Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/4/5)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ARP-2   09/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLOUD BLITZ Aug03 Jul19 Feb03 Jan16 Dec10 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 3.50    
BETTER EDGE Jul18 Jun21 May24 Apr11 Mar23 (arceo antoni)RAMOS B 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MORE THAN EASY Aug07 Jun29 May24 May03 Apr13 (rushton temple)CARRENO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BORDER VIGIL Aug17 Apr23 Apr15 Mar25 Feb10 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 70% 0.40    
TAPITBOY May24 May16 May03 Apr13 Mar16 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 2.50    
BRODY'S TREASURE Sep01 May10 Apr27 Apr19 Mar23 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 12.00    
SCR  GUTFIELD Sep07 Nov17 Oct18 Sep21 Sep09 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-3   09/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($7.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORK ORDER Aug29 Aug15 Jul20 Jul05 Mar16 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
WATER TESTER Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun22 May26 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 33% 2.00    
RUNNIN BUFFALO Jul13 Apr19 Nov15 Nov01 Oct18 (rushton temple)DELORME L 121 4.50    
SCR  SPARKY TIME Jul25 Jul04 May24 May16 May02 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
 
ARP-4   09/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS YOU NO MORE Jun01 Mar29 Feb28 Nov03 Oct13 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.50    
MS BUMBLEBEE Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May23 Apr12 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50    
DIXIE CUP MARTINI Oct25 Oct05 Sep20     (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
STOLEN FUNDS Nov17 Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep08 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
BRING THE POSSE Nov03 Oct20 Oct04 Sep21 Sep09 (esquibel mark)CARRENO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
I'M A TRUMPER Nov02 Oct25 Oct13 Oct05 Sep20 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 124 5.00    
 
ARP-5   09/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bally's Arapahoe Park Sprint Purse ($21.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDER OATH May16 Apr26 Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 47% 1.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of JOJO WARRIOR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MAIUS Aug10 Aug02 Jul20 Oct27 Oct06 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 3.00    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of HARBOR SUNRISE by PULPIT)
SCR  POSITIVITY Aug31 Jul20 Jun15 May26 Apr26 (evans jus)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SAM'S SUNNY CITY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  GROOVY HUEY Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun08 May31 (kemper ka)IRONEYES R 124 8.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of FLOATTHRUTHEAIR by ORIENTATE (GB))
QUICKTRIP VAN Aug16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Jun13 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 2.90    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of BLISSFUL TRIP by TRIPPI)
DRIVEHAPPY Sep06 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ENTRUSTMENT by FORESTRY)
COMMUNICATIONISKEY Aug24 Aug04 Jul17 Jun04 May12 (vargas co)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of TIZ A' GREELEY by TIZNOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.