 122 12.00    
5  LOOPY Apr07 Mar15 Mar02 Feb22 Jan18 (silva l)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  OPERATIC Apr09 Mar06 Jan08     (aguirre paul)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
7  LADY COMMISSIONER Apr07 Mar27 Feb22 Feb11 Feb02 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
8  LA CASTIGLIONE Apr04 Mar15 Mar03 Jan31   (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 5.00    
 
TUP-5   05/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($25.48K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE ME BLUSH Mar28         (rarick wade)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  MACCHIATO D'ORO Apr06 Mar17 Feb25     (campo sta)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50    
3  FIRST CALL Apr01 Mar02 Feb10 Jan25   (owens kory)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
4  THE BLACK STRAT Apr01 Mar10 Feb07 Jan20   (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 116 5.00    
5  BUTTERED NOODLES Apr18 Feb20 Jan17     (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  RONAMO Apr07 Mar28 Feb28 Jan22   (barraza s)MAWING A 122 8.00 ★    
7  HUNGRY HENRY         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 116 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   05/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3 ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Apr24 Mar26 Feb26     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00    
2  TIME TO MEDDLE Apr08 Mar16 Feb16 Jan13   (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 121 5.00 ★    
3  THIRSTY KISS Apr19 Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Jan20 (martinez est)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 8.00    
4  PICK A LANE FRANK Apr04         (christian b)SCRIVER L 121 8.00 6% 15.10    
5  NOTACRY         (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  UNTOLD STORY         (garrett j)ZUNINO L 121 4.50    
7  POVERTY BAY Apr11         (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  RED HURRICANE Apr11         (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   05/03/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADISON'S QUARTERS Apr20 Apr08       (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
SCR  BOUNTY OF GOLD Apr20 Apr08 Mar02     (saldana reed)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  RAIDERETTE Apr08 Mar17 Mar08 Feb02 Jan19 (moore john )SCRIVER L 122 20.00    
SCR  GALILETA Apr03 Feb28 Feb11 Feb01 Jan18 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 6.00    
5  THUNDER WOMAN Apr14 Apr05 Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 (blea jr)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 20.00    
6  BELLA'S BACK Feb18         (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
7  SWEET HONOR Apr19 Apr08 Mar23 Mar14 Mar02 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 5.00 ★    
8  LOVELY LINDA Apr19 Apr08 Mar22 Feb28 Feb08 (asprino a)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 ★    
9  TIZ DONNA BELLA Apr08         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 8.00    
10  C C THE BARTENDER Apr20 Mar17 Mar01 Feb08 Jan17 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
TUP-8   05/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPEEDING STYLE Apr26 Apr01 Mar24 Feb16 Jan24 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 12.00 ★    
2  I WILL YEAH (IRE) Mar30 Mar07 Jan25     (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 10% 9.00    
3  BUDDY NINER Apr26 Apr14       (walker gi)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
SCR  JOKER MATT Apr26 Apr04 Mar23 Mar03 Feb15 (brown r)ZUNINO L 116 6.00    
SCR  FAST GALLITO Apr26 Apr01 Feb21 Feb01 Jan12 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00    
6  NO SLO MO Apr11 Jan13       (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Apr04 Mar23 Jan28 Jan06   (toye joe)VERGARA P 116 15.00    
8  BALI STAR Apr21 Mar09 Feb01     (mcfarlane d)BARANDELA SOFIA 111 12.00    
9  N. K. ROCKET MAN Mar21 Feb28       (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
10  CAPTAIN RED Apr25 Apr03 Mar19 Mar04 Feb15 (simpson shanno)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.