Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($25.13K) 3 F PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAT AND FURIOUS Mar24         (belvoir vann)CARTER KYLE 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
WHISTLING HOME Mar28 Feb07       (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 2.00 33% 2.10    
I AM YOURS Mar28 Mar04 Feb06 Jan14   (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
CURLIN BLESSING Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00    
AUTISM PRISM Apr18 Feb16 Jan10     (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 121 3.50 8% 11.50    
 
TUP-4   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.888K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAR BRIAN Apr04 Mar24 Mar14 Mar02 Feb04 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
RANCHER Apr20 Apr07 Mar10 Feb14 Jan24 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 5.00    
BLUES RAPPER Apr12 Apr04 Mar21 Mar10 Mar01 (trejo amalio )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
RI' PIN SNAP Apr18 Mar22 Feb08     (soto antonio)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00    
AUTISM SAVANT Apr12 Mar23 Mar01 Feb10 Jan19 (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
BLAME THE DEVIL Apr07 Mar23 Mar09 Feb15 Feb07 (koler steve)SCRIVER L 118 8.00 13% 6.70    
MY PAL Apr04 Jan28 Jan17     (martinez a)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT GARDEN Apr18 Mar15 Jan31 Jan04   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
GUARDING ELK CAMP Apr19 Apr08 Mar23 Mar02 Feb08 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
JUST GRACE Apr04 Mar14 Feb28 Feb01 Jan21 (will)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00    
STARLIGHT TWIST Apr07 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb11 (wong jonathan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
FANCY GI GI Apr14 Mar21 Mar02     (stevens sat)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Apr06 Mar28 Mar08 Feb28 Feb15 (villamar candelar)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Apr07 Mar14 Mar03 Feb11 Jan24 (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
TUP-6   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.888K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY DOES IT Apr13 Apr01 Feb02     (gangidino lisa)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
SEVEN POINTS Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb02 Jan14 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  HAPPY AT SHADY Mar16 Mar08 Feb19 Jan01   (mcdaniel l)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 8.00    
UPTOWN RHAPSODY Apr06 Mar22 Feb11 Jan16   (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PANCAKES AND BEER Apr06 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 Jan03 (grissom w)MAWING A 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
FULL SPEED ASTERN Apr01 Mar18 Feb21 Jan08   (perren a)ZUNINO L 118 1.20    
 
TUP-7   04/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25.13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCGOLDIE Mar23 Mar15 Jan20     (mitchell r)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SILLY NOTION Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb16 Jan31 (silva jr)VERGARA P 124 3.00    
QUEENS RANSOM Apr13 Mar28 Mar08 Feb09 Jan26 (stevens satch)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
RED BOTTOM REBEL Apr19 Apr06 Mar11     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
STARS OF BLUEGRASS Apr06 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11   (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 28% 2.50    
NORTH OF EDEN (IRE) Apr18 Mar08 Feb22 Jan24 Jan11 (silva rodrigu)SCRIVER L 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
MISS YOU MOM Apr18 Mar15 Feb22 Jan23   (valerio g)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-8   04/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONITA RAPIDS Mar28 Mar15 Feb28 Feb18 Jan05 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
TOP LADY MARGIE Apr12 Mar31 Mar10 Feb22   (salinas linda)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00    
JOE'S PASSION Apr08 Mar13       (rivera sally)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 10.00    
SCR  SWEET RAFAELA         (saldana reed)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 1.00 57% 0.80    
SONGOFTHEDESERT Mar31 Mar16 Mar07 Feb03   (jimenez migue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
SUNRISE IN THE BAR Mar31 Mar16 Mar02     (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.