Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Colonial Downs
Friday - August 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   WIN (7/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3)-(7/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/3)-(1/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/3)-(1/2/8/4)-(2/4/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/4)-(1/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/4)-(1/2/8/4)-(1/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/4)-(2/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/4)-(2/4/7/8)-(2/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-3   WIN (2/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/8)-(2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/8)-(2/1)-(2/3/5/8/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CNL-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/3/5/8/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/3/5/8/4)-(5/7/4/8/3) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CNL-5   WIN (2/3/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/8/4)-(2/3/5/8/7/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/8/4)-(2/3/5/8/7/4)-(2/3/5/8/7/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (2/3/5/8/4)-(5/7/4/8/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/8/4)-(5/7/4/8/3)-(5/2/8/1/4) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-6   WIN (5/7/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/8/3)-(5/7/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/8/3)-(5/7/4/8/3)-(5/7/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/4/8/3)-(5/2/8/1/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/8/3)-(5/2/8/1/4)-(3/5/9/13/12) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-7   WIN (5/2/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/1/4)-(5/2/8/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/1/4)-(5/2/8/1/4)-(5/2/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/1/4)-(3/5/9/13/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CNL-8   WIN (3/5/9/13/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/13/12)-(3/5/9/13/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/13/12)-(3/5/9/13/12)-(3/5/9/13/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CNL-1   08/29/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHAROAH'S MARC Jun28 May25 Apr25 Nov09   (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of PURPLE TRILLIUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
YOU'RE SO VAIN         (cruz jesus)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LOOK AT ME by FAIR AMERICAN)
BELLA BLUEGRASS Jul30 Aug15       (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of BECKY'S BLUEGRASS by MACHO UNO)
LANGLEYSWATERFALL Aug06 Jul12 Jun01 Mar14 Dec08 (cooney sus)SANCHEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LIGHTSCAMERAACTION by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
KATARZYNA Jul12 Jun13 Sep05 Aug15   (ashby lynn)HAMILTON WESTON 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of IRINA BARANOVA by BULLSBAY)
KIMBER SPICE Aug06 Jul12 Jun29 Jun04 Apr24 (godsey ka)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET PROMISES by BERNARDINI)
POWER DANCE Aug06 Jul12 Apr23 Mar08 Jan25 (grainger)GALLARDO A 118 1.60 65% 0.50    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of PURSUING FATE by IN SUMMATION)
 
CNL-2   08/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDELWEISS Aug08 Jul30 Jun28 Jun08 Dec22 (allen fer)HAMILTON WESTON 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
PACE YOURSELF May30 May10 Aug13 Jun16   (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
ANNA JEAN Jul31 Jun07 May03 Apr25 Apr16 (gardea abraham)ASHTON GAVIN 113 12.00    
ROYCES RIDE Jun21 Jun05 May22 May10 Apr19 (hunt d)CHAVEZ ANDRES 118 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON TIME Aug06 Jul17 Jun13     (sillaman)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
PYROMANIA Aug08 Jul19 Jul11 May26 May17 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 118 6.00    
DEVELOP PRODUCT Aug08 Jul11 May25 Apr18 Mar22 (braddy j )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
HOME INVASION Jul24 Jun27 Jun11 May22 Apr25 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 118 8.00 17% 5.00    
BLAME THE RIVER Aug06 Jul11 Jun11 May24 May27 (flores i)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 20.00    
 
CNL-3   08/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK WHITE N GOLD Jul24 Jun14 May26 May03 Apr19 (lauer micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 5.00    
SELF TAUGHT Jul24 Jun07 May11 Apr13 Mar20 (gallegos a)CURTIS BEN 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
STOP THE SPREAD Aug09 Jul11 Jun08 Apr28 Apr04 (caramori ed)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 12.00    
SAN COSTANTINO Jul25 Jul02 Jun18 Jun02 Apr25 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  FIRST SHOT FIRED Aug20 Jul16 Jun21 Jun05 May11 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 125 8.00    
MR JEFFERSON Aug02 Jul12 Jun20 Jun11 May10 (gaudet lacey)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
FINGAL Aug07 Sep21 Sep05 Aug22 Jul18 (kingsley ar)KINGSLEY TAYLOR 113 5.00 16% 5.30    
MASTER OF NONE Aug13 Jul11 Jun05 May10 Apr25 (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-4   08/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCZ Aug14 Jul26       (simms mark)HUSBANDS J 118 10.00 14% 6.20    
  (by MCKINZIE out of LITTLE MISS ZAPP by GHOSTZAPPER)
MORLOCK Feb15 Dec21 Nov22 Oct09 Aug26 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 118 1.50 51% 1.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
CHOWSER Aug01 Jun01 Apr25 Jan03   (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  FIELDING Aug13         (maldonado)CARRASCO R 118 50.00    
  (by EDITOR'S NOTE out of MISS PURANA by ALYSHEBA)
SCR  DUNE A VETTA Dec21         (ramos ben)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 50.00    
  (by INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG out of CLONTARF by BELLAMY ROAD)
CHATHAM UP         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EASY LIVING by BIG BROWN)
SCR  LONESOME ROAD Jul16         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WALK OF STARS by STREET SENSE)
SCR  LOUISVILLE LIAM         (allen a )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 50.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LIQUORICE MARILYN by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  GUNG HO Jul31 Jun08 May16     (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GLORY DANCER by HONOUR AND GLORY)
SCR  RHYTHM 'N BLUES Jul16 May16 Dec06 Oct06 Sep14 (cibelli jan)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MISS KATIE BUG by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
CNL-5   08/29/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARIS PRIEST         (brion keri)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINER THINGS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
BEHOLD THE KING Jul25         (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BEHOLD THE QUEEN by HOLD ME BACK)
MIDAS FACTOR         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SILVER SIDES by BANDBOX)
EAST VILLAGE         (mcpeek kennet)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BOURBONESQUE by DYNAFORMER)
BEEKMAN STREET Aug07         (stidham )GALLARDO A 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LADY MONTDORE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BRAVO BRODY         (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 119 50.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of RUSHEN HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
DON'T TELL TIM         (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 6.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PROUD HEROINE by PROUD CITIZEN)
WISHMASTER Jul30         (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 12.00 9% 9.70    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALIEN GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RAMBLIN Aug14 Jul09       (desormeaux kei)CURTIS BEN 119 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VERDURA by SMART STRIKE)
10  C. P. A. JIM Jul25         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of BITTY KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
11  BEYBE BETO Aug14 Aug02 Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 (vazquez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 119 20.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
 
