Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - October 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-2   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (8/1/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/9)-(8/1/2/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/9)-(8/1/2/7/9)-(8/1/2/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/9)-(3/8/2)-(4/2/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-4   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/2)-(3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2)-(4/2/6/7)-(6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-5   WIN (4/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7)-(4/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/7)-(6/4)-(1/9/5/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
ARP-6   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/9/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ARP-7   WIN (1/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/8)-(1/9/5/10/8)-(1/9/5/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   10/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHEELER DEALER Sep27 Aug25 Aug08 Jun30 May30 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 4.50 34% 1.90    
3  RED FROST Sep28 Aug09 Jul06 May25 Nov16 (long vaughn)CARRENO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUBSIDIZE Oct04 Sep20 Aug31 Jul04 Jun08 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
5  BOUGIE JOE Sep15 Aug30 Aug12 Jul25 Jun07 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
6  TOOMANYNAMES Sep28 Aug21 Apr05 Mar22 Feb22 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
SCR  STUCK N SNOW Sep28 Sep10 Aug23 Aug07 Jul02 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-2   10/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAMBY BOOM Oct06 Sep27 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 (cambray andres)BAEZ M 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
2  WINGS FOR ENO Sep28 Sep06 Jul04 Jun21 Jun07 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 3.50    
3  RUNNIN BUFFALO Sep13 Jul13 Apr19 Nov15 Nov01 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 4.50    
4  MAIN DUDE Jun21 Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb13 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 10.00 9% 9.50    
5  JUST N JACK Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug23 Aug03 (jensen mi)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00    
6  OUR BUBBY BOY Oct05 Oct27 Oct19 Oct04 Sep22 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
7  GRAN CHICO Oct03 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 14% 6.20    
8  FLEXIBLE TERMS Aug29 Aug03 Jul18 Jun22 Mar22 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 120 3.00    
 
ARP-3   10/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLINMYMONEY Nov02 Oct04       (loftin linda)RAMOS B 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MASTERY out of ENAMORED by CURLIN)
2  MY DANCING BEAR Oct20         (loftin linda)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MY SUGAR CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  NEON WRANGLER Sep19 Aug30 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 120 12.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SUMMERS PEACE by ORIENTATE)
SCR  INVINCIBLE ANGEL Oct10 Sep12 Aug30 Jul13 Jul05 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 120 15.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of ANGELS O' WAR by WAR POWER)
5  ESSIE'S EDGE Oct04 Sep17 Sep03     (graber jessic)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00    
  (by FIVE IRON out of ESSIE by GOLDENCENTS)
6  AMERICAN SPLENDOR Oct04 Sep17 Jul24 Oct17 Sep13 (cambray andres)BOWERS JADA 124 6.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SEVERN SHORE by PURE PRIZE)
7  PALMILLA'S BET Oct04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul24 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 124 3.50 ★    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of PALMILLA by CROWD PLEASER)
8  E. L.'S LEGACY Sep26 Sep19 Aug23 Jul19 Jun28 (stortzum cady)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
  (by COURT VISION out of ALL BETS OFF by DONERAILE COURT)
9  LADY CYCLONE Sep27 Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug10 (ortega joe)CRUZ M 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
10  TAPIT CARA Oct10 Nov15 Oct20     (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 2.50    
  (by APACHE PARK out of TAPIT LIGHTLY by TAPIT)
11  MISS HOTROD Sep27 Sep06 Aug30 Jul26 Jul13 (ortega joe)DELORME L 120 6.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of CONSENT by PULPIT)
 
ARP-4   10/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRON AND THE BROW Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul12 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
2  HOYA PARANOYA Sep27 Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 Dec12 (martinez a)CRUZ M 121 10.00 22% 3.50    
3  MYSTERIOUS TALE Jul25 May09 Apr06 Feb22 Nov19 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  NEPTUNE'S STORM Sep01 Jan16 May21 Apr28 Jan20 (mitchell chris )ARANA MINOR 124 8.00    
SCR  RED GARNET Oct11 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jul06 (mitchell r)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
6  VICTORIOUS VANDA Oct04 Sep03 Aug21 Aug02 Jul24 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
SCR  PAYNTED BLUE Oct05 Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 Apr12 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 2.00    
8  HOLDEN THE LUTE Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Aug02 Feb13 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
ARP-5   10/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH DANGER Aug24 Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 (villamar can)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
2  ART QUEEN Oct05 Sep21 Jul26 Jul11 Jul06 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  LOOKOUT PASS Oct11 Sep28 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
4  STEVIE WONDER GIRL Sep10 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jul09 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  LADY LANA Aug03 Jul06 May02 Apr13 Mar23 (graber jessica)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00    
6  SEEKING QUALITY Oct03 Sep21 Sep05 Aug16 Jul19 (mitchell r)RAMOS B 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
7  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 (kemper kerry)DELORME L 124 8.00 6% 14.60    
8  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Oct04 Sep12 Jul30 Jun24 May23 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   10/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Derby/Oaks Purse ($45.228K) 3 ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOLEN FUNDS Oct04 Sep13 Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 119 2.50 ★    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
2  HOT AND NASTY Sep08 Aug23 Jun30     (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of POMPNCIRCUMSTANCE by CASH DEPOSIT)
3  THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN Sep28 Jul19 Apr17 Mar26 Feb18 (martinez a)CARRENO J 124 3.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PINK FREUD LIVE by FREUD)
4  MELODITY Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 Jun12 Mar26 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of KIT KAT JO by JOHANNESBURG)
5  ROMANS WORD Sep28 Sep12 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 12.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of FINAL WORD by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
6  KOSARI Sep20 Sep08 Aug17 Aug02 Jul04 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 1.20 73% 0.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CONJURESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
ARP-7   10/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Brown Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S COURT Oct03 Sep12 Jul12 Jul06 Jun06 (rushton temple)DELORME L 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by COURT VISION out of SARAHSINTOMISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  LOVELY LOLA Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 Aug10 (ortega joe)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
5  LADY OF DEVON Oct03 Sep07 Aug29 Jul26 Jun06 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
6  CRYSTAL COAST Sep01 Aug16 Jun08 May03 Mar22 (mckinney kyndr)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CRYSTIAN D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  SOLID TUNE Oct03 Sep21 Sep06 Jun08 May24 (kemper kasey)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MINE OWN by MINESHAFT)
8  CRIMSON LADY Sep20 Sep01 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 (scudder jr)CARRENO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUSAN'S WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
9  CRESSONS LIL CHARM Oct04 Aug20 Jul26 Jul12 Jul06 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 22% 3.50    
  (by LEWIS MICHAEL out of ARTISTIC CHARM by DUTCH ART)
10  DADS ESTRELLA Oct05 Jul26 Jun15 May31 Mar22 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 4.50 ★    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
11  LONG MAY SHE RUN Oct05 Sep27 Aug29 Aug10 Jul20 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
12  SMILING LADY Oct05 Aug29 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 12.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BANNER ELK LADY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SCR  CELEE'S LAST TE Sep27 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May31 ( )TBA null      
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
SCR  FLO TIME Sep27 Sep12 Jul27 Nov03 Oct13 ( )TBA null      
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CATS LEGEND by GOLD LEGEND)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.