Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - February 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/8)-(2/1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/8)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8)-(5/6/1/7)-(6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/7)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/7)-(6/4)-(10/2/4/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(10/2/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(10/2/4/8)-(9/11/7/10) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-4   WIN (10/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/4/8)-(10/2/4/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/4/8)-(10/2/4/8/3)-(10/2/4/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/2/4/8)-(9/11/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/2/4/8)-(9/11/7/10)-(1/4/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-5   WIN (9/11/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/11/7/10)-(9/11/7/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/11/7/10)-(9/11/7/2/10)-(9/11/7/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/11/7/10)-(1/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/11/7/10)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/3/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/3/7/6)-(1/4/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/7/6)-(1/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/6)-(1/3/4/5)-(9/1/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(9/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (9/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/8)-(9/1/5/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/8)-(9/1/5/10/8)-(9/1/5/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/16/2026 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND COUNTRY Jan15 Nov28 Oct23 Aug14 Jul26 (thompson kevin)VIVES SOFIA 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
2  WICKEDLY ROYAL Dec28 Dec04 Nov07     (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
3  OUR INDIAN GIRL Jan15 Dec29 Dec12 Nov15 Oct10 (ellis rand)RAMIREZ JR 122 15.00    
SCR  RUN AWAY SAMARI Jun01 May13 Apr24 Mar23 Mar14 (yasinosky josep)MEEKS MICAH 117 12.00    
5  DOSE OF REALITY Jan24 Oct23 Aug15 Jun27 May07 (woodley j)REA HUNTER 117 5.00    
6  COUNTRY ANGEL Jan24 Dec29 Nov26 Oct23 Sep10 (woodley j)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00    
7  SECRET WINE Jan15 Nov28 May07 Apr19 Feb28 (thomas lee)MUDD JAMISON 117 6.00 ★    
8  TALKABOUT Jan15 Nov28 Nov08 Oct15 Sep10 (broussard jarmo)MCMAHON J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-2   02/16/2026 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTION Feb05 Jan18 Dec07 Oct18 Aug16 (mouton chadwic)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
2  TIME TO PARTY Jan18 Dec30 Dec20 Nov05 Aug20 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 2.50    
3  BIGFOOT SIGHTING Jan16 Jan02 Nov29 Oct19 Sep06 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
4  BACKGROUND Jan31 Nov28 Nov08 Oct12 Sep14 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
5  GUILE Feb05 Dec28 Dec14 Dec04 Mar18 (claire alexis)CURTIS BEN 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  METATRON'S MUSE Jan18 Dec26 Sep24 Aug08 Jun25 (hartman c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
7  HARD TO FATHOM Jan29 Dec28 Dec06 Nov02 Oct09 (simonovich )HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   02/16/2026 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAN CHULO Jan19 Dec27       (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SIRCAT SALLY by SURF CAT)
2  HOT DAYS AHEAD Jan17 Dec20 Nov14     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of AMAGANSETT by TAPIT)
3  EDITOR         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LAURENMYCHANELGIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
4  CHASING FREEDOM Dec27 Nov14 Oct12     (atras rob)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INTO MYSTIC by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  MR. ALL IN         (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of AIN'T NO ELMERS by GOLDENCENTS)
6  SOULMAN Jan19 Dec27 Nov28 Aug30 Aug10 (hartman c)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TAPWRIT out of LADY SOUL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MARKET RUNNER Jan17 Dec20 Nov29     (amoss thom)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BUY SELL HOLD by VIOLENCE)
 
FG-4   02/16/2026 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAN D'ORO Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Oct23 Sep11 (gibson jonas)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
2  VAMOS YA Jan17 Nov11 Oct11 Aug19   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 114 4.50 13% 6.50    
3  NO TAKE BACKS Jan29 Jan16 Dec18 Dec04 Nov09 (leonard ge)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 ★    
4  HAMMER OF JUSTICE Jan16 Dec26 Nov16     (sharp joe)REA HUNTER 117 15.00 10% 8.80    
5  NO REMATCH Jan24 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Jul15 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
6  PYROMANIA Jan24 Jan15 Nov28 Nov12 Oct25 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
7  BYWORD Jan24 Jan15 Dec18 Dec07 Nov28 (candelas blanca)VIVES SOFIA 122 15.00    
8  SHARP STRIKE Jan24 Jan08 Dec26 Dec04 Nov04 (simpson daniel)MCMAHON J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  OLIVERIO Jan24 Jan01 Dec11 Oct12 Oct02 (lopez elias)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00    
10  AIN'T NO DISCO Jan31 Jan08 Nov28 Oct23 Sep29 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
 