CNL-6   08/29/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITIGANT May22 May02 Apr11 Mar23 Feb14 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 20.00    
ISLAND D'LITE Aug08 Jul16 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 (mcmahon tho)CHAVEZ ANDRES 122 10.00    
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Aug07 Jul12 Jun14 May17 May04 (tessore)BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00 9% 10.60    
RETAINED Jul16 Jun28 Jun01 May16 Apr26 (dilodovico)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
CACTUS Jul16 Jun22 May10 Apr26 Mar21 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
KATIE'S NOTION Aug16 Jul16 Jun14 May16 Apr25 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 122 15.00    
BOSS IS A PAL Jul31 Jun28 May10 Apr26 Nov10 (stettinius suz)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
HAPPY CAT Jun28 Jun21 Aug24 Jun16 May22 (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
FROST MOUNTAIN Aug01 Jul10 Jun03 Apr18 Mar14 (stidham mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
 
CNL-7   08/29/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AL'S ROMEO Aug08 Jul19 May01 Apr19 Mar01 (stuart sh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
AMOUDI BAY Jul20 Jul05       (schultz li)SANCHEZ J 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
MI DINERO Aug08 Jul11 May23 Apr16 May17 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00    
OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Aug08 Jun16 Apr19 Mar28 Mar02 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BILLIONAIRES ROW Aug08 Jul10 May16 Apr05 Mar14 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
ELVIS HIMSELF Aug08 Jun27 May31 Apr06 Mar23 (salazar marco)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00    
THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Mar10 Feb12 Jan04 Dec14 Oct30 (brafford)GALLARDO A 122 4.00    
MONSIEUR CANDY Jul19 Apr17 Mar22 Jun16 Apr19 (merryman eliz)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 13% 6.50    
ROCKINGHAM JOE Aug02 Jul10 Jun06 Jul03 Jun12 (downing william)CENTENO E 122 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/29/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASKNOTWHATYOUCANDO Aug15 Jun08 May10 Jan17 Oct17 (mcmahon hu)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 116 15.00    
BOSSY JEANS Aug02 Jun04 Oct18 Sep22 Aug14 (brion keri)CENTENO E 123 5.00    
ITS SATISFACTUAL Jul17 Jun29 Jun04 May15 Apr13 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  BELLA ESTRELA Aug02 Jul04 Jun06 May07 Mar11 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
IMAGINETHEODDS Jun01 May03 Apr07 Oct13 Sep30 (godsey ka)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 4.50 32% 2.20    
REPAYNT Aug16 Jun19 May30 May02 Mar28 (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 123 50.00    
CELESTIAL EXPRESS Aug16 Jul17 Jun22 May24 May08 (hester leann)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 4.00    
CAINUDOTHETWIST Oct10 Sep05 Aug12 Jul25 Mar30 (kingsley ar)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 12.00    
DITCHED Jul31 Jul19 May23 Mar15   (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  KATAKANA Aug02 Nov01 Aug15 Jul25 Jul06 (figgins oll)HAMILTON WESTON 123 50.00    
11  INCISIVE KITTEN Jun29 Jun06 Oct17 Sep13 Aug11 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 6.00    
12  ROCIO Aug07 Jul16 May04 Mar21 Feb28 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
13  QUEEN IN THE DECK Aug21 Jul17 May23 Apr12 Mar06 (munoz car)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STYLE AND PROFILE Aug16 Jun13 Jan25 Dec19 Oct25 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  CANADIAN BEAR Jul17 Jun15 May23 May03 Nov10 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 15.00    
SCR  STARRY NIGHT (ARG) Jul30 Oct13 Aug29 Jul20   (thomas jonathan)CURTIS BEN 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.