Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEW Apr04 Mar22       (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 5.00 ★    
2  MYBESTISYETTOCOME Apr08 Feb24 Feb01 Jan17   (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  D VON TAE Apr12 Jan20       (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 118 4.00 ★    
4  ELIJAH SCHNELL Feb07         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  AG MINISTER Apr12 Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 (eikleberry )SCRIVER L 118 0.80 64% 0.60    
 
TUP-4   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.006K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 Feb08 Jan13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.60 32% 2.20    
2  ROUSING RUBBLE Apr11 Mar30 Mar21 Mar03 Feb15 (madrigal elodio)CRUZ M 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
3  MONTANA JACK Apr06 Mar21 Feb25 Feb10 Jan19 (macdonald j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00    
4  TOP HAT HIGH JINKS Apr08 Mar27 Mar17 Mar02 Feb18 (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 117 8.00 ★    
5  LINEMANS CHECK Mar25 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
6  CURRENTLY KRAZY Mar26 Mar12 Feb27 Jan13   (oliver vict)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 8.00    
7  SMOOTH PAPA Mar25 Mar04 Feb22 Feb08 Jan13 (jimenez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 6% 15.20    
 
TUP-5   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY PILGRIM Mar04 Jan19       (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
2  ANNIE'S BOY Mar11 Feb04 Jan19     (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  CAUCUS RULES Mar23 Mar02 Feb04     (moreno edgar)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 ★    
4  BALI STAR Mar09 Feb01       (mcfarlane d)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00    
5  RAMBLIN' MAN Mar04 Feb14 Jan10     (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 1.80 12% 7.10    
SCR  BOLD COWBOY         (mcfarlane d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY CROSS Apr11 Mar23 Mar15 Feb21 Feb01 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.00 ★    
2  MARICOPA COUNTY Feb18 Feb02 Jan06     (grissom ro)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 6.00 ★    
3  MONUMENTAL SEVEN Mar25 Mar04 Jan31     (campo )FLETCHER D 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
4  MYSTIC REALITY Mar04 Feb21 Feb04 Jan14   (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 120 3.50 ★    
5  MOONLITE GRAHAM Mar28 Mar04 Feb21 Jan18   (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.00 59% 0.70    
6  STEPHEN JAMES Apr07 Mar03 Feb03 Jan17   (metz jeff)VALENZUELA A 120 10.00    
 
TUP-7   04/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LOVE MUFFIN Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Jan20   (mccartney )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00 5% 18.00    
2  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Mar18 Mar01 Feb08     (gleas)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 12.00 5% 18.00    
3  RAVINA LANE Mar01 Jan28       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 5% 18.00    
4  RES IPSA LOQUITUR Apr12 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08   (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 ★    
5  BANGO FOR BUCKS Mar30 Feb18 Jan28     (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 2.00    
6  BRAZEN NOW Mar28 Mar09 Jan28     (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
7  JOKERIN Mar28         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
 
TUP-8   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK BELT GINNY         (bratcher ry)SCRIVER L 122 10.00    
2  LOTSA LACE         (cuccia susa)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
3  BOOSICAL LADY         (mccartney j)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 6.00 ★    
4  HEART ON THE RUN Jan28 Jan10       (rarick wade)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 ★    
5  BONITA DIXIE Mar31 Mar08 Feb08 Jan07   (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00    
6  MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  BIG HEAT Mar11 Feb10 Jan17     (kenney dan)CORBETT W 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
8  BAKERSFIELD BABE         (si)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-9   04/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST PUNCH Mar31 Mar04 Jan19     (owens kory)LINDSAY CHAD 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
2  FOUNDATION Mar25 Mar04 Feb03 Jan06   (perren a)CORBETT W 122 4.00 6% 16.70    
3  BURNADEBT Mar31 Mar04 Jan21 Jan03   (owens kor)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 8.00    
4  J T'S LA NENA Mar25 Mar05 Feb04 Jan19 Jan03 (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY CRAFTY GAL Feb17 Jan14       (leon priscilla)MAWING A 124 5.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  SEVEN POINTS Apr08 Mar25 Mar04 Feb02 Jan14 (chambers mike)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00    
7  WHO B DAT Apr06 Mar24 Mar04 Feb04   (christian b)SCRIVER L 120 20.00    
8  HINDU MISS CHEF Mar11 Feb04       (barraza ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 15.00    
9  MISCHIEF MAMA Apr11 Mar16 Feb28 Feb11 Jan20 (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00    
10  ARIZONA SUN Mar04 Feb04       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
TUP-10   04/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA LENA Mar28 Feb24 Feb04 Jan07   (moore john )SCRIVER L 124 12.00    
2  SWEET LADY LANA Apr13 Mar24 Mar08 Feb09 Jan31 (esquibel ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  STORMY GALE Apr11 Feb24       (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
4  BOLD INTENTION         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 11% 7.70    
5  MIDNIGHT BABY Apr04 Mar17 Feb04     (campo )FLETCHER D 124 15.00    
6  LITTLE LILY LU Apr11         (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
7  ARIZONA BREW Apr13 Apr05 Mar24 Feb09 Jan31 (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 15.00    
SCR  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Mar28 Feb24 Feb15     (mccartney j)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 5.00 ★    
9  PENNY'S ANNIE         (sepic)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 118 6.00    
10  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT Apr13         (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 118 10.00 8% 11.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.