FG-5   02/16/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAMPLIGHTER JACK Jan23 Jan02 Oct12 Sep17 Aug08 (simonovich)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00    
2  FUNNYFLAME Jan24 Dec27 Nov20 Aug05 Jul05 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  RED ROAD Jan22 Jan01 Dec11 Nov20 Aug08 (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
SCR  Z Z'S PRINCE Jan23 Jan01 Dec12 Nov27 Aug07 (zeringue j)MUDD JAMISON 116 15.00    
5  NOT FALLING BACK Dec28 Nov27 Oct12 Sep11 Aug08 (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 12.00    
6  MOOGIE SON Jan08 Dec18 Sep25 Aug27 Jul14 (rivelli larry)VIVES SOFIA 121 30.00    
7  GORILLA TREK Jan23 Jan02 Dec12 Nov21 Sep22 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  RUNNIN MUNNIN Jan16 Dec20 Nov21 Oct22 Sep22 (bourgeois k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 20.00    
9  ENLIGHTEN Jan29 Dec27 Nov27 Sep12 Jul17 (maker j)CURTIS BEN 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
10  FOXTROT HARRY Jan21 Dec11 Oct18 Sep22 Sep02 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  BIZZEE CHANNEL Jan23 Jan02 Apr06 Feb02 Jan16 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
12  TOWERING STORM Dec12 Nov02 Sep21 Aug24 Aug08 (santamaria carlos)GRAHAM J 121 20.00    
 
FG-6   02/16/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE CHAIR BAY Jan25 Nov28 Oct12 Sep01   (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
2  RUN DAVID RUN Jan31 Dec12 Nov15 Oct17   (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 117 20.00    
3  MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE Dec14 Nov02 Oct07 Sep14 Aug23 (londono geneviev)REA HUNTER 120 6.00 ★    
4  FULL COMMAND Jan03 Dec12 Nov22 Oct06 Sep11 (wong jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  LEMON SOHN Jan24 Jan09 Dec21 Aug20 Apr26 (rosin coty )HERNANDEZ HARRY 125 5.00    
6  STRUCK OUT Jan24 Jan16       (stall alber)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CLIFFS OF DOVER Jan24         (heath g)MEEKS MICAH 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
8  BONIFIED CRAZY Dec19 Nov13       (lopez elias)CANNON DECLAN 125 20.00    
9  CAJUN SWAGGER Jan24 Jan09 Dec19 Feb14 Jan09 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 125 20.00    
 
FG-7   02/16/2026 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT'S RIGHT Dec18 Oct02 Aug31 Aug08 Jun04 (sharp joe)CURTIS BEN 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  SCHWARZMEIER Jan17 Dec29 Oct26 Jul25 Mar22 (eurton peter)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
3  UNBEATABLE Jan01 Oct12       (west etha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
4  BRIDLE A BUTTERFLY Sep06 Jul04 Jun06 Apr30 Mar14 (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 6% 17.10    
5  SLIDER Dec06 Oct17 Apr26 Mar07 Feb01 (lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISTER MMMMM Dec18 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 Jun28 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
7  VACATION DANCE Dec18 Nov08 Oct18 Aug27 Jul24 (cox h)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00    
 
FG-8   02/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINSMAN REDEEMER Jan16 Dec26 Oct31 Aug08 May29 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
2  SHRINER Jan25 Nov20 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (heitzman eri)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
3  ONCOMING TRAIN Jan25 Jan02 Dec11 Aug28 Aug01 (mocklinjr richa)MCMAHON J 124 6.00    
4  FLIPPING FISH Jan25 Jan02 Dec11 Nov20 Nov02 (tracy tanner)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
5  PENSACOLA Feb05 Dec05 Sep30 Aug25 Jun23 (stall alber)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00 7% 13.00    
6  XANDER Jan16 Dec14 Nov27 Nov06 Jul10 (leonard george)MUDD JAMISON 116 30.00    
7  DICK BEST Nov21 Nov02 Oct02 Sep18 Aug31 (simonovich danie)RIQUELME J 121 12.00    
8  TRESILLIAN Jan16 Dec20 Nov28 Oct30 Sep27 (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  BOURBON BOSS Jan11 Jan02 Nov20 Oct23 Sep26 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
10  TWIRLING ROSES Jan16 Jan02 Dec14 Nov20 Aug14 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 ★    
11  TREATY Jan25 Jan11 Aug26 Jul18 Jun24 (munoz yovani)VIVES SOFIA 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.